29 N 14th St · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investors, here is the opportunity with this promising duplex just off Main St in Belleville, IL. Each unit boasts a well-designed layout featuring 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, offering comfortable living spaces for tenants. The flexibility is yours to set rent rates and lease terms for the currently vacant newly renovated unit. Occupied unit currently rents for $925 per month. Positioned in a prime location and with one unit ready for occupancy, this property presents a unique chance to shape your investment returns. Don't miss out on the potential of this duplex in Belleville. Pictures to come.
Key facts
- Prime location
- Duplex
- Newly renovated
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Operating expenses may include insurance, taxes, maintenance structure, and professional management; Tenants pay all utilities
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex residential income property; Private ownership
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Gravel road access; 0.15-acre lot (44 x 135)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (each unit has 2 bedrooms)
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($116/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (5.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Union Elem School (math 20% / reading 34%, grade F, #749 of 2,056 statewide, top 40%, 427 students, 0% FRL); West Jr High School (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #482 of 665 statewide, top 73%, 422 students, 0% FRL); Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 437 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $127k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1838 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 437 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1838 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.26%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,640
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 S 10th St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,120 (-0%) | 7mo | $59,900 | $53 | 67 |
| 325 N 10th St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,078 (-4%) | 8mo | $39,900 | $37 | 61 |
| 1406 Raab Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 1,170 (+4%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $73 | 59 |
| 1600 W H St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-6%) | 1mo | $109,900 | $104 | 55 |
| 1412 4th Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,176 (+5%) | 1mo | $169,900 | $144 | 49 |
| 507 S 16th St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,141 (+2%) | 10mo | $136,500 | $120 | 46 |
| 318 S 20th St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+7%) | 5mo | $35,000 | $29 | 46 |
| 821 Gass Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,058 (-6%) | 12mo | $149,900 | $142 | 39 |
| 31 Gerri Ann Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,148 (+2%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $131 | 38 |
| 8 Grace Ct | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,274 (+14%) | 8mo | $109,500 | $86 | 36 |
| 909 Peony Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,222 (+9%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $147 | 35 |
| 1940 Roosevelt Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-14%) | 17mo | $129,900 | $135 | 14 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-17,116
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $22,411
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62220
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Rents YoY
- 14.5%
- Active inventory
- 149
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,506 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$280 /mo · $3,361/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $100 | -5% $55 | +0% $10 | +5% $-35 | +10% $-80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-109 | -5% $-50 | +0% $10 | +5% $69 | +10% $129 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $90 | -0.5pp $50 | base $10 | +0.5pp $-32 | +1.0pp $-73 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 618 W Monroe St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,050 | $0.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1107 Bristow St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1238 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 401 N Douglas Ave Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,295 | $1.00 | 0d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 721 S Church St Belleville, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,000 Active 437 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 434 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 429 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 425 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $159,000
-
2025-07-31price $175,000
-
2025-05-13price $185,000
-
2025-04-10$189,000 Active
-
2024-06-05historical
-
2024-03-22status Active
-
2024-03-05historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-12-21$137,500 Active
-
2007-06-22soldstatus $127,000
-
2007-06-22soldstatus $108,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,361 · $280/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,485 · $290/mo
- Expected delta
- +$124/yr (+$10/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,073
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$3,361
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,446
- − Management
- −$1,446
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable loss
- −$2,506
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$602
- After-tax cash flow
- $718/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belleville, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,152
- Household income
- $65,952
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 923.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.27%
- Current HPI
- 145.9237
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.47%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+25.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $159,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $175,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-13 Price Changed $185,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-10 Listed $189,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-05 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-22 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-05 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-21 Listed $137,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $127,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.5%/yrLatest (2024): $3,361 · +87.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…