2436 E Ryan · Port Angeles East, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 83°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTER SPECIAL!! All cleaned out!! Don't wait!! Price to sell!! 3 bed 2 bath, big lot, fully fenced yard, vinyl windows, great location.
Key facts
- Fully fenced yard
- 8,361 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (4.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 1.4% in Port Angeles East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#162 in WA, #3,899 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D, schools F.
- Port Angeles School District (town): math 55% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #70 of 291 in WA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 273 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.57%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $323,343
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -35.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2355 E 7th Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,174 (+2%) | 15mo | $399,000 | $340 | 77 |
| 606 N Baker St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,118 (-3%) | 14mo | $352,500 | $315 | 64 |
| 2814 Sunnybrook Meadow Ln | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,231 (+6%) | 9mo | $415,000 | $337 | 59 |
| 2340 E Pioneer | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-13%) | 8mo | $340,500 | $338 | 59 |
| 2119 E Second Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+4%) | 20mo | $600,000 | $500 | 47 |
| 2355 E 4th Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (-15%) | 10mo | $322,500 | $328 | 42 |
| 2220 E Fourth Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-13%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $218 | 40 |
| 2922 E Defrang St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,292 (+12%) | 14mo | $425,000 | $329 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-19,797
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,009
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98362
- Active inventory
- 273
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,008/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $224
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $343 | -5% $283 | +0% $224 | +5% $164 | +10% $105 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $66 | -5% $145 | +0% $224 | +5% $303 | +10% $382 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $330 | -0.5pp $277 | base $224 | +0.5pp $169 | +1.0pp $114 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2938 E Walnut St Unit 5 Port Angeles, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $2,000 | $2.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $210,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $210,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-01-27status Active
-
2025-11-11status Pending
-
2025-11-04price $210,000
-
2025-09-27price $230,000
-
2025-07-03$250,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,008 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,058 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$50/yr (+$4/mo · 2.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥83°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$2,008
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$770
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$185
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,872/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Port Angeles School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306820
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,594
- Composite
- 52.34/100
- National rank
- #3432
- State rank
- #70 of 291 in WA
Livability — Port Angeles East
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #162
- US rank
- #3899
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Angeles East, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,907
Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,817 people
- By 2030
- 78,177 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 79,795 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 80,890 · +5.3%
- By 2075
- 83,933 · +9.3%
- By 2100
- 82,141 · +6.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clallam
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -340.90%
- Current HPI
- 189.7112
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-16.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-27 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-11 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $210,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $230,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-03 Listed $250,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+20.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,008 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…