834 S 13th St · Alamo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are 2 Units on this Lot, There is a (Spirit) Mobile Home with 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, measuring 14X36 plus there is an additional bedroom on the left side that measures 10X30 total of 804 S.F. PLUS, In the back yard there is a 16X40 Home with Approximately 640 S.F. +/- Living that features 2 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, and a storage shed that measures 12X8 for a combined S.F. for both Units of +/- 1,444. There is a 3 Car Carport at the front and a 2 Car Carport between the Mobile Home and the House that can be used as a covered Patio Area. The 2 Carports Measure 19x23 and 19X33. Motorized front Gate Door with remote controls, all fenced in with chain link fencing. One block walking distance to Elementary school; John H. McKeever. This a perfect set up to live in one Unit while the other Unit can be Leased out. This is a Income producing property while utilizing One Unit while the other Unit is Leased Out.
Key facts
- 6,874 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1996
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($668/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($996 rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $90k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.7% in Alamo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#916 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, schools D, crime F.
- Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #740 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 350 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.41%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $73,160
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- 35.32%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-12,455
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-6,104
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78516
- Home prices YoY
- -6.5%
- Active inventory
- 350
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $996 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $56
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $99,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $109,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-05-04price $109,000 913-char remark
Show marketing remark (913 chars)
There are 2 Units on this Lot, There is a (Spirit) Mobile Home with 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, measuring 14X36 plus there is an additional bedroom on the left side that measures 10X30 total of 804 S.F. PLUS, In the back yard there is a 16X40 Home with Approximately 640 S.F. +/- Living that features 2 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, and a storage shed that measures 12X8 for a combined S.F. for both Units of +/- 1,444. There is a 3 Car Carport at the front and a 2 Car Carport between the Mobile Home and the House that can be used as a covered Patio Area. The 2 Carports Measure 19x23 and 19X33. Motorized front Gate Door with remote controls, all fenced in with chain link fencing. One block walking distance to Elementary school; John H. McKeever. This a perfect set up to live in one Unit while the other Unit can be Leased out. This is a Income producing property while utilizing One Unit while the other Unit is Leased Out.
-
2026-04-25price $119,000 913-char remark
Show marketing remark (913 chars)
There are 2 Units on this Lot, There is a (Spirit) Mobile Home with 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, measuring 14X36 plus there is an additional bedroom on the left side that measures 10X30 total of 804 S.F. PLUS, In the back yard there is a 16X40 Home with Approximately 640 S.F. +/- Living that features 2 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, and a storage shed that measures 12X8 for a combined S.F. for both Units of +/- 1,444. There is a 3 Car Carport at the front and a 2 Car Carport between the Mobile Home and the House that can be used as a covered Patio Area. The 2 Carports Measure 19x23 and 19X33. Motorized front Gate Door with remote controls, all fenced in with chain link fencing. One block walking distance to Elementary school; John H. McKeever. This a perfect set up to live in one Unit while the other Unit can be Leased out. This is a Income producing property while utilizing One Unit while the other Unit is Leased Out.
-
2026-04-10price $129,000 913-char remark
Show marketing remark (913 chars)
There are 2 Units on this Lot, There is a (Spirit) Mobile Home with 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, measuring 14X36 plus there is an additional bedroom on the left side that measures 10X30 total of 804 S.F. PLUS, In the back yard there is a 16X40 Home with Approximately 640 S.F. +/- Living that features 2 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, and a storage shed that measures 12X8 for a combined S.F. for both Units of +/- 1,444. There is a 3 Car Carport at the front and a 2 Car Carport between the Mobile Home and the House that can be used as a covered Patio Area. The 2 Carports Measure 19x23 and 19X33. Motorized front Gate Door with remote controls, all fenced in with chain link fencing. One block walking distance to Elementary school; John H. McKeever. This a perfect set up to live in one Unit while the other Unit can be Leased out. This is a Income producing property while utilizing One Unit while the other Unit is Leased Out.
-
2026-04-04price $139,000 913-char remark
Show marketing remark (913 chars)
There are 2 Units on this Lot, There is a (Spirit) Mobile Home with 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, measuring 14X36 plus there is an additional bedroom on the left side that measures 10X30 total of 804 S.F. PLUS, In the back yard there is a 16X40 Home with Approximately 640 S.F. +/- Living that features 2 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, and a storage shed that measures 12X8 for a combined S.F. for both Units of +/- 1,444. There is a 3 Car Carport at the front and a 2 Car Carport between the Mobile Home and the House that can be used as a covered Patio Area. The 2 Carports Measure 19x23 and 19X33. Motorized front Gate Door with remote controls, all fenced in with chain link fencing. One block walking distance to Elementary school; John H. McKeever. This a perfect set up to live in one Unit while the other Unit can be Leased out. This is a Income producing property while utilizing One Unit while the other Unit is Leased Out.
-
2026-03-27price $149,000 913-char remark
Show marketing remark (913 chars)
There are 2 Units on this Lot, There is a (Spirit) Mobile Home with 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, measuring 14X36 plus there is an additional bedroom on the left side that measures 10X30 total of 804 S.F. PLUS, In the back yard there is a 16X40 Home with Approximately 640 S.F. +/- Living that features 2 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, and a storage shed that measures 12X8 for a combined S.F. for both Units of +/- 1,444. There is a 3 Car Carport at the front and a 2 Car Carport between the Mobile Home and the House that can be used as a covered Patio Area. The 2 Carports Measure 19x23 and 19X33. Motorized front Gate Door with remote controls, all fenced in with chain link fencing. One block walking distance to Elementary school; John H. McKeever. This a perfect set up to live in one Unit while the other Unit can be Leased out. This is a Income producing property while utilizing One Unit while the other Unit is Leased Out.
-
2026-03-15$159,000 Active 913-char remark
Show marketing remark (913 chars)
There are 2 Units on this Lot, There is a (Spirit) Mobile Home with 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, measuring 14X36 plus there is an additional bedroom on the left side that measures 10X30 total of 804 S.F. PLUS, In the back yard there is a 16X40 Home with Approximately 640 S.F. +/- Living that features 2 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, and a storage shed that measures 12X8 for a combined S.F. for both Units of +/- 1,444. There is a 3 Car Carport at the front and a 2 Car Carport between the Mobile Home and the House that can be used as a covered Patio Area. The 2 Carports Measure 19x23 and 19X33. Motorized front Gate Door with remote controls, all fenced in with chain link fencing. One block walking distance to Elementary school; John H. McKeever. This a perfect set up to live in one Unit while the other Unit can be Leased out. This is a Income producing property while utilizing One Unit while the other Unit is Leased Out.
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2022-03-03soldstatus
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1998-05-31soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,050 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,050 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,953
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$2,050
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$956
- − Management
- −$956
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$930
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$223
- After-tax cash flow
- $891/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834860
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,757
- Composite
- 19.63/100
- National rank
- #8744
- State rank
- #740 of 826 in TX
Livability — Alamo
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #916
- US rank
- #16356
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alamo, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- City population
- 34,370
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,370
- Household income
- $53,229
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 476.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 89% Two or more races 40% White 10% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 86%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 24% English-only · Spanish 76%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.56%
- Current HPI
- 225.4438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-31.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $109,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $119,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $129,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $139,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $149,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-03-15 Listed $159,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2022-03-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-05-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,050 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…