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199 N Lake Ave Duplex
C+ Composite 60.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$320,000

199 N Lake Ave · Albany, NY 12206
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,032 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1900 4,791 sqft lot Est $234k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Turnkey investment opportunity in Albany's West Hill neighborhood! This fully tenant-occupied two-family property features 8 bedrooms and 2 full baths across two spacious units, providing immediate rental income from day one. Both apartments are leased, making this an ideal addition to an investor's portfolio. Situated on two adjoining lots (197 & 199 N Lake Ave), this unique offering provides additional land value and future potential. Opportunity to own a cash-flowing asset with established tenants already in place.

Key facts

  • Tenant occupied
  • Two family property
  • Cash flowing asset

Tags

TURNKEY INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYTENANT OCCUPIEDTWO FAMILY PROPERTYADDITIONAL LAND VALUECASH FLOWING ASSET

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces total
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex; Below-grade finished area present
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Paved driveway; Off-street parking

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 4 bedrooms; Unit 2: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (each unit has 1 full bath)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement with exterior and interior entry and walk-out access; Two separate living units (duplex)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $560/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $320k).
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albany City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,052/mo this rent would consume 117% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2035% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $90k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $61k; list at $320k implies a 425% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $320,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.49%
Cash-on-cash
14.99%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$233,680
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
184 N Lake Ave 0.02mi 6/2.0 1,974 (-3%) 1mo $195,000 $99 93
337 3rd St 0.15mi 6/2.0 2,058 (+1%) 1mo $160,000 $78 90
351 2nd St 0.14mi 6/2.0 2,056 (+1%) 3mo $184,002 $89 89
446 1st St 0.10mi 6/2.0 1,848 (-9%) 1mo $160,000 $87 79
339 2nd St 0.17mi 6/2.0 1,784 (-12%) 1mo $175,000 $98 71
9 Pennsylvania Ave 0.44mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,960 (-4%) 4mo $225,000 $115 65
10 Wilkins Ave 0.29mi 6/2.0 2,294 (+13%) 1mo $280,000 $122 64
18.5 Dudley Hts 0.56mi 6/2.0 2,200 (+8%) 0mo $289,900 $132 60
189 Elk St 0.68mi 6/2.0 1,880 (-8%) 2mo $89,900 $48 54
184 Quail St 0.58mi 6/3.0 1,853 (-9%) 4mo $231,000 $125 51
97 Lark St 0.63mi 6/3.0 2,214 (+9%) 4mo $259,000 $117 48
156 Lark St 0.70mi 6/3.0 1,728 (-15%) 1mo $235,000 $136 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$29,307
Equity at exit
$47,713
10-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$159,847
Equity at exit
$27,668

Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12206

Home prices YoY
-9.9%
Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,052 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$270 /mo · $3,244/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$851
Net cashflow
$1,119

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,635
Max offer price $320,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,300 -5% $1,210 +0% $1,119 +5% $1,029 +10% $938
Rent -10% $799 -5% $959 +0% $1,119 +5% $1,279 +10% $1,439
Rate -1.0pp $1,280 -0.5pp $1,201 base $1,119 +0.5pp $1,036 +1.0pp $952

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,052

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$80,000
Closing costs
$9,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
69 Winthrop Ave Albany, NY 6.0 2.0 2800 $2,795 $1.00 24d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 525-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $320,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,244 · $270/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,326 · $361/mo
Expected delta
+$1,082/yr (+$90/mo · 33.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,624
− Mortgage interest
−$17,925
− Property taxes
−$3,244
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,890
− Management
−$3,890
− Depreciation
−$9,309
Taxable income
$8,766
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,104
After-tax cash flow
$11,328/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albany City School District
NCES district ID
3602460
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,568
Composite
32.34/100
National rank
#5744
State rank
#543 of 590 in NY

Livability — Albany

Score
79/100
State rank
#129
US rank
#2083

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albany, NY
County
Albany County · 196,626 people
City population
116,921
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
14,572
Household income
$41,548
Rent vs Own
73.4% rent · 26.6% own
Severe rent burden
2035.0

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
Black 38% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 12% Asian 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.24%
Current HPI
275.8109
Rent YoY
▲ 5.37%
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+481.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $320,000 Global MLS
  • 2022-03-23 Price Changed $1,550 RENT.
  • 2014-04-27 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2014-03-16 Listed $30,000 Global MLS
  • 2008-12-15 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2008-06-16 Listed $98,000 Global MLS
  • 2006-12-22 Sold (MLS) $61,000 Global MLS
  • 2006-10-16 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2006-07-06 Listed $60,900 Global MLS
  • 2004-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,244 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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