9707 N Lombard St · Portland, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$450,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large Old Portland Home with lots of charm New roof,hot water heater, interior paint, wood floors,The living room dining room has a wood burning fireplace. Large corner lot Lombard traffic is in the process of changing. Detached garage possible extra living space. The basement unfinished Cash Only
Key facts
- Wood floors
- Quartzite counters
- Farmhouse sink
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Green certified
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway and on-street parking; Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Fiber optics internet available; Gas fuel
- Home design: Single family residence (residential); Updated / remodeled; No shared/attached units; Property address: 9707 N Lombard St, Portland, OR 97203
- Construction: Built in 1925; Wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Concrete perimeter / stem wall foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Patio; Porch; Public road access; Corner lot; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range; Dishwasher; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave; Quartz counter(s); Tile floor; Eat bar; Exterior entry from kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with closet and wood floors; Second bedroom on main level with closet and wood floors; Third bedroom on upper level with walk-in closet and wood floors; Fourth bedroom on upper level with walk-in closet and wood floors
- Flooring: Wood floors; Tile floors; Quartz surfaces noted in interior and kitchen
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Soaking tub; Washer/Dryer hook-ups; Wood-burning fireplace; Double pane windows with vinyl frames; Partial unfinished basement; Garage on main (accessibility)
- Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer (washer/dryer listed as interior feature); Gas hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-249 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $406k (9.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $330k (26.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $330k (26.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sitton Elementary School (345 students, 70% FRL); George Middle School (387 students, 64% FRL); Roosevelt High School (1,484 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 37% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,301/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 1401% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($443k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.37%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $544,334
- List price
- $450,000
- Delta
- -17.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9945 N Lombard St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,567 (+1%) | 2mo | $449,900 | $287 | 81 |
| 9953 N Central St | 0.20mi | 4/1.0 | 1,453 (-6%) | 8mo | $440,000 | $303 | 74 |
| 9816 N Central St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,624 (+5%) | 5mo | $465,000 | $286 | 73 |
| 7217 N Catlin Ave | 0.17mi | 4/3.0 | 1,460 (-6%) | 6mo | $525,000 | $360 | 69 |
| 9116 N Syracuse St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,635 (+5%) | 7mo | $429,000 | $262 | 66 |
| 9560 N Ivanhoe St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,360 (-12%) | 2mo | $541,000 | $398 | 63 |
| 9216 N Smith St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+3%) | 14mo | $527,000 | $329 | 61 |
| 8334 N Fessenden St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 1,513 (-2%) | 14mo | $436,465 | $288 | 54 |
| 9607 N Pier Park Pl | 0.45mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,486 (-4%) | 8mo | $505,000 | $340 | 52 |
| 9619 N Kalmar St | 0.49mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,458 (-6%) | 6mo | $490,000 | $336 | 50 |
| 8324 N Johnswood Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,360 (-12%) | 3mo | $463,000 | $340 | 34 |
| 8564 N Mohawk Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,368 (-12%) | 11mo | $499,000 | $365 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-91,806
- Equity at exit
- $67,096
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-112,594
- Equity at exit
- $38,908
Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Portland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+39
ZIP-level market 97203
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,301 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,360
- Tax from tax record
- −$309 /mo · $3,711/yr
- Insurance
- −$188
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$693
- Net cashflow
- $-249
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $6 | -5% $-122 | +0% $-249 | +5% $-376 | +10% $-504 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-510 | -5% $-379 | +0% $-249 | +5% $-118 | +10% $12 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-22 | -0.5pp $-134 | base $-249 | +0.5pp $-365 | +1.0pp $-484 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,500
- Closing costs
- $13,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9833 N Lombard St Unit 9833 Portland, OR | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,495 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 9626 N Seneca St Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6824 N Catlin Ave Unit A Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $5,995 | $3.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 6824 N Catlin Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $5,995 | $3.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7937 N Fessenden St Unit 7927 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,945 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7731 N Decatur St Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1522 | $2,995 | $1.97 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6842 N Mears St Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $2,895 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6815 N Sky St Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $2,895 | $2.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 1050-char remark
-
2026-04-23$450,000 Active 1050-char remark
-
2018-05-21soldstatus $300,000 Sold 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Large Old Portland Home with lots of charm New roof,hot water heater, interior paint, wood floors,The living room dining room has a wood burning fireplace. Large corner lot Lombard traffic is in the process of changing. Detached garage possible extra living space. The basement unfinished Cash Only
