860 Prouty Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +1.0/15.0
$52,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
10% BUYER'S PREMIUM WILL BE CHARGED. AUCTION MAR 30 AT 5:30PM. EARN UP TO 30% OF COLLECTED COMMISSION BY REGISTERING BUYER ON LOSS REALTY GROUP PARTICIPATION AGREEMENT 24 HRS IN ADVANCE OF AUCTION. FOR MORE DETAILS CALL 534-6223. OLD SOUTH TOLEDO. 3 BEDROOM, LARGE ROOMS. OLD WORLD CRAFTSMANSHIP . EXCELLENT INVESTMENT. ADD TO YOUR PORTFOLIO.
Key facts
- 5,700 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1914
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($932 rent vs $53k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Pickett Elementary School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,554 of 1,584 statewide, top 100%, 274 students, 0% FRL); Rogers High School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #689 of 781 statewide, top 90%, 721 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $762 of equity ($366 loan paydown + $396 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.73%
- DSCR
- 2.28
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $46,190
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 428 Havre St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,392 (-7%) | 8mo | $43,800 | $31 | 69 |
| 1207 Colton St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,546 (+4%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $36 | 69 |
| 245 Langdon St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,538 (+3%) | 9mo | $23,500 | $15 | 65 |
| 559 Prouty Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,407 (-6%) | 6mo | $5,200 | $4 | 64 |
| 837 Lorain St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (-7%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $54 | 54 |
| 435 Crittenden Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-6%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $53 | 52 |
| 413 Walbridge Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-7%) | 7mo | $27,450 | $20 | 47 |
| 812 Bartley Pl | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,337 (-10%) | 11mo | $27,500 | $21 | 44 |
| 210 Charles St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,712 (+15%) | 7mo | $47,500 | $28 | 44 |
| 650 Curtis St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (-13%) | 3mo | $39,000 | $30 | 43 |
| 1411 Colton St | 0.74mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,624 (+9%) | 10mo | $58,500 | $36 | 37 |
| 634 Spencer St | 0.74mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,294 (-13%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $66 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $27,675
- Equity at exit
- $17,373
- IRR
- 40.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.66×
- Total profit
- $83,820
- Equity at exit
- $22,565
Cash invested: $14,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43609
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $932 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$277
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $988/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$196
- Net cashflow
- $355
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,225
- Closing costs
- $1,587
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 837 Colburn St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $695 | $0.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 837 Colburn St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $700 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 827 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $750 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 771 Orchard St Unit 7715 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $645 | $0.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1021 Walbridge Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1592 | $975 | $0.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2424 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,049 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 244 Knower St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $995 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 724 Spencer St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1127 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 532 Carlton St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 523 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,350 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $900 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2594 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 825 Brighton Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1533 | $1,350 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 337 Broadway St Unit 201 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1455 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2802 Broadway St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1650 | $1,400 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-02-05soldstatus $45,000
-
2026-01-12status Pending
-
2025-12-28$52,900 Active
-
2010-12-06soldstatus $36,600
-
1999-04-30soldstatus $26,400
-
1999-04-28soldstatus $26,400 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
10% BUYER'S PREMIUM WILL BE CHARGED. AUCTION MAR 30 AT 5:30PM. EARN UP TO 30% OF COLLECTED COMMISSION BY REGISTERING BUYER ON LOSS REALTY GROUP PARTICIPATION AGREEMENT 24 HRS IN ADVANCE OF AUCTION. FOR MORE DETAILS CALL 534-6223. OLD SOUTH TOLEDO. 3 BEDROOM, LARGE ROOMS. OLD WORLD CRAFTSMANSHIP . EXCELLENT INVESTMENT. ADD TO YOUR PORTFOLIO.
-
1999-03-01$26,400 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
10% BUYER'S PREMIUM WILL BE CHARGED. AUCTION MAR 30 AT 5:30PM. EARN UP TO 30% OF COLLECTED COMMISSION BY REGISTERING BUYER ON LOSS REALTY GROUP PARTICIPATION AGREEMENT 24 HRS IN ADVANCE OF AUCTION. FOR MORE DETAILS CALL 534-6223. OLD SOUTH TOLEDO. 3 BEDROOM, LARGE ROOMS. OLD WORLD CRAFTSMANSHIP . EXCELLENT INVESTMENT. ADD TO YOUR PORTFOLIO.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $988 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $988 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,963
- − Property taxes
- −$988
- − Insurance
- −$264
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$895
- − Management
- −$895
- − Depreciation
- −$1,539
- Taxable income
- $3,642
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$874
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,382/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,404
- Household income
- $42,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Current HPI
- 235.2515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.80%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+70.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2026-01-12 Pending — NORIS
- 2025-12-28 Listed $52,900 NORIS
- 2010-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $36,600 Public Records
- 1999-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $26,400 Public Records
- 1999-04-28 Sold (MLS) $26,400 NORIS
- 1999-03-01 Listed $26,400 NORIS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $988 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…