2304 Brownsville Rd Unit A-19 · Trevose, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Cash flow +5.1/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Eastern Dawn, a peaceful and welcoming community with no age restrictions—this home is an ideal opportunity for those seeking a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle. This well-kept manufactured home features two bedrooms and one full bathroom, an open-concept living and dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of storage. Large windows fill the home with natural light, while fresh paint and updated LVP flooring add to its easy-living appeal. Step outside to enjoy your patio, perfect for relaxing or spending time outdoors without the upkeep of a traditional property. Residents of Eastern Dawn enjoy a quiet neighborhood setting with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major routes. Whether you’re downsizing, buying your first home, or simply looking for a peaceful place to call home, this property offers a wonderful opportunity. Schedule your tour today!
Key facts
- Built 2008
- Listed 165 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-275 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $71k (40.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $71k (40.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#221 in PA, #1,940 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Neshaminy SD (suburban): math 41% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #150 of 539 in PA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Poquessing Ms (math 28% / reading 53%, grade F, #248 of 512 statewide, top 50%, 961 students, 44% FRL); Neshaminy Hs (math 76% / reading 24%, grade D+, #133 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 2,933 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 19% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 50% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.82%
- DSCR
- 0.56
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,397
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -36.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -33.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.09×
- Total profit
- $-36,476
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- -36.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.56×
- Total profit
- $-52,361
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19053
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,639 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $784/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$825
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$344
- Net cashflow
- $-275
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-207 | -5% $-241 | +0% $-275 | +5% $-309 | +10% $-343 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-404 | -5% $-340 | +0% $-275 | +5% $-210 | +10% $-145 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-214 | -0.5pp $-244 | base $-275 | +0.5pp $-306 | +1.0pp $-338 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $825 · $9,900/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $120,000 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Welcome to Eastern Dawn, a peaceful and welcoming community with no age restrictions—this home is an ideal opportunity for those seeking a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle. This well-kept manufactured home features two bedrooms and one full bathroom, an open-concept living and dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of storage. Large windows fill the home with natural light, while fresh paint and updated LVP flooring add to its easy-living appeal. Step outside to enjoy your patio, perfect for relaxing or spending time outdoors without the upkeep of a traditional property. Residents of Eastern Dawn enjoy a quiet neighborhood setting with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major routes. Whether you’re downsizing, buying your first home, or simply looking for a peaceful place to call home, this property offers a wonderful opportunity. Schedule your tour today!
-
2026-04-03price $125,000 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Welcome to Eastern Dawn, a peaceful and welcoming community with no age restrictions—this home is an ideal opportunity for those seeking a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle. This well-kept manufactured home features two bedrooms and one full bathroom, an open-concept living and dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of storage. Large windows fill the home with natural light, while fresh paint and updated LVP flooring add to its easy-living appeal. Step outside to enjoy your patio, perfect for relaxing or spending time outdoors without the upkeep of a traditional property. Residents of Eastern Dawn enjoy a quiet neighborhood setting with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major routes. Whether you’re downsizing, buying your first home, or simply looking for a peaceful place to call home, this property offers a wonderful opportunity. Schedule your tour today!
-
2026-01-07$130,000 Active 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Welcome to Eastern Dawn, a peaceful and welcoming community with no age restrictions—this home is an ideal opportunity for those seeking a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle. This well-kept manufactured home features two bedrooms and one full bathroom, an open-concept living and dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of storage. Large windows fill the home with natural light, while fresh paint and updated LVP flooring add to its easy-living appeal. Step outside to enjoy your patio, perfect for relaxing or spending time outdoors without the upkeep of a traditional property. Residents of Eastern Dawn enjoy a quiet neighborhood setting with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major routes. Whether you’re downsizing, buying your first home, or simply looking for a peaceful place to call home, this property offers a wonderful opportunity. Schedule your tour today!
-
2026-01-06historical $130,000 903-char remark
Show marketing remark (903 chars)
Welcome to Eastern Dawn, a peaceful and welcoming community with no age restrictions—this home is an ideal opportunity for those seeking a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle. This well-kept manufactured home features two bedrooms and one full bathroom, an open-concept living and dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of storage. Large windows fill the home with natural light, while fresh paint and updated LVP flooring add to its easy-living appeal. Step outside to enjoy your patio, perfect for relaxing or spending time outdoors without the upkeep of a traditional property. Residents of Eastern Dawn enjoy a quiet neighborhood setting with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major routes. Whether you’re downsizing, buying your first home, or simply looking for a peaceful place to call home, this property offers a wonderful opportunity. Schedule your tour today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $784 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,340 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- +$556/yr (+$46/mo · 71.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,666
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$784
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,573
- − Management
- −$1,573
- − HOA
- −$9,900
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$4,977
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,195
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,105/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Neshaminy SD
- NCES district ID
- 4216410
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,072
- Composite
- 44.58/100
- National rank
- #2782
- State rank
- #150 of 539 in PA
Livability — Trevose
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #221
- US rank
- #1940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bucks County · 506,477 people
- City population
- 28,000
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,509
- Household income
- $107,780
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 422.0
Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 630,973 people
- By 2030
- 627,093 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 609,680 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 584,225 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 539,840 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 483,970 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Asian 7% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 6% Subsaharan African 5%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bucks
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -353.44%
- Current HPI
- 289.4267
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-7.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-07 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-06 Coming Soon $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2026): $784 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…