-
2018-02-27status Pending 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Large Old Portland Home with lots of charm New roof,hot water heater, interior paint, wood floors,The living room dining room has a wood burning fireplace. Large corner lot Lombard traffic is in the process of changing. Detached garage possible extra living space. The basement unfinished Cash Only
-
2018-02-24price $315,000 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Large Old Portland Home with lots of charm New roof,hot water heater, interior paint, wood floors,The living room dining room has a wood burning fireplace. Large corner lot Lombard traffic is in the process of changing. Detached garage possible extra living space. The basement unfinished Cash Only
-
2018-02-24price $300,000 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Large Old Portland Home with lots of charm New roof,hot water heater, interior paint, wood floors,The living room dining room has a wood burning fireplace. Large corner lot Lombard traffic is in the process of changing. Detached garage possible extra living space. The basement unfinished Cash Only
-
2018-02-20status Active 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Large Old Portland Home with lots of charm New roof,hot water heater, interior paint, wood floors,The living room dining room has a wood burning fireplace. Large corner lot Lombard traffic is in the process of changing. Detached garage possible extra living space. The basement unfinished Cash Only
-
2018-01-31status Pending 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Large Old Portland Home with lots of charm New roof,hot water heater, interior paint, wood floors,The living room dining room has a wood burning fireplace. Large corner lot Lombard traffic is in the process of changing. Detached garage possible extra living space. The basement unfinished Cash Only
-
2017-12-22price $349,900 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Large Old Portland Home with lots of charm New roof,hot water heater, interior paint, wood floors,The living room dining room has a wood burning fireplace. Large corner lot Lombard traffic is in the process of changing. Detached garage possible extra living space. The basement unfinished Cash Only
-
2017-10-03price $389,900 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Large Old Portland Home with lots of charm New roof,hot water heater, interior paint, wood floors,The living room dining room has a wood burning fireplace. Large corner lot Lombard traffic is in the process of changing. Detached garage possible extra living space. The basement unfinished Cash Only
-
2017-09-13price $424,900 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Large Old Portland Home with lots of charm New roof,hot water heater, interior paint, wood floors,The living room dining room has a wood burning fireplace. Large corner lot Lombard traffic is in the process of changing. Detached garage possible extra living space. The basement unfinished Cash Only
-
2017-08-31price $434,900 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Large Old Portland Home with lots of charm New roof,hot water heater, interior paint, wood floors,The living room dining room has a wood burning fireplace. Large corner lot Lombard traffic is in the process of changing. Detached garage possible extra living space. The basement unfinished Cash Only
-
2017-08-19$449,900 Active 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Large Old Portland Home with lots of charm New roof,hot water heater, interior paint, wood floors,The living room dining room has a wood burning fireplace. Large corner lot Lombard traffic is in the process of changing. Detached garage possible extra living space. The basement unfinished Cash Only
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,711 · $309/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,365 · $364/mo
- Expected delta
- +$654/yr (+$54/mo · 17.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,611
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,207
- − Property taxes
- −$3,711
- − Insurance
- −$2,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,169
- − Management
- −$3,169
- − Depreciation
- −$13,091
- Taxable loss
- −$10,986
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,637
- After-tax cash flow
- $-350/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portland SD 1J
- NCES district ID
- 4110040
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,851
- Composite
- 47.1/100
- National rank
- #5112
- State rank
- #23 of 183 in OR
Livability — Portland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #3256
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portland, OR
- County
- Multnomah County · 786,692 people
- City population
- 774,334
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,116
- Household income
- $78,660
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1401.0
Population outlook (Multnomah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 930,825 people
- By 2030
- 996,904 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,121,379 · +20.5%
- By 2050
- 1,242,124 · +33.4%
- By 2075
- 1,464,431 · +57.3%
- By 2100
- 1,576,181 · +69.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 16% Black 12% Asian 6% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Multnomah
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+62.1) · D 79.3% · R 17.2% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: 56.1pp · 2024: 62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+62.1 2020: D+61.3 2016: D+58.3 2012: D+54.9 2008: D+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -356.36%
- Current HPI
- 348.4979
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+1.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $455,000 RMLS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $450,000 RMLS
- 2018-05-21 Sold (MLS) $300,000 RMLS
- 2018-02-27 Pending — RMLS
- 2018-02-24 Price Changed $315,000 RMLS
- 2018-02-24 Price Changed $300,000 RMLS
- 2018-02-20 Relisted — RMLS
- 2018-01-31 Pending — RMLS
- 2017-12-22 Price Changed $349,900 RMLS
- 2017-10-03 Price Changed $389,900 RMLS
- 2017-09-13 Price Changed $424,900 RMLS
- 2017-08-31 Price Changed $434,900 RMLS
- 2017-08-19 Listed $449,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,711 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…