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511 Circle Dr
F Composite 31.41
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$254,987

511 Circle Dr · Calhoun, GA 30701
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,218 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 137 Days on market
Built 2006 0.47 ac lot Est $203k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.

Key facts

  • Pantry
  • His and her closets
  • Lvp flooring

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LIVING ROOMWOOD STAINED CABINETSBREAKFAST BARPANTRYLVP FLOORINGHIS AND HER CLOSETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size about 0.47 acre; Subdivision: Morningside Add C40-C41-C42
  • HOA & community: No HOA; No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage with garage door opener; Total parking spaces: 1
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family house; Resale property; Entry level: One story
  • Construction: Built in 2006; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; City lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Pantry; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Tray ceilings; No common walls; One level
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area in the garage; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-211/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (1.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (21.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.1% in Calhoun — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#129 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gordon County (rural): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #65 of 174 in GA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Belwood Elementary School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #336 of 1,228 statewide, top 29%, 518 students, 63% FRL); Ashworth Middle School (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #164 of 470 statewide, top 35%, 596 students, 65% FRL); Gordon Central High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #213 of 424 statewide, top 51%, 871 students, 63% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 398 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 414 units permitted in Gordon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $71k; list at $255k implies a 260% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $200,276 (21.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.29%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,406
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
203 Jeep St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,222 (+0%) 14mo $169,000 $138 81
132 Peters St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,142 (-6%) 3mo $90,000 $79 71
900 E May St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-2%) 15mo $195,990 $163 68
119 Telfair St 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,284 (+5%) 4mo $215,000 $167 67
123 Deer Park Ln 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,216 (-0%) 3mo $250,000 $206 67
508 E May St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+10%) 23mo $200,000 $149 56
105 S Louise Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,099 (-10%) 14mo $215,000 $196 36
121 Victory Dr 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,051 (-14%) 23mo $214,900 $204 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.3%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-45,406
Equity at exit
$38,019
10-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-52,816
Equity at exit
$22,047

Cash invested: $71,396 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30701

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
398
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,003 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,876/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$-18

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,025
Max offer price $251,888
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,747
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Harvest Grove Ln Calhoun, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1422 $1,940 $1.36 5d 6 0.84mi
415 Curtis Pkwy SE Calhoun, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1044 $1,898 $1.82 20d 25 0.90mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $254,987 Active 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $254,987 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $254,987 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $254,987 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $254,987 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $254,987 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $254,987 Active 130 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $254,987 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $254,987 Active 127 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $254,987 Active 126 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $254,987 Active 125 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $254,987 Active 121 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $254,987 Active 120 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $254,987 Active 119 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $254,987 Active 118 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $254,987 Active 117 DOM
  17. 2026-05-16
    status Back On Market
  18. 2026-05-16
    status Active
  19. 2026-04-16
    historical On Hold
  20. 2026-04-08
    price $254,987
  21. 2026-04-08
    price $254,987
  22. 2025-12-27
    listed $260,000 Active
  23. 2025-12-27
    listed $260,000 New
  24. 2014-12-11
    soldstatus $70,800
  25. 2014-09-10
    price $70,500 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.

  26. 2014-09-10
    historical 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.

  27. 2014-09-05
    soldstatus $70,500 Sold 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.

  28. 2014-09-05
    price $74,900 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.

  29. 2014-08-19
    status Pending 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.

  30. 2014-08-14
    historical Contingent - Due Diligence 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.

  31. 2014-07-01
    listed $74,900 Active 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.

  32. 2006-11-03
    soldstatus $101,000
  33. 2005-11-15
    soldstatus $90,000
  34. 2005-11-15
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,876 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,346 · $195/mo
Expected delta
+$470/yr (+$39/mo · 25.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,033
− Mortgage interest
−$14,283
− Property taxes
−$1,876
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,923
− Management
−$1,923
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$4,664
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,119
After-tax cash flow
$909/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gordon County
NCES district ID
1302430
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,906
Composite
29.77/100
National rank
#6430
State rank
#65 of 174 in GA

Livability — Calhoun

Score
68/100
State rank
#129
US rank
#9072

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Gordon County · 44,691 people
City population
44,691
Metro
Calhoun, GA
Population (ZIP)
44,691
Household income
$63,921
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
1007.0

Population outlook (Gordon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,151 people
By 2030
59,968 · +1.4%
By 2040
60,579 · +2.4%
By 2050
59,396 · +0.4%
By 2075
52,383 · -11.4%
By 2100
41,219 · -30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 18% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gordon

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.4) · D 18.1% · R 81.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.2pp toward R · 2008: -50.2pp · 2024: -63.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.4 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+63.6 2012: R+57.8 2008: R+50.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.88%
Current HPI
250.1595
Rent YoY
▲ 1.54%
Metro
Calhoun, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+183.3% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Relisted FMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Delisted GAMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $254,987 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $254,987 FMLS
  • 2025-12-27 Listed $260,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-27 Listed $260,000 FMLS
  • 2014-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $70,800 Public Records
  • 2014-09-10 Price Changed $70,500 FMLS
  • 2014-09-10 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2014-09-05 Price Changed $74,900 FMLS
  • 2014-09-05 Sold (MLS) $70,500 FMLS
  • 2014-08-19 Pending FMLS
  • 2014-08-14 Contingent FMLS
  • 2014-07-01 Listed $74,900 FMLS
  • 2006-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
  • 2005-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2005-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,876 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…