112 Silver Poplar Pl · Harvest, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$247,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Darling Full Brick home all on one LEVEL! 3 Bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2 Spacious Garage! Gas Heat! Washer, dryer, refrigerator, microwave, and outdoor furniture remain! Located in a quiet neighborhood on a cut-de-sac street! There is Plenty of Space between neighbors! Lots of trees and a Privacy! Fenced Backyard! Large back patio with firepit to enjoy! Property goes behind the fence! Close to Grocery stores, shopping and more! Convenient and Affordable!
Key facts
- Lots of trees
- Quiet neighborhood
- Full brick home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $248k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-7/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (0.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (25.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.5% in Harvest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#27 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harvest School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #329 of 627 statewide, top 53%, 734 students, 54% FRL); Sparkman Middle School (math 18% / reading 53%, grade F, #81 of 257 statewide, top 33%, 859 students, 60% FRL); Sparkman High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #58 of 305 statewide, top 19%, 1,738 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 29% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 675 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 348 days — a 12% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask is 13% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 348 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.01%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $258,048
- List price
- $247,900
- Delta
- -3.93%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155 Populus Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,112 (0%) | 15mo | $219,900 | $198 | 77 |
| 217 Shortleaf Ln | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,230 (+11%) | 5mo | $233,000 | $189 | 66 |
| 104 Silver Poplar Pl | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+14%) | 17mo | $250,000 | $197 | 55 |
| 104 Willhollow Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+12%) | 9mo | $252,500 | $202 | 50 |
| 148 Poplar Green Ln | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,275 (+15%) | 18mo | $239,900 | $188 | 48 |
| 120 Trestle Point Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (+14%) | 11mo | $239,900 | $189 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-44,320
- Equity at exit
- $36,963
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-54,800
- Equity at exit
- $21,434
Cash invested: $69,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35749
- Home prices YoY
- -5.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 675
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,846 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,300
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $671/yr
- Insurance
- −$103
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $-1
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $140 | -5% $70 | +0% $-1 | +5% $-71 | +10% $-141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-146 | -5% $-74 | +0% $-1 | +5% $72 | +10% $145 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $124 | -0.5pp $62 | base $-1 | +0.5pp $-65 | +1.0pp $-130 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,975
- Closing costs
- $7,437
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136 Populus Dr Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 324 Willow Oak Dr Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,850 | $1.51 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 115 Sabel Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $1,698 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 100 Gibbon Dr Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,625 | $1.08 | 46d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $247,900 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $247,900 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $247,900 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $247,900 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $247,900 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $247,900 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $247,900 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $247,900 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $247,900 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $247,900 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $247,900 Active 331 DOM
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2026-05-07price $247,900 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Darling Full Brick home all on one LEVEL! 3 Bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2 Spacious Garage! Gas Heat! Washer, dryer, refrigerator, microwave, and outdoor furniture remain! Located in a quiet neighborhood on a cut-de-sac street! There is Plenty of Space between neighbors! Lots of trees and a Privacy! Fenced Backyard! Large back patio with firepit to enjoy! Property goes behind the fence! Close to Grocery stores, shopping and more! Convenient and Affordable!
-
2026-01-26$220,000 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Situated minutes from Hwy 53, Hwy 72, and Old RR Bed Rd, this is a must see! The large backyard, storm shelter, location, garage, and cozy feeling make this the perfect home!
-
2026-01-02status Active 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Darling Full Brick home all on one LEVEL! 3 Bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2 Spacious Garage! Gas Heat! Washer, dryer, refrigerator, microwave, and outdoor furniture remain! Located in a quiet neighborhood on a cut-de-sac street! There is Plenty of Space between neighbors! Lots of trees and a Privacy! Fenced Backyard! Large back patio with firepit to enjoy! Property goes behind the fence! Close to Grocery stores, shopping and more! Convenient and Affordable!
-
2025-07-01$249,900 Active 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Darling Full Brick home all on one LEVEL! 3 Bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2 Spacious Garage! Gas Heat! Washer, dryer, refrigerator, microwave, and outdoor furniture remain! Located in a quiet neighborhood on a cut-de-sac street! There is Plenty of Space between neighbors! Lots of trees and a Privacy! Fenced Backyard! Large back patio with firepit to enjoy! Property goes behind the fence! Close to Grocery stores, shopping and more! Convenient and Affordable!
-
2024-12-02soldstatus $230,000 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Situated minutes from Hwy 53, Hwy 72, and Old RR Bed Rd, this is a must see! The large backyard, storm shelter, location, garage, and cozy feeling make this the perfect home!
-
2024-12-02soldstatus $230,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Situated minutes from Hwy 53, Hwy 72, and Old RR Bed Rd, this is a must see! The large backyard, storm shelter, location, garage, and cozy feeling make this the perfect home!
-
2024-10-11historical
-
2024-09-23$220,000 Active
-
2016-11-18soldstatus $112,000
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2016-11-18soldstatus $112,000
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2016-07-11$116,500
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2012-03-20soldstatus $113,400
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2012-03-19soldstatus $113,000
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2011-08-23$119,900
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2011-05-06soldstatus $50,000
-
2008-12-31soldstatus $115,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $671 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,016 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$345/yr (+$29/mo · 51.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,886
- − Property taxes
- −$671
- − Insurance
- −$1,240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,773
- − Management
- −$1,773
- − Depreciation
- −$7,212
- Taxable loss
- −$4,397
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,055
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,048/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Harvest
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #5986
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 30,710
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,710
- Household income
- $103,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 174.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.54%
- Current HPI
- 291.1184
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.81%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+114.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $247,900 VMLS
- 2026-01-26 Listed $220,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-02 Relisted — VMLS
- 2025-07-01 Listed $249,900 VMLS
- 2024-12-02 Sold (MLS) $230,000 VMLS
- 2024-12-02 Sold (MLS) $230,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-11 Delisted — VMLS
- 2024-09-23 Listed $220,000 VMLS
- 2016-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
- 2016-11-18 Sold (MLS) $112,000 VMLS
- 2016-07-11 Listed $116,500 VMLS
- 2012-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $113,400 Public Records
- 2012-03-19 Sold (MLS) $113,000 VMLS
- 2011-08-23 Listed $119,900 VMLS
- 2011-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2008-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $115,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2024): $671 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…