1 Oak Trl · Silver Springs Shores, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.3/30.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
VACANT LAND - Silver Springs Shores Unit 13, Ocala, Florida, Lot 01, for residential homes. Get in on this upcoming area.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2025
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.25 acre (paved road); Zoned R1; Unfurnished; Living area reported as 1,500 sq ft; total building area 1,936 sq ft
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (20 x 20)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Faces southeast
- Construction: Block and concrete construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Tray ceilings; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-518 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (25.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (35.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $188k (35.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Emerald Shores Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 666 students, 74% FRL); Lake Weir High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,483 students, 68% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Marion average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 674 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $290k implies a 954% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.66%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $243,282
- List price
- $289,900
- Delta
- 19.16%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $44,347
- Equity at exit
- $181,009
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $147,249
- Equity at exit
- $327,190
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34472
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 674
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,880 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$362 /mo · $4,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $-518
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Oak Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,795 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5 Olive Dr Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 21 Olive Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,800 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 226 Oak Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $1,675 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2 Ash Dr Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $1,750 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8 Ash Pass Run Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,650 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $289,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $289,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $289,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$289,900 Active 1237-char remark
-
2024-10-18soldstatus $27,500 Closed 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
VACANT LAND - Silver Springs Shores Unit 13, Ocala, Florida, Lot 01, for residential homes. Get in on this upcoming area.
-
2024-08-20$28,000 Active 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
VACANT LAND - Silver Springs Shores Unit 13, Ocala, Florida, Lot 01, for residential homes. Get in on this upcoming area.
-
2023-07-14soldstatus $25,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Corner lot . 24 of an acre in the Oaks of Silver Springs Shores South, very near to 110th in Belleview. This is NOT in a flood zone and is a treed lot. This area is convenient to Belleview, Summerfield, Ocala and The Villages. Lots of new construction in this area.
-
2023-06-23status Pending
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Corner lot . 24 of an acre in the Oaks of Silver Springs Shores South, very near to 110th in Belleview. This is NOT in a flood zone and is a treed lot. This area is convenient to Belleview, Summerfield, Ocala and The Villages. Lots of new construction in this area.
-
2023-06-18$26,900 Active
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Corner lot . 24 of an acre in the Oaks of Silver Springs Shores South, very near to 110th in Belleview. This is NOT in a flood zone and is a treed lot. This area is convenient to Belleview, Summerfield, Ocala and The Villages. Lots of new construction in this area.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,558
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$4,348
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,805
- − Management
- −$1,805
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$11,522
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,765
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,455/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Silver Springs Shores
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #527
- US rank
- #9854
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Silver Springs Shores, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 34,665
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,851
- Household income
- $64,208
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 655.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Current HPI
- 255.0714
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.17%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+977.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $289,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-18 Sold (MLS) $27,500 MARMLS
- 2024-08-20 Listed $28,000 MARMLS
- 2023-07-14 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-23 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-18 Listed $26,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…