400 Brookside Dr · Caseyville, IL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all FLIPPERS, INVESTORS, and DREAMERS: This secluded home sits on over 2 unique acres and is loaded with potential and ready for you to bring your dreams and your tools. Being sold AS-IS. Cash or Cash equivalent. Buyer/Buyer's agent to verify all information to their satisfaction. Video/Audio monitoring on premises. Call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
Key facts
- 2.13 acre lot
- Built 1937
- Listed 33 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage reported; Seller may consider concessions
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Aerobic septic system; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity and water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half stories; Residential property
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Irregular lot; Approximately 2.13 acres
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on upper level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper/main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full walk-out basement; Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $85k (15.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.3% in Caseyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#241 in IL, #4,389 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Collinsville CUSD 10 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #465 of 620 in IL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Collinsville High School (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #427 of 693 statewide, top 62%, 1,978 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.09%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,379
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -39.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Spicer Dr | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 672 (-4%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $74 | 75 |
| 347 Brookside Dr | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 748 (+7%) | 6mo | $99,000 | $132 | 71 |
| 319 Brookside Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 720 (+3%) | 23mo | $60,000 | $83 | 60 |
| 400 S 2nd St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 780 (+11%) | 17mo | $129,900 | $167 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-21,235
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-23,901
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62232
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,513 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$254 /mo · $3,046/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $-85
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-28 | -5% $-57 | +0% $-85 | +5% $-113 | +10% $-142 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-205 | -5% $-145 | +0% $-85 | +5% $-25 | +10% $34 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-35 | -0.5pp $-60 | base $-85 | +0.5pp $-111 | +1.0pp $-137 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-31status $100,000 Pending 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-28$100,000 Active 387-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,046 · $254/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,046 · $254/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$3,046
- − Insurance
- −$6,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,452
- − Management
- −$1,452
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable loss
- −$2,330
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$559
- After-tax cash flow
- $-461/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collinsville CUSD 10
- NCES district ID
- 1710650
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,504
- Composite
- 15.65/100
- National rank
- #9288
- State rank
- #465 of 620 in IL
Livability — Caseyville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #241
- US rank
- #4389
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Caseyville, IL
- City population
- 7,480
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,480
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 9% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.21%
- Current HPI
- 124.0291
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-31 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2024): $3,046 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…