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8353 Ashwood Rd #8353 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 71.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

8353 Ashwood Rd #8353 · Jessup, MD 20794
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · SingleFamily · 24 Days on market
Built 1998 Good condition $81/sqft · 64% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath double-wide mobile home in desirable Brentwood Manor of Howard County. Featuring vaulted ceilings, an abundance of natural light, and new LVP flooring throughout, this home feels bright, open, and inviting. The updated kitchen offers quartz countertops and modern finishes, while the cozy fireplace adds warmth and charm. Freshly painted with new light fixtures, this move-in ready home is the perfect blend of comfort and style. * * Ground rent is $1075/month and includes: Trash/Recycle, Snow Removal of the roads only; Common ground maintenance and all large trees NOT planted by the mobile homeowner or mobile homeowner's previous own

Key facts

  • Built 1998
  • Listed 23 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership: ground rent
  • Financial info: Ground rent payable monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Above-grade construction
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Other above-grade structures; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (including two full on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Soaking tub; Walk-in shower; Dining area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $145,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$402,740) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#259 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-, schools F, crime D-.
  • Howard County Public Schools (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #1 of 24 in MD (top 4%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 881 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (285 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Howard County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $142,825 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.11%
Cap rate
17.97%
Cash-on-cash
41.71%
DSCR
2.86
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$402,740
List price
$145,000
Delta
-64.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8368 Ashwood Rd 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,816 (+1%) 13mo $144,900 $80 84
8342 Gatewood 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,680 (-7%) 11mo $139,900 $83 73
8343 Gatewood Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,624 (-10%) 11mo $90,000 $55 69
8419 Sandalwood Ct 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,624 (-10%) 10mo $150,000 $92 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.3%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$66,431
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
44.8%
Equity multiple
5.28×
Total profit
$173,770
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20794

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,055 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$642
Net cashflow
$1,411

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,511 -5% $1,461 +0% $1,411 +5% $1,361 +10% $1,311
Rent -10% $1,170 -5% $1,291 +0% $1,411 +5% $1,532 +10% $1,653
Rate -1.0pp $1,484 -0.5pp $1,448 base $1,411 +0.5pp $1,374 +1.0pp $1,335

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8324 Stickley Ct #81 Jessup, MD 3.0 2.5 1920 $3,500 $1.82 44d 1 0.57mi
8324 Stickley Ct #81 Jessup, MD 3.0 2.5 1920 $3,500 $1.82 12d 1 0.57mi
Mission Jessup, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1052 $2,420 $2.30 4d 17 1.02mi
8346 Lincoln Dr Jessup, MD 4.0 3.5 2112 $3,200 $1.52 12d 1 1.04mi
8938 Oakwood Way Jessup, MD 2.0 2.0 1488 $2,295 $1.54 23d 1 1.35mi
8911 Oakwood Way Jessup, MD 2.0 2.5 1544 $2,500 $1.62 13d 1 1.40mi
7543 Hearthside Way Elkridge, MD 3.0 2.5 1780 $3,195 $1.79 23d 1 1.44mi
7549 Hearthside Way Elkridge, MD 3.0 2.5 1780 $3,000 $1.69 25d 1 1.45mi
7435 Singers Way Elkridge, MD 3.0 2.5 1960 $2,995 $1.53 23d 1 1.45mi
7449 Singers Way Elkridge, MD 4.0 3.5 2140 $3,400 $1.59 18d 1 1.49mi
7118 Penny Ln Elkridge, MD 3.0 3.0 1424 $2,900 $2.04 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $145,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-15
    historical $145,000 488-char remark
  17. 2026-04-16
    historical
  18. 2025-12-10
    price $154,999
  19. 2025-11-15
    listed $160,000 Active
  20. 2025-11-05
    historical
  21. 2025-06-06
    historical
  22. 2025-06-06
    listed $144,000 Active
  23. 2025-03-28
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,657
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,933
− Management
−$2,933
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$15,552
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,732
After-tax cash flow
$13,202/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready, updated single-family home in Jessup, MD, offers a bright and open living space with new LVP flooring and modern finishes. It is in good condition with minor cosmetic improvements needed to maximize its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace roof if needed — Ensures long-term durability and value
  • Resale Upgrade appliances in kitchen — Modernizes kitchen and attracts buyers
  • Both Install smart home features — Improves comfort and marketability

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace roof if needed — Ensures long-term durability and value
  • Resale Upgrade appliances in kitchen — Modernizes kitchen and attracts buyers
  • Both Install smart home features — Improves comfort and marketability

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Howard County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400420
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$108,056
Composite
41.23/100
National rank
#3535
State rank
#1 of 24 in MD

Livability — Jessup

Score
65/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#13254

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Howard County · 282,651 people
City population
17,327
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
16,814
Household income
$116,406
Rent vs Own
37.9% rent · 62.1% own
Severe rent burden
255.0

Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
367,857 people
By 2030
394,054 · +7.1%
By 2040
443,509 · +20.6%
By 2050
488,124 · +32.7%
By 2075
594,860 · +61.7%
By 2100
648,772 · +76.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 7% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Philippines, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Howard

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.8) · D 69.1% · R 27.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+19.9pp toward D · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: 41.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.8 2020: D+44.3 2016: D+33.5 2012: D+21.2 2008: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.91%
Current HPI
283.5564
Rent YoY
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Coming Soon $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $154,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-15 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-05 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-06 Listed $144,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-28 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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