3415 Center Dr · Parma, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy Ranch * Convenient one floor living * Appliances remain * Newer HWT (2014) * Newer vinyl siding * Extra large 2 car garage * Newer doors * Formal Dining Room was a third Bedroom, can be easily converted back * Spacious Living Room * Nice sized and updated Main Bathroom * Patio area behind house * Some ceiling fans * Great location !
Key facts
- Dining room area
- Eat in kitchen
- Large living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.0% in Parma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#84 in OH, #1,232 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Parma City (suburban): math 43% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #469 of 656 in OH (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $185k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.22%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $213,792
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3415 Center Dr | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,048 (0%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $157 | 99 |
| 3003 Park Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+2%) | 1mo | $225,500 | $212 | 81 |
| 2802 Klusner Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+2%) | 4mo | $191,000 | $180 | 72 |
| 4206 Orchard Park Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+1%) | 3mo | $183,000 | $173 | 70 |
| 2718 Klusner Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+2%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $202 | 68 |
| 3203 Hetzel Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,120 (+7%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $223 | 67 |
| 2923 Stanfield Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,131 (+8%) | 0mo | $196,000 | $173 | 66 |
| 4519 W Ridgewood Dr | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 1,078 (+3%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $204 | 66 |
| 3640 Hetzel Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+9%) | 4mo | $266,700 | $233 | 63 |
| 4209 Orchard Park Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+7%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $188 | 58 |
| 2465 Dentzler Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 984 (-6%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $254 | 45 |
| 2440 Dentzler Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,176 (+12%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $213 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-8,522
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $52,320
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44134
- Rents YoY
- 10.6%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,857 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$237 /mo · $2,846/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $182
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $287 | -5% $235 | +0% $182 | +5% $130 | +10% $78 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $36 | -5% $109 | +0% $182 | +5% $256 | +10% $329 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $275 | -0.5pp $229 | base $182 | +0.5pp $134 | +1.0pp $86 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3415 Center Dr Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,995 | $1.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 5080 Whispering Oaks BLVD Parma, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,799 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6841 Day Dr Cleveland, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 862 | $1,218 | $1.41 | 3d | 5 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-02status Active
-
2026-03-30historical Contingent
-
2026-03-16price $185,000
-
2026-03-05$199,000 Active
-
2019-05-01soldstatus $100,000 Sold 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Cozy Ranch * Convenient one floor living * Appliances remain * Newer HWT (2014) * Newer vinyl siding * Extra large 2 car garage * Newer doors * Formal Dining Room was a third Bedroom, can be easily converted back * Spacious Living Room * Nice sized and updated Main Bathroom * Patio area behind house * Some ceiling fans * Great location !
-
2019-05-01soldstatus $100,000
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Cozy Ranch * Convenient one floor living * Appliances remain * Newer HWT (2014) * Newer vinyl siding * Extra large 2 car garage * Newer doors * Formal Dining Room was a third Bedroom, can be easily converted back * Spacious Living Room * Nice sized and updated Main Bathroom * Patio area behind house * Some ceiling fans * Great location !
-
2019-04-02status Pending 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Cozy Ranch * Convenient one floor living * Appliances remain * Newer HWT (2014) * Newer vinyl siding * Extra large 2 car garage * Newer doors * Formal Dining Room was a third Bedroom, can be easily converted back * Spacious Living Room * Nice sized and updated Main Bathroom * Patio area behind house * Some ceiling fans * Great location !
-
2019-04-01$94,500 Active 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Cozy Ranch * Convenient one floor living * Appliances remain * Newer HWT (2014) * Newer vinyl siding * Extra large 2 car garage * Newer doors * Formal Dining Room was a third Bedroom, can be easily converted back * Spacious Living Room * Nice sized and updated Main Bathroom * Patio area behind house * Some ceiling fans * Great location !
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,846 · $237/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,866 · $239/mo
- Expected delta
- +$20/yr (+$2/mo · 0.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,846
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,782
- − Management
- −$1,782
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$801
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$192
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,380/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Parma City
- NCES district ID
- 3904463
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,371
- Composite
- 40.72/100
- National rank
- #3662
- State rank
- #469 of 656 in OH
Livability — Parma
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #1232
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parma, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 66,574
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,774
- Household income
- $68,625
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 668.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Subsaharan African 6% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 7% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -215.17%
- Current HPI
- 184.0553
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.56%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+95.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-30 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $185,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-05 Listed $199,000 MLSNOW
- 2019-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2019-05-01 Sold (MLS) $100,000 MLSNOW
- 2019-04-02 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2019-04-01 Listed $94,500 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,846 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…