511 Circle Dr · Calhoun, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$254,987
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.
Key facts
- Pantry
- His and her closets
- Lvp flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size about 0.47 acre; Subdivision: Morningside Add C40-C41-C42
- HOA & community: No HOA; No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with garage door opener; Total parking spaces: 1
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family house; Resale property; Entry level: One story
- Construction: Built in 2006; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; City lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Pantry; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Tray ceilings; No common walls; One level
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area in the garage; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-211/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (1.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (21.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.1% in Calhoun — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#129 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Gordon County (rural): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #65 of 174 in GA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Belwood Elementary School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #336 of 1,228 statewide, top 29%, 518 students, 63% FRL); Ashworth Middle School (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #164 of 470 statewide, top 35%, 596 students, 65% FRL); Gordon Central High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #213 of 424 statewide, top 51%, 871 students, 63% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 398 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 414 units permitted in Gordon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $255k implies a 260% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.29%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,406
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Jeep St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,222 (+0%) | 14mo | $169,000 | $138 | 81 |
| 132 Peters St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,142 (-6%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $79 | 71 |
| 900 E May St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-2%) | 15mo | $195,990 | $163 | 68 |
| 119 Telfair St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,284 (+5%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $167 | 67 |
| 123 Deer Park Ln | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-0%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $206 | 67 |
| 508 E May St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 23mo | $200,000 | $149 | 56 |
| 105 S Louise Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,099 (-10%) | 14mo | $215,000 | $196 | 36 |
| 121 Victory Dr | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,051 (-14%) | 23mo | $214,900 | $204 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-45,406
- Equity at exit
- $38,019
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-52,816
- Equity at exit
- $22,047
Cash invested: $71,396 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30701
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 398
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,003 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$156 /mo · $1,876/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $-18
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,747
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Harvest Grove Ln Calhoun, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1422 | $1,940 | $1.36 | 5d | 6 | 0.84mi |
| 415 Curtis Pkwy SE Calhoun, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1044 | $1,898 | $1.82 | 20d | 25 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $254,987 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $254,987 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $254,987 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $254,987 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $254,987 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $254,987 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $254,987 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $254,987 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $254,987 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $254,987 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $254,987 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $254,987 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $254,987 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $254,987 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $254,987 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $254,987 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-16status Back On Market
-
2026-05-16status Active
-
2026-04-16historical On Hold
-
2026-04-08price $254,987
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2026-04-08price $254,987
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2025-12-27$260,000 Active
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2025-12-27$260,000 New
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2014-12-11soldstatus $70,800
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2014-09-10price $70,500 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.
-
2014-09-10historical 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.
-
2014-09-05soldstatus $70,500 Sold 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.
-
2014-09-05price $74,900 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.
-
2014-08-19status Pending 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.
-
2014-08-14historical Contingent - Due Diligence 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.
-
2014-07-01$74,900 Active 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
HomeSteps Freddie Mac Foreclosure. First Look Initiative. 07/01/2014-07/21/2014. No investor offers considered during this period. Seller will pay up to $500 toward home warranty of buyers choice, no credits given for unused amounts. One level easy maintenance ranch home with open great room/kitchen and three good sized bedrooms and two full baths. HomeSteps financing is avaiable.
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2006-11-03soldstatus $101,000
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2005-11-15soldstatus $90,000
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2005-11-15soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,876 · $156/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,346 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- +$470/yr (+$39/mo · 25.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,033
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,283
- − Property taxes
- −$1,876
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,923
- − Management
- −$1,923
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable loss
- −$4,664
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,119
- After-tax cash flow
- $909/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gordon County
- NCES district ID
- 1302430
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,906
- Composite
- 29.77/100
- National rank
- #6430
- State rank
- #65 of 174 in GA
Livability — Calhoun
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #9072
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Gordon County · 44,691 people
- City population
- 44,691
- Metro
- Calhoun, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,691
- Household income
- $63,921
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1007.0
Population outlook (Gordon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,151 people
- By 2030
- 59,968 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 60,579 · +2.4%
- By 2050
- 59,396 · +0.4%
- By 2075
- 52,383 · -11.4%
- By 2100
- 41,219 · -30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 18% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gordon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.4) · D 18.1% · R 81.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.2pp toward R · 2008: -50.2pp · 2024: -63.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.4 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+63.6 2012: R+57.8 2008: R+50.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.88%
- Current HPI
- 250.1595
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.54%
- Metro
- Calhoun, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+183.3% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-04-16 Delisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $254,987 GAMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $254,987 FMLS
- 2025-12-27 Listed $260,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-27 Listed $260,000 FMLS
- 2014-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $70,800 Public Records
- 2014-09-10 Price Changed $70,500 FMLS
- 2014-09-10 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2014-09-05 Price Changed $74,900 FMLS
- 2014-09-05 Sold (MLS) $70,500 FMLS
- 2014-08-19 Pending — FMLS
- 2014-08-14 Contingent — FMLS
- 2014-07-01 Listed $74,900 FMLS
- 2006-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,876 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…