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800 Bay Branch Rd
C Composite 55.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$131,400

800 Bay Branch Rd · Lamar, SC 29069
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,012 sqft · Manufactured · 78 Days on market
Built 2014 Good condition 0.30 ac lot ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Beautiful 2015 built manufactured home located in the country part of Lamar is very spacious. This 2,100+ SqFt. home has 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, laundry room, has a living room and a den, a nice deck, pool, secluded pond and 16+ acres of land that is great for hunting or recreational use. Showing is by appointment only. Electronic Lockbox. Call or Text Listing Agent to schedule an appointment. (843)245-6657

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Built 2014
  • Listed 77 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.3 acre

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Above-grade finished area: 2,012
  • Exterior features: Deck; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Range; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $131k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $131k).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#175 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Darlington 01 (town): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #52 of 80 in SC (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lamar-Spaulding Elementary (math 23%, 466 students, 100% FRL); Spaulding Middle (math 31% / reading 32%, grade F, #124 of 229 statewide, top 55%, 204 students, 100% FRL); Lamar High (math 54% / reading 87%, grade B+, #54 of 196 statewide, top 28%, 269 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 51% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Darlington 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 195 units permitted in Darlington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($908 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Darlington County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $123,516 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.49%
Cash-on-cash
4.29%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$21,910
Equity at exit
$56,621
10-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$69,224
Equity at exit
$85,392

Cash invested: $36,792 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29069

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,316 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$689
Tax est. 1.5%
$164 /mo · $1,971/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$132

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,149
Max offer price $131,400
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,850
Closing costs
$3,942
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $131,400 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $131,400 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $131,400 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $131,400 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $131,400 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $131,400 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $131,400 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $131,400 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $131,400 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $131,400 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $131,400 Active 66 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $131,400 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $131,400 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $131,400 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $131,400 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $131,400 Active 59 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $131,400 Active 58 DOM
  18. 2026-05-19
    price $131,400
  19. 2026-04-02
    listed $146,000 Active
  20. 2022-11-11
    soldstatus 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    This Beautiful 2015 built manufactured home located in the country part of Lamar is very spacious. This 2,100+ SqFt. home has 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, laundry room, has a living room and a den, a nice deck, pool, secluded pond and 16+ acres of land that is great for hunting or recreational use. Showing is by appointment only. Electronic Lockbox. Call or Text Listing Agent to schedule an appointment. (843)245-6657

  21. 2022-09-14
    listed $194,900 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    This Beautiful 2015 built manufactured home located in the country part of Lamar is very spacious. This 2,100+ SqFt. home has 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, laundry room, has a living room and a den, a nice deck, pool, secluded pond and 16+ acres of land that is great for hunting or recreational use. Showing is by appointment only. Electronic Lockbox. Call or Text Listing Agent to schedule an appointment. (843)245-6657

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,791
− Mortgage interest
−$7,360
− Property taxes
−$1,971
− Insurance
−$657
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,263
− Management
−$1,263
− Depreciation
−$3,823
Taxable loss
−$547
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$131
After-tax cash flow
$1,709/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2015-built double-wide manufactured home is in good condition with modern finishes and a spacious layout. It's ready for a new owner to move in and make it their own.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Neutral paint can be updated to match buyer's preference
  • Resale Replace light fixtures — Modern light fixtures can enhance the home's appeal
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can improve convenience and energy efficiency
  • Both Add smart thermostat — Smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort
  • Both Install smart locks — Smart locks can improve security and convenience

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Neutral paint can be updated to match buyer's preference
  • Resale Replace light fixtures — Modern light fixtures can enhance the home's appeal
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can improve convenience and energy efficiency
  • Both Add smart thermostat — Smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort
  • Both Install smart locks — Smart locks can improve security and convenience

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Darlington 01
NCES district ID
4501860
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,243
Composite
26.51/100
National rank
#7202
State rank
#52 of 80 in SC

Livability — Lamar

Score
63/100
State rank
#175
US rank
#15545

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,029

Population outlook (Darlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
64,981 people
By 2030
62,846 · -3.3%
By 2040
58,146 · -10.5%
By 2050
53,541 · -17.6%
By 2075
43,477 · -33.1%
By 2100
34,013 · -47.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (54%)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 44%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 3% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Darlington

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.8% · R 56.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.2pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+3.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.66%
Current HPI
151.1088
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $131,400 RAGPD
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $146,000 RAGPD
  • 2022-11-11 Sold (MLS) RAGPD
  • 2022-09-14 Listed $194,900 RAGPD

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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