2427 Vanderbilt Ave · Portage, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming ranch home features an open floor plan filled with natural light, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a dining area with a French door that lead to a deck overlooking a private backyard. The main level offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, including a conveniently located half bath between two bedrooms and an updated full bath. Recent updates include a new AC unit, along with new kitchen fixtures. The finished lower level showcases new flooring and fresh paint, providing a spacious family room, office or playroom, laundry area, and abundant storage. Enjoy outdoor living in the brand-new fenced backyard ideal for pets and play. Additional features include a 12x20 detached garage and an 8x8 attached shed. Conveniently located with easy access to US-131, parks, shopping, and restaurants. Schedule your private showing today!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- New ac unit
- French door
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($389/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (9.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.0% in Portage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#90 in MI, #2,044 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Portage Public Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #67 of 540 in MI (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Moorsbridge Elementary School (math 63% / reading 68%, grade B+, #129 of 1,397 statewide, top 9%, 608 students, 16% FRL); Portage Central Middle School (math 60% / reading 74%, grade A-, #31 of 493 statewide, top 6%, 740 students, 23% FRL); Portage Central High School (math 53% / reading 76%, grade B-, #46 of 713 statewide, top 7%, 1,420 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools at 18% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 16 sale attempts since 33y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $250k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.56%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $356,934
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -29.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2623 Vanderbilt Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,768 (+3%) | 6mo | $295,000 | $167 | 82 |
| 2225 Vanderbilt Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,810 (+5%) | 20mo | $210,000 | $116 | 68 |
| 2586 Ashford Trl | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,811 (+5%) | 3mo | $540,000 | $298 | 64 |
| 9328 Chapel St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,836 (+6%) | 23mo | $300,000 | $163 | 63 |
| 9841 Windflower Ln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,890 (+10%) | 23mo | $599,000 | $317 | 35 |
| 9946 Mozart St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-13%) | 16mo | $249,500 | $166 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-30,509
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $10,913
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49024
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,254 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$334 /mo · $4,003/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$473
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $174 | -5% $103 | +0% $32 | +5% $-38 | +10% $-109 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-146 | -5% $-57 | +0% $32 | +5% $121 | +10% $210 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $158 | -0.5pp $96 | base $32 | +0.5pp $-32 | +1.0pp $-98 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10240 Pennridge Dr Portage, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $2,395 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 10328 Pennridge Dr Portage, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $2,295 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 7741 Walcott St Portage, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-22statusdays on market $249,900 Active - Contingent 136 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $249,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $259,999 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,999 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,999 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,999 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,999 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $259,999 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-04-06price $259,999 840-char remark
Show marketing remark (840 chars)
This charming ranch home features an open floor plan filled with natural light, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a dining area with a French door that lead to a deck overlooking a private backyard. The main level offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, including a conveniently located half bath between two bedrooms and an updated full bath. Recent updates include a new AC unit, along with new kitchen fixtures. The finished lower level showcases new flooring and fresh paint, providing a spacious family room, office or playroom, laundry area, and abundant storage. Enjoy outdoor living in the brand-new fenced backyard ideal for pets and play. Additional features include a 12x20 detached garage and an 8x8 attached shed. Conveniently located with easy access to US-131, parks, shopping, and restaurants. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2026-04-06price $259,999 840-char remark
Show marketing remark (840 chars)
This charming ranch home features an open floor plan filled with natural light, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a dining area with a French door that lead to a deck overlooking a private backyard. The main level offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, including a conveniently located half bath between two bedrooms and an updated full bath. Recent updates include a new AC unit, along with new kitchen fixtures. The finished lower level showcases new flooring and fresh paint, providing a spacious family room, office or playroom, laundry area, and abundant storage. Enjoy outdoor living in the brand-new fenced backyard ideal for pets and play. Additional features include a 12x20 detached garage and an 8x8 attached shed. Conveniently located with easy access to US-131, parks, shopping, and restaurants. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2026-04-06price $259,999
Show marketing remark (840 chars)
This charming ranch home features an open floor plan filled with natural light, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a dining area with a French door that lead to a deck overlooking a private backyard. The main level offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, including a conveniently located half bath between two bedrooms and an updated full bath. Recent updates include a new AC unit, along with new kitchen fixtures. The finished lower level showcases new flooring and fresh paint, providing a spacious family room, office or playroom, laundry area, and abundant storage. Enjoy outdoor living in the brand-new fenced backyard ideal for pets and play. Additional features include a 12x20 detached garage and an 8x8 attached shed. Conveniently located with easy access to US-131, parks, shopping, and restaurants. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2026-02-05$264,900 Active 840-char remark
Show marketing remark (840 chars)
