408 N Bell Ave · Springfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity on a quiet dead-end street. 3 additional parcels included.
Key facts
- 4,900 sq ft lot
- Built 1891
- Listed 9 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Supplied water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; House
- Construction: Built in 1891; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Residential lot; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 140
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (14 x 13)
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (15 x 13); Bedroom 2 (15 x 13)
- Bathrooms: 2 total bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.8% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $100k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.23%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,086
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 N Western Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,460 (-2%) | 4mo | $157,000 | $108 | 82 |
| 1208 Broadway St | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,392 (-6%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $126 | 70 |
| 1323 Broadway St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 1,356 (-9%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $103 | 69 |
| 311 N Shaffer St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,610 (+8%) | 4mo | $152,000 | $94 | 66 |
| 306 N Bechtle Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,288 (-13%) | 2mo | $169,900 | $132 | 57 |
| 308 N Bechtle Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,326 (-11%) | 13mo | $121,000 | $91 | 52 |
| 833 W Mulberry St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,448 (-3%) | 7mo | $154,500 | $107 | 52 |
| 720 W Columbia St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,651 (+11%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $85 | 48 |
| 1417 W Main St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,668 (+12%) | 3mo | $142,500 | $85 | 47 |
| 970 Hillcrest Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,328 (-11%) | 11mo | $35,000 | $26 | 43 |
| 1865 Overlook Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,627 (+10%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $101 | 39 |
| 1815 Broadway St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,650 (+11%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $94 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $4,947
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $31,542
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45504
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,255 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $332
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 826 Grant St Springfield, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 307 N Isabella St Unit 309 Springfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 2d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 147 S Shaffer St Springfield, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 19d | 1 | 0.58mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $100,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 87-char remark
-
2026-06-05$100,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,124 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,342 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- +$218/yr (+$18/mo · 19.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,066
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,124
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,205
- − Management
- −$1,205
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,521
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$605
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,380/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904481
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,541
- Composite
- 19.12/100
- National rank
- #8834
- State rank
- #616 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1108
- US rank
- #22551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OH
- County
- Clark · 134,280 people
- City population
- 33,261
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,654
- Household income
- $67,334
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6.4
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,703 people
- By 2030
- 126,952 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 118,344 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 109,590 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 89,464 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 68,810 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.72%
- Current HPI
- 240.7049
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+233.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $100,000 WRIST
- 2019-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2015-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1994-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,124 · +32.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…