1428 Brown Ave · Galesburg, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience the ease of single-story living in this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom Galesburg ranch. Perfectly situated for those who value both comfort and functionality, this home welcomes you with a layout designed to simplify your daily routine. The heart of the home features a spacious eat-in kitchen, offering a warm and inviting atmosphere for everything from quick morning breakfasts to relaxed evening meals. One of the standout features is the highly sought-after main floor laundry, providing ultimate convenience by keeping your chores on the primary living level. Outside, the property includes a sturdy 1.5-stall garage, offering the perfect amount of extra width for a vehicle plus add
Key facts
- Single-story living
- Main floor laundry
- 1.5-stall garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (about 1.5 car capacity)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Living area approximately 1016
- Construction: Built in 1950
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms; Bedroom 1 (Main level) — approx. 16.03 x 13.01, carpeted, has egress window; Bedroom 2 (Main level) — approx. 9.1 x 8.04, carpeted, has egress window; Bedroom 3 (Main level) — approx. 10.11 x 8.1, carpeted, has egress window
- Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl in laundry
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for heating/cooling
- Interior features: Refrigerator included; Partial, unfinished basement; Egress windows in some rooms; No fireplaces
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (vinyl flooring, approx. 5.02 x 2.03)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 6.4% in Galesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Galesburg CUSD 205 (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #488 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Galesburg Senior High School (math 19% / reading 24%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,762 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $64k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.75%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $90,237
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -11.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1428 Brown Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,016 (0%) | 0mo | $64,500 | $63 | 100 |
| 1064 Johnston St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (+3%) | 1mo | $126,000 | $120 | 79 |
| 1471 Russell Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,065 (+5%) | 1mo | $87,500 | $82 | 72 |
| 1490 Meadow Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,065 (+5%) | 2mo | $103,000 | $97 | 70 |
| 1480 Russell Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-9%) | 1mo | $112,000 | $121 | 66 |
| 1479 Meadow Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-9%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $114 | 62 |
| 1416 N Kellogg St | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,080 (+6%) | 1mo | $123,000 | $114 | 58 |
| 845 E Losey St | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,003 (-1%) | 1mo | $123,900 | $124 | 56 |
| 784 Florence Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 944 (-7%) | 6mo | $138,000 | $146 | 51 |
| 1212 Klein Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (+15%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $112 | 51 |
| 712 Beecher Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,110 (+9%) | 4mo | $48,000 | $43 | 51 |
| 1215 E Losey St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (+13%) | 6mo | $116,000 | $101 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-141
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $16,492
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61401
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,637/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $201
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1156 E Losey St Galesburg, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,000 | $0.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-13$1,200
-
2026-05-09status Pending 1102-char remark
-
2026-04-22$80,000 Active 1102-char remark
-
2022-10-31soldstatus $54,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,637 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,726 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- +$90/yr (+$7/mo · 5.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,637
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,235
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$296
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,113/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galesburg CUSD 205
- NCES district ID
- 1716080
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,901
- Composite
- 14.46/100
- National rank
- #9427
- State rank
- #488 of 620 in IL
Livability — Galesburg
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #7601
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Galesburg, IL
- City population
- 32,318
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,684
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,224 people
- By 2030
- 46,333 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 42,424 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 38,929 · -19.3%
- By 2075
- 31,523 · -34.6%
- By 2100
- 24,092 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.48%
- Current HPI
- 157.276
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+18.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $64,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $80,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,637 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…