This charming ranch home features an open floor plan filled with natural light, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a dining area with a French door that lead to a deck overlooking a private backyard. The main level offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, including a conveniently located half bath between two bedrooms and an updated full bath. Recent updates include a new AC unit, along with new kitchen fixtures. The finished lower level showcases new flooring and fresh paint, providing a spacious family room, office or playroom, laundry area, and abundant storage. Enjoy outdoor living in the brand-new fenced backyard ideal for pets and play. Additional features include a 12x20 detached garage and an 8x8 attached shed. Conveniently located with easy access to US-131, parks, shopping, and restaurants. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2026-02-05$264,900 Active 840-char remark
Show marketing remark (840 chars)
This charming ranch home features an open floor plan filled with natural light, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a dining area with a French door that lead to a deck overlooking a private backyard. The main level offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, including a conveniently located half bath between two bedrooms and an updated full bath. Recent updates include a new AC unit, along with new kitchen fixtures. The finished lower level showcases new flooring and fresh paint, providing a spacious family room, office or playroom, laundry area, and abundant storage. Enjoy outdoor living in the brand-new fenced backyard ideal for pets and play. Additional features include a 12x20 detached garage and an 8x8 attached shed. Conveniently located with easy access to US-131, parks, shopping, and restaurants. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2026-02-05$264,900 Active
Show marketing remark (840 chars)
This charming ranch home features an open floor plan filled with natural light, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a dining area with a French door that lead to a deck overlooking a private backyard. The main level offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, including a conveniently located half bath between two bedrooms and an updated full bath. Recent updates include a new AC unit, along with new kitchen fixtures. The finished lower level showcases new flooring and fresh paint, providing a spacious family room, office or playroom, laundry area, and abundant storage. Enjoy outdoor living in the brand-new fenced backyard ideal for pets and play. Additional features include a 12x20 detached garage and an 8x8 attached shed. Conveniently located with easy access to US-131, parks, shopping, and restaurants. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2020-02-13soldstatus $150,000
-
2020-01-31soldstatus $150,000
-
2020-01-31soldstatus $150,000 Sold
-
2020-01-31soldstatus $150,000
-
2019-12-05status Pending
-
2019-12-02$145,000
-
2019-12-02$145,000 Active
-
2019-12-02$145,000
-
2013-07-09soldstatus $115,000
-
2013-06-28soldstatus $115,000
-
2013-06-28soldstatus $115,000
-
2013-03-23$115,000
-
2013-03-23$115,000
-
2013-02-26soldstatus $42,600
-
2013-02-26soldstatus $42,600
-
2013-01-12$44,500
-
2013-01-12$44,500
-
2005-04-15soldstatus $95,876
-
2005-04-15soldstatus $95,876
-
2005-01-17$99,900
-
2005-01-17$99,900
-
2000-08-24soldstatus $77,900
-
2000-08-24soldstatus $77,900
-
2000-07-18$77,900
-
2000-07-18$77,900
-
1993-12-27soldstatus $52,600
-
1993-12-27soldstatus $52,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,003 · $334/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,003 · $334/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,046
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$4,003
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,164
- − Management
- −$2,164
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$3,801
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$912
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,301/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portage Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2628950
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,322
- Composite
- 48.37/100
- National rank
- #2142
- State rank
- #67 of 540 in MI
Livability — Portage
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #2044
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portage, MI
- County
- Kalamazoo County · 224,317 people
- City population
- 50,560
- Metro
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,823
- Household income
- $91,105
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 698.0
Population outlook (Kalamazoo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,982 people
- By 2030
- 292,068 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 312,191 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 331,196 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 379,021 · +34.9%
- By 2100
- 396,579 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 9% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kalamazoo
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.7) · D 58.0% · R 40.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.8pp toward R · 2008: 19.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.7 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -239.74%
- Current HPI
- 215.2275
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.36%
- Metro
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+373.6% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $259,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $259,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $259,999 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $264,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-05 Listed $264,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $264,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2020-01-31 Sold (MLS) $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-01-31 Sold (MLS) $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2020-01-31 Sold (MLS) $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-12-05 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2019-12-02 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-12-02 Listed $145,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2019-12-02 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2013-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2013-06-28 Sold (MLS) $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2013-06-28 Sold (MLS) $115,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2013-03-23 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2013-03-23 Listed $115,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2013-02-26 Sold (MLS) $42,600 REALCOMP
- 2013-02-26 Sold (MLS) $42,600 SW Michigan MLS
- 2013-01-12 Listed $44,500 REALCOMP
- 2013-01-12 Listed $44,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2005-04-15 Sold (MLS) $95,876 REALCOMP
- 2005-04-15 Sold (MLS) $95,876 SW Michigan MLS
- 2005-01-17 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-01-17 Listed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2000-08-24 Sold (MLS) $77,900 REALCOMP
- 2000-08-24 Sold (MLS) $77,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2000-07-18 Listed $77,900 REALCOMP
- 2000-07-18 Listed $77,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1993-12-27 Sold (MLS) $52,600 REALCOMP
- 1993-12-27 Sold (MLS) $52,600 SW Michigan MLS
- 1993-09-30 Listed $54,900 REALCOMP
- 1993-09-30 Listed $54,900 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+63.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,003 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…