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111 N 9th Ave
B Composite 72.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

111 N 9th Ave · Butler, PA 16001
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1920 1,694 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Introducing a promising two-bedroom, one-bathroom home, brimming with potential for those willing to invest some TLC. This property requires significant updates, including new flooring throughout, a fresh bathroom renovation, and a solution for water intrusion issues in the basement. Ideal for DIY enthusiasts or anyone looking to create their dream home, this residence offers the perfect canvas to realize your vision. Don't miss out on the opportunity to bring this home back to life!

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Bathroom renovation
  • 1,694 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW FLOORINGBATHROOM RENOVATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story vinyl-sided home; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Public transportation nearby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stove
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-out basement; Some gas appliances

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($959 rent vs $30k).
  • Cap rate 26.8% vs local median 3.8% in Butler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#705 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Butler Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #181 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+20.4%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $29,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.21%
Cap rate
26.76%
Cash-on-cash
73.09%
DSCR
4.25
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$78,840
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
217 American Ave 0.04mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (+7%) 0mo $190,500 $165 82
307 American Ave 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,078 (-0%) 13mo $57,000 $53 82
305 American Ave 0.05mi 2/1.0 986 (-9%) 4mo $62,970 $64 79
112 Cleveland St 0.12mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-2%) 12mo $77,500 $73 76
310 American Ave 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,186 (+10%) 9mo $126,000 $106 68
642 New Castle St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (+9%) 10mo $148,000 $126 66
526 Forcht St 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,160 (+7%) 4mo $35,000 $30 63
340 S Chestnut St 0.64mi 2/1.0 1,064 (-2%) 7mo $38,000 $36 62
515 W Brady St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,210 (+12%) 4mo $83,000 $69 55
218 5th Ave 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (+14%) 11mo $165,000 $134 51
309 Mitchell Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,210 (+12%) 13mo $95,294 $79 49
328 W Brady St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,218 (+13%) 10mo $80,000 $66 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
78.8%
Equity multiple
4.91×
Total profit
$32,743
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
83.7%
Equity multiple
12.18×
Total profit
$93,567
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16001

Home prices YoY
-31.7%
Rents YoY
20.4%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$959 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $943/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$510

Break-even live

Break-even rent $314
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $527 -5% $518 +0% $510 +5% $501 +10% $493
Rent -10% $434 -5% $472 +0% $510 +5% $548 +10% $586
Rate -1.0pp $525 -0.5pp $518 base $510 +0.5pp $502 +1.0pp $494

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
305 American Ave Butler, PA 2.0 1.0 986 $995 $1.01 44d 1 0.07mi
303 Wilson Ave Unit Wilson-313 Butler, PA 3.0 1.0 894 $1,005 $1.12 16d 1 0.38mi
529 Federal St Unit 2 Butler, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 44d 1 0.38mi
313 Wilson Ave Butler, PA 3.0 1.0 894 $1,005 $1.12 16d 1 0.38mi
404 W Cunningham St Butler, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 44d 1 0.51mi
327 W Brady St Unit 2 Butler, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 21d 1 0.52mi
530 N Main St Butler, PA 2.0 2.0 1052 $1,088 $1.03 2d 2 0.85mi
208 E Walnut St Butler, PA 3.0 1.5 1297 $1,050 $0.81 24d 1 0.89mi
115 Spring St #1 Butler, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 44d 1 1.19mi
139 Whitestown Vlg Unit B Butler, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 4d 1 1.45mi
206 Litman Rd Butler, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,170 $1.46 2d 3 1.46mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $29,900 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    remarks 488-char remark
  4. 2026-06-07
    listed $29,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$943 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$943 · $79/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,510
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$943
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$921
− Management
−$921
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$6,032
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,448
After-tax cash flow
$4,672/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Butler Area SD
NCES district ID
4204590
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$49,348
Composite
42.65/100
National rank
#3180
State rank
#181 of 539 in PA

Livability — Butler

Score
71/100
State rank
#705
US rank
#6951

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Butler, PA
County
Butler County · 73,107 people
City population
39,234
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
39,234
Household income
$63,635
Rent vs Own
31.6% rent · 68.4% own
Severe rent burden
1441.0

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
190,777 people
By 2030
191,476 · +0.4%
By 2040
189,474 · -0.7%
By 2050
182,050 · -4.6%
By 2075
159,526 · -16.4%
By 2100
129,028 · -32.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Serbian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.40%
Current HPI
222.4445
Rent YoY
▲ 20.36%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $29,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $943 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…