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1428 Brown Ave
C+ Composite 64.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

1428 Brown Ave · Galesburg, IL 61401
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,016 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1950 6,534 sqft lot $79/sqft · 11% below area Est $90k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience the ease of single-story living in this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom Galesburg ranch. Perfectly situated for those who value both comfort and functionality, this home welcomes you with a layout designed to simplify your daily routine. The heart of the home features a spacious eat-in kitchen, offering a warm and inviting atmosphere for everything from quick morning breakfasts to relaxed evening meals. One of the standout features is the highly sought-after main floor laundry, providing ultimate convenience by keeping your chores on the primary living level. Outside, the property includes a sturdy 1.5-stall garage, offering the perfect amount of extra width for a vehicle plus add

Key facts

  • Single-story living
  • Main floor laundry
  • 1.5-stall garage

Tags

SINGLE-STORY LIVINGSPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHENMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY1.5-STALL GARAGEUNFINISHED PARTIAL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (about 1.5 car capacity)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Living area approximately 1016
  • Construction: Built in 1950
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms; Bedroom 1 (Main level) — approx. 16.03 x 13.01, carpeted, has egress window; Bedroom 2 (Main level) — approx. 9.1 x 8.04, carpeted, has egress window; Bedroom 3 (Main level) — approx. 10.11 x 8.1, carpeted, has egress window
  • Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl in laundry
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for heating/cooling
  • Interior features: Refrigerator included; Partial, unfinished basement; Egress windows in some rooms; No fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (vinyl flooring, approx. 5.02 x 2.03)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 6.4% in Galesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Galesburg CUSD 205 (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #488 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Galesburg Senior High School (math 19% / reading 24%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,762 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $64k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $78,800 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.30%
Cash-on-cash
10.75%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$90,237
List price
$80,000
Delta
-11.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1428 Brown Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,016 (0%) 0mo $64,500 $63 100
1064 Johnston St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,048 (+3%) 1mo $126,000 $120 79
1471 Russell Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,065 (+5%) 1mo $87,500 $82 72
1490 Meadow Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,065 (+5%) 2mo $103,000 $97 70
1480 Russell Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 925 (-9%) 1mo $112,000 $121 66
1479 Meadow Dr 0.45mi 3/1.0 925 (-9%) 2mo $105,000 $114 62
1416 N Kellogg St 0.51mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,080 (+6%) 1mo $123,000 $114 58
845 E Losey St 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,003 (-1%) 1mo $123,900 $124 56
784 Florence Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 944 (-7%) 6mo $138,000 $146 51
1212 Klein Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,164 (+15%) 1mo $130,000 $112 51
712 Beecher Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,110 (+9%) 4mo $48,000 $43 51
1215 E Losey St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,152 (+13%) 6mo $116,000 $101 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-141
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$16,492
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61401

Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,637/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$201

Break-even live

Break-even rent $746
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1156 E Losey St Galesburg, IL 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,000 $0.67 43d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    listed $1,200
  2. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 1102-char remark
  3. 2026-04-22
    listed $80,000 Active 1102-char remark
  4. 2022-10-31
    soldstatus $54,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,637 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,726 · $144/mo
Expected delta
+$90/yr (+$7/mo · 5.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,000
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,637
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$960
− Management
−$960
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$1,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$296
After-tax cash flow
$2,113/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galesburg CUSD 205
NCES district ID
1716080
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,901
Composite
14.46/100
National rank
#9427
State rank
#488 of 620 in IL

Livability — Galesburg

Score
70/100
State rank
#367
US rank
#7601

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galesburg, IL
City population
32,318
Population (ZIP)
30,684

Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,224 people
By 2030
46,333 · -3.9%
By 2040
42,424 · -12.0%
By 2050
38,929 · -19.3%
By 2075
31,523 · -34.6%
By 2100
24,092 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Knox

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.48%
Current HPI
157.276
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $64,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-09 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $80,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,637 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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