CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
106 Kilbourn Ave
C Composite 59.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$122,000

106 Kilbourn Ave · Denmark, IA 52624
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 162 Days on market
Built 1973 0.30 ac lot $127/sqft · 15% below area Est $143k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover this inviting 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with a one car attached garage, located in the welcoming town of Denmark. This move-in-ready property offers plenty of potential to make it your own. Call today to schedule a showing!

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1973

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $51 ($606/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (9.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#361 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Fort Madison Community School District (town): math 55% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #260 of 289 in IA (top 90%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($843 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $102k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $107,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.78%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$143,148
List price
$122,000
Delta
-14.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 Turner Ave 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 896 (-7%) 9mo $155,000 $173 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.2%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$28,132
Equity at exit
$65,724
10-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$83,888
Equity at exit
$110,706

Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52624

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$640
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,534/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$51

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,036
Max offer price $122,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,500
Closing costs
$3,660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $122,000 Active 162 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $122,000 Active 161 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $122,000 Active 160 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $122,000 Active 159 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $122,000 Active 158 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $122,000 Active 156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $122,000 Active 155 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 152 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 151 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 150 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 149 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 146 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 145 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 144 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 143 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 142 DOM
  17. 2026-03-30
    status Active 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Discover this inviting 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with a one car attached garage, located in the welcoming town of Denmark. This move-in-ready property offers plenty of potential to make it your own. Call today to schedule a showing!

  18. 2026-01-19
    historical Active Under Contract 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Discover this inviting 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with a one car attached garage, located in the welcoming town of Denmark. This move-in-ready property offers plenty of potential to make it your own. Call today to schedule a showing!

  19. 2026-01-08
    listed $125,000 Active 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Discover this inviting 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with a one car attached garage, located in the welcoming town of Denmark. This move-in-ready property offers plenty of potential to make it your own. Call today to schedule a showing!

  20. 2019-12-11
    soldstatus $102,000
  21. 2019-12-11
    soldstatus $102,000
  22. 2019-12-05
    soldstatus $102,000 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    This sunny 3 bedroom ranch offers newer laminate flooring, stainless appliances, newer vinyl windows, siding and roof. Bix has professionally waterproofed lower level and has a triple backup on sump pump. 200 amp electrical, city services, rathbun water, all electric home. Attached one car garage completes this doll house.

  23. 2019-08-19
    listed $104,900 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    This sunny 3 bedroom ranch offers newer laminate flooring, stainless appliances, newer vinyl windows, siding and roof. Bix has professionally waterproofed lower level and has a triple backup on sump pump. 200 amp electrical, city services, rathbun water, all electric home. Attached one car garage completes this doll house.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,534 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,725 · $144/mo
Expected delta
+$191/yr (+$16/mo · 12.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,200
− Mortgage interest
−$6,834
− Property taxes
−$1,534
− Insurance
−$610
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,056
− Management
−$1,056
− Depreciation
−$3,549
Taxable loss
−$1,439
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$345
After-tax cash flow
$952/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Madison Community School District
NCES district ID
1911850
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,801
Composite
47.87/100
National rank
#2218
State rank
#260 of 289 in IA

Livability — Denmark

Score
70/100
State rank
#361
US rank
#7538

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Denmark, IA
City population
709
Population (ZIP)
709

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,813 people
By 2030
32,835 · -2.9%
By 2040
30,690 · -9.2%
By 2050
28,777 · -14.9%
By 2075
25,568 · -24.4%
By 2100
21,983 · -35.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.0% · R 62.9% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-43.8pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: -27.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.8 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+16.1 2012: D+16.0 2008: D+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.54%
Current HPI
111.3586
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+19.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Relisted IAR
  • 2026-01-19 Contingent IAR
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $125,000 IAR
  • 2019-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 2019-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 2019-12-05 Sold (MLS) $102,000 IAR
  • 2019-08-19 Listed $104,900 IAR

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,534 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…