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2304 Brownsville Rd Unit A-19
D Composite 42.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.1/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

2304 Brownsville Rd Unit A-19 · Trevose, PA 19053
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · Manufactured · 166 Days on market
Built 2008 $171/sqft · 37% below area Est $189k · 37% under $825/mo HOA · 50% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Eastern Dawn, a peaceful and welcoming community with no age restrictions—this home is an ideal opportunity for those seeking a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle. This well-kept manufactured home features two bedrooms and one full bathroom, an open-concept living and dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of storage. Large windows fill the home with natural light, while fresh paint and updated LVP flooring add to its easy-living appeal. Step outside to enjoy your patio, perfect for relaxing or spending time outdoors without the upkeep of a traditional property. Residents of Eastern Dawn enjoy a quiet neighborhood setting with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major routes. Whether you’re downsizing, buying your first home, or simply looking for a peaceful place to call home, this property offers a wonderful opportunity. Schedule your tour today!

Key facts

  • Built 2008
  • Listed 165 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-275 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $71k (40.5% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $71k (40.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#221 in PA, #1,940 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
  • Neshaminy SD (suburban): math 41% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #150 of 539 in PA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Poquessing Ms (math 28% / reading 53%, grade F, #248 of 512 statewide, top 50%, 961 students, 44% FRL); Neshaminy Hs (math 76% / reading 24%, grade D+, #133 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 2,933 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 19% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 50% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $71,432 (40.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
3.54%
Cash-on-cash
-9.82%
DSCR
0.56
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$189,397
List price
$120,000
Delta
-36.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.2%
Equity multiple
-0.09×
Total profit
$-36,476
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
-36.7%
Equity multiple
-0.56×
Total profit
$-52,361
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19053

Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,639 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $784/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$825
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$-275

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,987
Max offer price $71,432
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-207 -5% $-241 +0% $-275 +5% $-309 +10% $-343
Rent -10% $-404 -5% $-340 +0% $-275 +5% $-210 +10% $-145
Rate -1.0pp $-214 -0.5pp $-244 base $-275 +0.5pp $-306 +1.0pp $-338

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$825 · $9,900/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 166 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 163 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 162 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 161 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 160 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 158 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 154 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 153 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 152 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $120,000 Active 149 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 148 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 147 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 146 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 145 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $120,000 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Welcome to Eastern Dawn, a peaceful and welcoming community with no age restrictions—this home is an ideal opportunity for those seeking a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle. This well-kept manufactured home features two bedrooms and one full bathroom, an open-concept living and dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of storage. Large windows fill the home with natural light, while fresh paint and updated LVP flooring add to its easy-living appeal. Step outside to enjoy your patio, perfect for relaxing or spending time outdoors without the upkeep of a traditional property. Residents of Eastern Dawn enjoy a quiet neighborhood setting with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major routes. Whether you’re downsizing, buying your first home, or simply looking for a peaceful place to call home, this property offers a wonderful opportunity. Schedule your tour today!

  16. 2026-04-03
    price $125,000 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Welcome to Eastern Dawn, a peaceful and welcoming community with no age restrictions—this home is an ideal opportunity for those seeking a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle. This well-kept manufactured home features two bedrooms and one full bathroom, an open-concept living and dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of storage. Large windows fill the home with natural light, while fresh paint and updated LVP flooring add to its easy-living appeal. Step outside to enjoy your patio, perfect for relaxing or spending time outdoors without the upkeep of a traditional property. Residents of Eastern Dawn enjoy a quiet neighborhood setting with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major routes. Whether you’re downsizing, buying your first home, or simply looking for a peaceful place to call home, this property offers a wonderful opportunity. Schedule your tour today!

  17. 2026-01-07
    listed $130,000 Active 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Welcome to Eastern Dawn, a peaceful and welcoming community with no age restrictions—this home is an ideal opportunity for those seeking a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle. This well-kept manufactured home features two bedrooms and one full bathroom, an open-concept living and dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of storage. Large windows fill the home with natural light, while fresh paint and updated LVP flooring add to its easy-living appeal. Step outside to enjoy your patio, perfect for relaxing or spending time outdoors without the upkeep of a traditional property. Residents of Eastern Dawn enjoy a quiet neighborhood setting with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major routes. Whether you’re downsizing, buying your first home, or simply looking for a peaceful place to call home, this property offers a wonderful opportunity. Schedule your tour today!

  18. 2026-01-06
    historical $130,000 903-char remark
    Show marketing remark (903 chars)

    Welcome to Eastern Dawn, a peaceful and welcoming community with no age restrictions—this home is an ideal opportunity for those seeking a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle. This well-kept manufactured home features two bedrooms and one full bathroom, an open-concept living and dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of storage. Large windows fill the home with natural light, while fresh paint and updated LVP flooring add to its easy-living appeal. Step outside to enjoy your patio, perfect for relaxing or spending time outdoors without the upkeep of a traditional property. Residents of Eastern Dawn enjoy a quiet neighborhood setting with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major routes. Whether you’re downsizing, buying your first home, or simply looking for a peaceful place to call home, this property offers a wonderful opportunity. Schedule your tour today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$784 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,340 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$556/yr (+$46/mo · 71.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,666
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$784
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,573
− Management
−$1,573
− HOA
−$9,900
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$4,977
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,195
After-tax cash flow
$-2,105/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Neshaminy SD
NCES district ID
4216410
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$78,072
Composite
44.58/100
National rank
#2782
State rank
#150 of 539 in PA

Livability — Trevose

Score
80/100
State rank
#221
US rank
#1940

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bucks County · 506,477 people
City population
28,000
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
28,509
Household income
$107,780
Rent vs Own
15.4% rent · 84.6% own
Severe rent burden
422.0

Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
630,973 people
By 2030
627,093 · -0.6%
By 2040
609,680 · -3.4%
By 2050
584,225 · -7.4%
By 2075
539,840 · -14.4%
By 2100
483,970 · -23.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Asian 7% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 6% Subsaharan African 5%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
77% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Bucks

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -353.44%
Current HPI
289.4267
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-06 Coming Soon $130,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $784 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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