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120 Clay St
D+ Composite 45.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.9/10.0

$32,000

120 Clay St · South Uniontown, PA 15401
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,910 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 251 Days on market
Built 1890 8,289 sqft lot ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Potential and opportunity await! This duplex offers 2 bedrroms/1 bath per side with spacious rooms.

Key facts

  • 8,289 sq ft lot
  • Built 1890
  • Listed 251 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $32k).
  • Recommended offer: $28k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#252 in PA, #2,209 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Albert Gallatin Area SD (rural): math 26% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #419 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 251 days — a 12% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $28,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 251 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.11%
Cap rate
55.03%
Cash-on-cash
174.05%
DSCR
8.74
GRM
1.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$116,510
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
455 Walnut Hill Rd 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,953 (+2%) 16mo $120,000 $61 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.66×
Total profit
$77,628
Equity at exit
$4,771
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.46×
Total profit
$174,356
Equity at exit
$2,767

Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15401

Home prices YoY
-3.8%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,956 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$168
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $770/yr
Insurance
$13
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$1,300

Break-even live

Break-even rent $311
Max offer price $32,000
Occupancy floor 29%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,318 -5% $1,309 +0% $1,300 +5% $1,290 +10% $1,281
Rent -10% $1,145 -5% $1,222 +0% $1,300 +5% $1,377 +10% $1,454
Rate -1.0pp $1,316 -0.5pp $1,308 base $1,300 +0.5pp $1,291 +1.0pp $1,283

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,000
Closing costs
$960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
189 Wiggins Ln Uniontown, PA 3.0 2.0 1663 $2,300 $1.38 44d 1 1.01mi
797 Walnut Hill Rd Uniontown, PA 3.0 1.5 1472 $1,500 $1.02 44d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending 99-char remark
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Potential and opportunity await! This duplex offers 2 bedrroms/1 bath per side with spacious rooms.

  2. 2026-05-05
    price $32,000 99-char remark
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Potential and opportunity await! This duplex offers 2 bedrroms/1 bath per side with spacious rooms.

  3. 2025-10-31
    price $39,900 99-char remark
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Potential and opportunity await! This duplex offers 2 bedrroms/1 bath per side with spacious rooms.

  4. 2025-09-10
    listed $44,900 Active 99-char remark
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Potential and opportunity await! This duplex offers 2 bedrroms/1 bath per side with spacious rooms.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$770 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$770 · $64/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,466
− Mortgage interest
−$1,792
− Property taxes
−$770
− Insurance
−$160
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,877
− Management
−$1,877
− Depreciation
−$931
Taxable income
$16,058
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,854
After-tax cash flow
$11,741/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albert Gallatin Area SD
NCES district ID
4202100
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,456
Composite
29.8/100
National rank
#6422
State rank
#419 of 539 in PA

Livability — South Uniontown

Score
79/100
State rank
#252
US rank
#2209

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
30,230

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,561 people
By 2030
123,206 · -3.4%
By 2040
113,232 · -11.2%
By 2050
103,468 · -18.9%
By 2075
83,185 · -34.8%
By 2100
62,384 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -8.29%
Current HPI
210.1257
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $32,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $39,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-09-10 Listed $44,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $770 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…