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9725 Aspen Ln 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 68.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

9725 Aspen Ln · Superior, MI 48198
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,792 sqft · SingleFamily · 35 Days on market
Built 2018 Good condition 4,356 sqft lot $53/sqft · 74% below area ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to the desirable Arbor Woods Manufactured Home Community. This 2018, 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers almost 1,800 square feet of living space. Step inside to a large living room and an open kitchen featuring a large island, ample cabinet space, and a separate dining area. The primary bedroom is a true retreat with a walk-in closet and a private ensuite complete with a soaking tub, separate tiled shower, and double sinks. The additional bedrooms are generously sized and comfortable. A sizable shed is included for extra storage. Enjoy the community's in-ground pool for summertime fun, along with two ponds, a spacious clubhouse, playground, and pet-friendly environment. Lot rent is $733 per month, and there are no property taxes on the home. Pets are welcome, and manufactured home loans are accepted. Ask me for lender contacts if needed. NOTE: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Agents, no special license is required to bring a buyer. BATAVI.

Key facts

  • Private bath
  • Large living room
  • Large island

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMOPEN KITCHENLARGE ISLANDAMPLE CABINET SPACESEPARATE DINING AREAPRIVATE BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.1 acre (50 x 100)
  • HOA & community: Community pool; Community clubhouse; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway, no garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Shed on property; Community indoor in-ground pool; Clubhouse

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in gas oven; Gas cooktop; Microwave; Dishwasher; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Crawl space basement; Laundry room; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $95,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$360,078) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $874 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Ypsilanti Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #501 of 540 in MI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 166 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 996 units permitted in Washtenaw County in 2024 (492 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washtenaw County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.04%
Cap rate
17.33%
Cash-on-cash
39.41%
DSCR
2.75
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$360,078
List price
$95,000
Delta
-73.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9871 High Meadow Dr 0.43mi 3/2.5 1,795 (+0%) 8mo $368,000 $205 71
9731 Ravenshire Dr 0.30mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,783 (-0%) 10mo $400,000 $224 70
9539 Glenhill Dr 0.34mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,814 (+1%) 8mo $355,000 $196 68
1928 White Oak Lane, Lot #260 0.13mi 3/2.0 2,030 (+13%) 5mo $60,391 $30 67
10153 E Avondale Cir 0.62mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,790 (-0%) 2mo $400,000 $223 60
1666 Golfview Dr 0.61mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,811 (+1%) 1mo $369,900 $204 60
9773 Ravenshire Dr 0.48mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,802 (+1%) 12mo $360,000 $200 59
1542 Weeping Willow Ct 0.65mi 3/2.5 1,704 (-5%) 10mo $385,000 $226 52
1507 Weeping Willow Ct 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,658 (-8%) 9mo $380,604 $230 49
1433 Weeping Willow Ct 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,570 (-12%) 5mo $374,308 $238 43
1645 Golfview Dr 0.66mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,040 (+14%) 1mo $385,000 $189 38
1659 Greenway Dr 0.70mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,040 (+14%) 3mo $350,000 $172 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.3%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$43,007
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
44.5%
Equity multiple
5.54×
Total profit
$120,729
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48198

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,937 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$407
Net cashflow
$874

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $939 -5% $907 +0% $874 +5% $841 +10% $808
Rent -10% $721 -5% $797 +0% $874 +5% $950 +10% $1,027
Rate -1.0pp $922 -0.5pp $898 base $874 +0.5pp $849 +1.0pp $824

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1525 Devon St Ypsilanti, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,300 $1.77 44d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $95,000 Pending 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    listed $100,000 Active 1013-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1007 chars)

    Welcome home to the desirable Arbor Woods Manufactured Home Community. This 2018, 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers almost 1,800 square feet of living space. Step inside to a large living room and an open kitchen featuring a large island, ample cabinet space, and a separate dining area. The primary bedroom is a true retreat with a walk-in closet and a private ensuite complete with a soaking tub, separate tiled shower, and double sinks. The additional bedrooms are generously sized and comfortable. A sizable shed is included for extra storage. Enjoy the community's in-ground pool for summertime fun, along with two ponds, a spacious clubhouse, playground, and pet-friendly environment. Lot rent is $733 per month, and there are no property taxes on the home. Pets are welcome, and manufactured home loans are accepted. Ask me for lender contacts if needed. NOTE: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Agents, no special license is required to bring a buyer. BATAVI.

  16. 2026-05-13
    listed $100,000 Active 1007-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1007 chars)

    Welcome home to the desirable Arbor Woods Manufactured Home Community. This 2018, 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers almost 1,800 square feet of living space. Step inside to a large living room and an open kitchen featuring a large island, ample cabinet space, and a separate dining area. The primary bedroom is a true retreat with a walk-in closet and a private ensuite complete with a soaking tub, separate tiled shower, and double sinks. The additional bedrooms are generously sized and comfortable. A sizable shed is included for extra storage. Enjoy the community's in-ground pool for summertime fun, along with two ponds, a spacious clubhouse, playground, and pet-friendly environment. Lot rent is $733 per month, and there are no property taxes on the home. Pets are welcome, and manufactured home loans are accepted. Ask me for lender contacts if needed. NOTE: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Agents, no special license is required to bring a buyer. BATAVI.

  17. 2026-05-12
    listed $95,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,244
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,860
− Management
−$1,860
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$9,540
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,290
After-tax cash flow
$8,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 27 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2018 manufactured home in Arbor Woods is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It features a modern kitchen, two bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its rental value
  • Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms can add value and appeal to potential buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its rental value
  • Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms can add value and appeal to potential buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ypsilanti Community Schools
NCES district ID
2636630
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,759
Composite
12.98/100
National rank
#9572
State rank
#501 of 540 in MI

Livability — Superior

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Washtenaw County · 306,860 people
Metro
Ann Arbor, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,244
Household income
$63,326
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
1998.0

Population outlook (Washtenaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
402,878 people
By 2030
424,104 · +5.3%
By 2040
464,633 · +15.3%
By 2050
504,728 · +25.3%
By 2075
614,463 · +52.5%
By 2100
676,181 · +67.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 32% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washtenaw

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.4) · D 71.0% · R 26.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 41.0pp · 2024: 44.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.4 2020: D+46.6 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+36.0 2008: D+41.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -224.96%
Current HPI
204.1228
Rent YoY
▲ 4.38%
Metro
Ann Arbor, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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