18 E Rocket Cir · Park Forest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.7/30.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +5.4/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$153,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this beautifully updated, move-in ready 3 bedroom/1 and a half bath ranch home offering comfort, convenience, and peace of mind. Experience easy, single-level living with an open layout and plenty of natural light throughout, plus an attached, heated garage. Enjoy peace of mind for years to come as all major items have been recently updated: HVAC replaced in 2022, new roof in 2020, windows replaced in 2006, new electric with breaker panel in 2022, water heater 2021, newer stainless steel kitchen appliances, newer washer and dryer. Step outside to the spacious, private, peaceful backyard-perfect for entertaining, gardening, or simply relaxing. Fantastic location - close to
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Open layout
- Single-level living
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $153k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $153k).
- Recommended offer: $144k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $119k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.19%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $146,250
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 433 Lakewood Blvd | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (+7%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $132 | 80 |
| 131 Sauk Trl | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,148 (-2%) | 2mo | $144,000 | $125 | 75 |
| 308 Minocqua St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,148 (-2%) | 1mo | $139,000 | $121 | 72 |
| 251 Westwood Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+7%) | 2mo | $217,000 | $174 | 69 |
| 210 Marquette St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,269 (+8%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $121 | 67 |
| 223 Miami St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,162 (-1%) | 1mo | $166,000 | $143 | 65 |
| 306 Winnebago St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (-7%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $97 | 58 |
| 360 Niagara St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,231 (+5%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $122 | 57 |
| 356 Wilshire St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (+7%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $40 | 57 |
| 314 Windsor St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (-13%) | 2mo | $141,000 | $139 | 52 |
| 208 Miami St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,053 (-10%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $166 | 51 |
| 254 Blackhawk Dr | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-14%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $105 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-5,937
- Equity at exit
- $22,813
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $19,777
- Equity at exit
- $13,229
Cash invested: $42,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60466
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,137 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$802
- Tax from tax record
- −$530 /mo · $6,358/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $292
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $379 | -5% $336 | +0% $292 | +5% $249 | +10% $206 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $123 | -5% $208 | +0% $292 | +5% $377 | +10% $461 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $369 | -0.5pp $331 | base $292 | +0.5pp $253 | +1.0pp $212 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,250
- Closing costs
- $4,590
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 372 Oswego St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 11 Fir St Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $2,069 | $2.02 | 0d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,995 | $1.94 | 0d | 11 | 0.65mi |
| 411 Huron St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,200 | $2.01 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 400 Watseka St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $2,161 | $1.86 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 111 Nashua St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $2,000 | $2.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 490 Shabbona Dr Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 194 Monee Rd Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,971 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 23439 Western Ave Unit C29 Park Forest, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,570 | $1.61 | 0d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 8d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3905 Tower Dr Richton Park, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,795 | $1.98 | 0d | 19 | 1.27mi |
| 235 Tampa St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,000 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 631 Andover St Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-21status Active
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-11price $153,000
-
2026-02-12$155,000 Active
-
2025-10-16historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2025-10-16historical
-
2025-10-03Active
-
2006-01-18soldstatus $119,000
-
1998-07-01soldstatus $86,500
-
1985-07-01soldstatus $53,900
-
1979-11-06soldstatus $47,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,358 · $530/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,358 · $530/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,643
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,570
- − Property taxes
- −$6,358
- − Insurance
- −$765
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,051
- − Management
- −$2,051
- − Depreciation
- −$4,451
- Taxable income
- $1,396
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$335
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,172/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Park Forest
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #2726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Park Forest, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 21,461
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,461
- Household income
- $61,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 900.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.87%
- Current HPI
- 219.9692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+222.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $153,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Listed $155,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-03 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $119,000 Public Records
- 1998-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records
- 1985-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,900 Public Records
- 1979-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2023): $6,358 · +91.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…