CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
29 N 14th St
D- Composite 35.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

29 N 14th St · Belleville, IL 62220
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,122 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 437 Days on market
Built 1838 6,534 sqft lot Est $135k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investors, here is the opportunity with this promising duplex just off Main St in Belleville, IL. Each unit boasts a well-designed layout featuring 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, offering comfortable living spaces for tenants. The flexibility is yours to set rent rates and lease terms for the currently vacant newly renovated unit. Occupied unit currently rents for $925 per month. Positioned in a prime location and with one unit ready for occupancy, this property presents a unique chance to shape your investment returns. Don't miss out on the potential of this duplex in Belleville. Pictures to come.

Key facts

  • Prime location
  • Duplex
  • Newly renovated

Tags

DUPLEXPRIME LOCATIONNEWLY RENOVATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Operating expenses may include insurance, taxes, maintenance structure, and professional management; Tenants pay all utilities

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex residential income property; Private ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Gravel road access; 0.15-acre lot (44 x 135)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (each unit has 2 bedrooms)
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($116/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (5.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Union Elem School (math 20% / reading 34%, grade F, #749 of 2,056 statewide, top 40%, 427 students, 0% FRL); West Jr High School (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #482 of 665 statewide, top 73%, 422 students, 0% FRL); Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 437 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $127k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1838 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 437 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1838 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.26%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,640
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21 S 10th St 0.25mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,120 (-0%) 7mo $59,900 $53 67
325 N 10th St 0.23mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,078 (-4%) 8mo $39,900 $37 61
1406 Raab Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 1,170 (+4%) 10mo $85,000 $73 59
1600 W H St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,056 (-6%) 1mo $109,900 $104 55
1412 4th Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,176 (+5%) 1mo $169,900 $144 49
507 S 16th St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,141 (+2%) 10mo $136,500 $120 46
318 S 20th St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (+7%) 5mo $35,000 $29 46
821 Gass Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,058 (-6%) 12mo $149,900 $142 39
31 Gerri Ann Dr 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,148 (+2%) 12mo $150,000 $131 38
8 Grace Ct 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,274 (+14%) 8mo $109,500 $86 36
909 Peony Dr 0.73mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,222 (+9%) 6mo $180,000 $147 35
1940 Roosevelt Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 960 (-14%) 17mo $129,900 $135 14

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-17,116
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$22,411
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62220

Home prices YoY
-26.4%
Rents YoY
14.5%
Active inventory
149
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,506 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$280 /mo · $3,361/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$10

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,494
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $100 -5% $55 +0% $10 +5% $-35 +10% $-80
Rent -10% $-109 -5% $-50 +0% $10 +5% $69 +10% $129
Rate -1.0pp $90 -0.5pp $50 base $10 +0.5pp $-32 +1.0pp $-73

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
618 W Monroe St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,050 $0.70 25d 1 0.63mi
1107 Bristow St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.0 1238 $1,500 $1.21 14d 1 1.19mi
401 N Douglas Ave Belleville, IL 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,295 $1.00 0d 1 1.26mi
721 S Church St Belleville, IL 4.0 2.0 1216 $2,000 $1.64 25d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $159,000 Active 437 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 434 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 433 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 432 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 431 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 429 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 425 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 424 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 423 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,000 Active 419 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 418 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active 417 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 416 DOM
  14. 2026-04-10
    price $159,000
  15. 2025-07-31
    price $175,000
  16. 2025-05-13
    price $185,000
  17. 2025-04-10
    listed $189,000 Active
  18. 2024-06-05
    historical
  19. 2024-03-22
    status Active
  20. 2024-03-05
    historical Active Under Contract
  21. 2023-12-21
    listed $137,500 Active
  22. 2007-06-22
    soldstatus $127,000
  23. 2007-06-22
    soldstatus $108,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,361 · $280/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,485 · $290/mo
Expected delta
+$124/yr (+$10/mo · 3.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,073
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$3,361
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,446
− Management
−$1,446
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable loss
−$2,506
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$602
After-tax cash flow
$718/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belleville, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
19,152
Household income
$65,952
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
923.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.27%
Current HPI
145.9237
Rent YoY
▲ 14.47%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $159,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $175,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-13 Price Changed $185,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-10 Listed $189,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-05 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-22 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-05 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-21 Listed $137,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
  • 2007-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $127,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,361 · +87.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…