3803 Swann Rd #301 · Suitland, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
OPEN HOUSE SATURDAY, JUNE 20TH FROM 12-2PM!! Welcome to Swann Hill Condominiums! This beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath condominium offers comfortable, low-maintenance living in a convenient location. Freshly painted throughout, the home features gleaming hardwood floors in the main living areas and brand-new carpet in both bedrooms, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The spacious floor plan provides an abundance of natural light, a generous living and dining area perfect for entertaining, and a kitchen with ample cabinet and counter space. The primary bedroom has plenty of closet space, while the second bedroom offers flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living
Key facts
- Spacious floor plan
- Brand-new carpet
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership interest: Condominium
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $568; Association fee includes gas, water, and trash; Association amenities include common grounds; Pets allowed on a case-by-case basis
Exterior
- Parking: Parking lot with permit included (1 parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water; Electric for cooling
- Home design: Condominium unit (Unit/Flat); Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Located on entry floor number 3
- Construction: Brick construction; Built year per assessor; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted
- Exterior features: Common grounds maintained by association; No tidal water on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen included (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Living room; Dining room; Kitchen; No basement
- Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer hook-up in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.9% in Suitland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#189 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $115k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.21%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-17,990
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-27,252
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20746
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,771 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,126/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$568
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $151 | -5% $119 | +0% $86 | +5% $54 | +10% $21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-54 | -5% $16 | +0% $86 | +5% $156 | +10% $226 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $144 | -0.5pp $115 | base $86 | +0.5pp $56 | +1.0pp $26 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3811 Swann Rd #203 Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $1,750 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3815 Swann Rd #101 Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,650 | $1.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 5635 Regency Park Ct Hillcrest Heights, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $1,646 | $1.60 | 0d | 26 | 0.55mi |
| 4300 Telfair Blvd Camp Springs, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $2,471 | $2.64 | 0d | 21 | 0.59mi |
| 3400 Pearl Dr Suitland, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 851 | $1,570 | $1.84 | 0d | 6 | 0.60mi |
| 3415 Parkway Terrace Dr Hillcrest Heights, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,680 | $2.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3215 Swann Rd Suitland, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 753 | $1,750 | $2.32 | 17d | 14 | 0.66mi |
| 3220 Swann Rd Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $1,800 | $2.78 | 21d | 11 | 0.66mi |
| 4400 Telfair Blvd Suitland, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1157 | $2,412 | $2.09 | 0d | 14 | 0.74mi |
| 3000 Victory Ln Hillcrest Heights, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1116 | $1,695 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5000 Lydianna Ln Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $1,550 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3506 Silver Park Dr Suitland, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,944 | $2.05 | 0d | 9 | 0.87mi |
| 4701 Old Soper Rd Camp Springs, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1300 | $2,570 | $1.98 | 0d | 17 | 0.92mi |
| 3501 Terrace Dr Hillcrest Heights, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,678 | $2.10 | 0d | 16 | 0.94mi |
| 3613 Silver Park Dr Suitland, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1087 | $1,895 | $1.74 | 4d | 10 | 0.99mi |
| 2901 Toles Park Dr Suitland, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,599 | $2.16 | 44d | 9 | 1.01mi |
| 3516 Community Dr District Heights, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 6d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3827 St Barnabas Rd Unit T Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,600 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3825 Saint Barnabas Rd Unit T-202 Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,800 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3851 St Barnabas Rd Apt 201 Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,295 | $2.29 | 6d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3807 St Barnabas Rd #104 Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,999 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3827 Saint Barnabas Rd Unit T103 Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,800 | $1.84 | 16d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5042 Silver Hill Ct District Heights, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,785 | $2.09 | 2d | 9 | 1.18mi |
| 6305 Hil-Mar Dr District Heights, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $1,825 | $1.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3843 St Barnabas Rd Apt 104 Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 6d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 6024 Surrey Square Ln District Heights, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1059 | $1,796 | $1.70 | 0d | 23 | 1.25mi |
| 2641 Shadyside Ave Suitland, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 860 | $1,480 | $1.72 | 3d | 16 | 1.26mi |
| 6310 Hil Mar Dr Unit 9-11 District Heights, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $1,750 | $1.92 | 19d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6311 Pennsylvania Ave District Heights, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 791 | $1,672 | $2.11 | 0d | 9 | 1.35mi |
| 6501 Hil Mar Dr District Heights, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1014 | $1,712 | $1.69 | 44d | 27 | 1.40mi |
| 4221 28th Ave Marlow Heights, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 698 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2900 Saint Clair Dr Temple Hills, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,425 | $1.86 | 19d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $568 · $6,816/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 661-char remark
-
2026-06-13$115,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,126 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,190 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$64/yr (+$5/mo · 5.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,251
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,126
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,700
- − Management
- −$1,700
- − HOA
- −$6,816
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$454
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$109
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,143/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince George'S County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400510
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,967
- Composite
- 16.82/100
- National rank
- #9151
- State rank
- #21 of 24 in MD
Livability — Suitland
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #189
- US rank
- #8521
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Suitland, MD
- County
- Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
- City population
- 27,494
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,156
- Household income
- $79,330
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1879.0
Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,005,426 people
- By 2030
- 1,048,416 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,123,425 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,183,220 · +17.7%
- By 2075
- 1,306,202 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 1,408,179 · +40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, United Kingdom, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.82%
- Current HPI
- 284.5911
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.24%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+117.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1985-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $52,950 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,126 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…