🏷️ Likely Rental
8353 Ashwood Rd #8353 · Jessup, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath double-wide mobile home in desirable Brentwood Manor of Howard County. Featuring vaulted ceilings, an abundance of natural light, and new LVP flooring throughout, this home feels bright, open, and inviting. The updated kitchen offers quartz countertops and modern finishes, while the cozy fireplace adds warmth and charm. Freshly painted with new light fixtures, this move-in ready home is the perfect blend of comfort and style. * * Ground rent is $1075/month and includes: Trash/Recycle, Snow Removal of the roads only; Common ground maintenance and all large trees NOT planted by the mobile homeowner or mobile homeowner's previous own
Key facts
- Built 1998
- Listed 23 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership: ground rent
- Financial info: Ground rent payable monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Estimated year built
- Construction: Above-grade construction
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Other above-grade structures; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (including two full on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Soaking tub; Walk-in shower; Dining area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#259 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Howard County Public Schools (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #1 of 24 in MD (top 4%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 881 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (285 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Howard County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.71%
- DSCR
- 2.86
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $402,740
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -64.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8368 Ashwood Rd | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,816 (+1%) | 13mo | $144,900 | $80 | 84 |
| 8342 Gatewood | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (-7%) | 11mo | $139,900 | $83 | 73 |
| 8343 Gatewood Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,624 (-10%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $55 | 69 |
| 8419 Sandalwood Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,624 (-10%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $92 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $66,431
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 44.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.28×
- Total profit
- $173,770
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20794
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,055 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$642
- Net cashflow
- $1,411
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,511 | -5% $1,461 | +0% $1,411 | +5% $1,361 | +10% $1,311 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,170 | -5% $1,291 | +0% $1,411 | +5% $1,532 | +10% $1,653 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,484 | -0.5pp $1,448 | base $1,411 | +0.5pp $1,374 | +1.0pp $1,335 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8324 Stickley Ct #81 Jessup, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1920 | $3,500 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 8324 Stickley Ct #81 Jessup, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1920 | $3,500 | $1.82 | 12d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| Mission Jessup, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1052 | $2,420 | $2.30 | 4d | 17 | 1.02mi |
| 8346 Lincoln Dr Jessup, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2112 | $3,200 | $1.52 | 12d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8938 Oakwood Way Jessup, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $2,295 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 8911 Oakwood Way Jessup, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1544 | $2,500 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7543 Hearthside Way Elkridge, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $3,195 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 7549 Hearthside Way Elkridge, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $3,000 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 7435 Singers Way Elkridge, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1960 | $2,995 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 7449 Singers Way Elkridge, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2140 | $3,400 | $1.59 | 18d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 7118 Penny Ln Elkridge, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1424 | $2,900 | $2.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 23 events
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2026-06-21days on market $145,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-05-15historical $145,000 488-char remark
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2026-04-16historical
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2025-12-10price $154,999
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2025-11-15$160,000 Active
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2025-11-05historical
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2025-06-06historical
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2025-06-06$144,000 Active
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2025-03-28historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,657
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,933
- − Management
- −$2,933
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $15,552
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,732
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,202/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in ready, updated single-family home in Jessup, MD, offers a bright and open living space with new LVP flooring and modern finishes. It is in good condition with minor cosmetic improvements needed to maximize its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace roof if needed — Ensures long-term durability and value
- Resale Upgrade appliances in kitchen — Modernizes kitchen and attracts buyers
- Both Install smart home features — Improves comfort and marketability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace roof if needed — Ensures long-term durability and value ↑
- Resale Upgrade appliances in kitchen — Modernizes kitchen and attracts buyers ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Improves comfort and marketability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Howard County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400420
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $108,056
- Composite
- 41.23/100
- National rank
- #3535
- State rank
- #1 of 24 in MD
Livability — Jessup
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #259
- US rank
- #13254
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Howard County · 282,651 people
- City population
- 17,327
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,814
- Household income
- $116,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 255.0
Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 367,857 people
- By 2030
- 394,054 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 443,509 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 488,124 · +32.7%
- By 2075
- 594,860 · +61.7%
- By 2100
- 648,772 · +76.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 7% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Philippines, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Howard
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.8) · D 69.1% · R 27.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +19.9pp toward D · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: 41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.8 2020: D+44.3 2016: D+33.5 2012: D+21.2 2008: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.91%
- Current HPI
- 283.5564
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+0.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-15 Coming Soon $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $154,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-15 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-05 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-06 Listed $144,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-28 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…