🏗️ New Construction
Terrace Plan · Pella, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +7.3/10.0
- Cash flow +4.6/30.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Destiny Homes presents their Terrace floor plan. This ranch plan features three bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and over 1700 square feet of finished space. The dining area sits at the front of the home and opens up to the kitchen/living room that boasts large picture windows, electric fireplace, pantry, island, and stainless steel appliances. Master bedroom features a walk-in closet, shower, and large vanity. Two more bedrooms and a full bath are located in the lower level of the home. There is a long list of standard features not often found at this price point, including electric fireplace, energy efficiency, SMART Home Automation, and 2x6 construction. Ask about $2,000 in closing costs provided by preferred lender.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Listed 815 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-769 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (25.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (34.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (34.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.3% vs local median 2.0% in Pella — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#6 in IA, #101 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
- Pella Community School District (town): math 85% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #8 of 289 in IA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 122 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 816 days — a 12% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 816 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.82%
- DSCR
- 0.52
- GRM
- 14.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $304,479
- List price
- $259,500
- Delta
- -14.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -30.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-89,270
- Equity at exit
- $45,399
- IRR
- -17.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.17×
- Total profit
- $-99,648
- Equity at exit
- $26,326
Cash invested: $85,254 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50219
- Home prices YoY
- -33.5%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,705 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,597
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$381 /mo · $4,567/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$12
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $-769
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,120
- Closing costs
- $9,134
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1191 W 16th St Pella, IA | 3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1245 | $1,370 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1117 Sunflower Ln Pella, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1405 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1428 Edgewood Dr Pella, IA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1451 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 612 Bos Landen Dr Unit 5C Pella, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1293 | $2,200 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $12 · $144/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $259,500 Active 816 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,500 Active 815 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,500 Active 814 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,500 Active 813 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,500 Active 812 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $259,500 Active 810 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $259,500 Active 809 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,500 Active 806 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,500 Active 805 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,500 Active 804 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,500 Active 803 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,500 Active 800 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,500 Active 799 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,500 Active 798 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,500 Active 797 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $259,500 Active 796 DOM
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2024-03-25$259,500 Active 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
Destiny Homes presents their Terrace floor plan. This ranch plan features three bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and over 1700 square feet of finished space. The dining area sits at the front of the home and opens up to the kitchen/living room that boasts large picture windows, electric fireplace, pantry, island, and stainless steel appliances. Master bedroom features a walk-in closet, shower, and large vanity. Two more bedrooms and a full bath are located in the lower level of the home. There is a long list of standard features not often found at this price point, including electric fireplace, energy efficiency, SMART Home Automation, and 2x6 construction. Ask about $2,000 in closing costs provided by preferred lender.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,056
- − Property taxes
- −$4,567
- − Insurance
- −$1,522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,637
- − Management
- −$1,637
- − HOA
- −$144
- − Depreciation
- −$8,858
- Taxable loss
- −$14,957
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,590
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,638/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pella Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1922470
- Math proficiency
- 85% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 85% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,821
- Composite
- 73.32/100
- National rank
- #183
- State rank
- #8 of 289 in IA
Livability — Pella
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #101
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pella, IA
- County
- Marion County · 25,533 people
- City population
- 14,416
- Metro
- Pella, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,416
- Household income
- $86,807
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 374.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,883 people
- By 2030
- 32,685 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 31,892 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 30,691 · -6.7%
- By 2075
- 27,610 · -16.0%
- By 2100
- 23,851 · -27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 31% Portuguese 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.8) · D 30.4% · R 68.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -37.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.8 2020: R+33.7 2016: R+31.2 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+10.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.86%
- Current HPI
- 227.7361
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.16%
- Metro
- Pella, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2024-03-25 Listed $259,500 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…