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1 Oak Trl
F Composite 28.32
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$289,900

1 Oak Trl · Silver Springs Shores, FL 34472
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · Land · 42 Days on market
Built 2025 0.25 ac lot $193/sqft · 19% above area Est $243k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

VACANT LAND - Silver Springs Shores Unit 13, Ocala, Florida, Lot 01, for residential homes. Get in on this upcoming area.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.25 acre (paved road); Zoned R1; Unfurnished; Living area reported as 1,500 sq ft; total building area 1,936 sq ft

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (20 x 20)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Faces southeast
  • Construction: Block and concrete construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Tray ceilings; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-518 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (25.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (35.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (35.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Emerald Shores Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 666 students, 74% FRL); Lake Weir High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,483 students, 68% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Marion average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 674 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $290k implies a 954% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $187,980 (35.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
4.15%
Cash-on-cash
-7.66%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
12.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$243,282
List price
$289,900
Delta
19.16%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$44,347
Equity at exit
$181,009
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$147,249
Equity at exit
$327,190

Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34472

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
674
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,880 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax est. 1.5%
$362 /mo · $4,348/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$-518

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,536
Max offer price $214,888
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,475
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
106 Oak Cir Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,795 $1.24 14d 1 0.18mi
5 Olive Dr Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,800 $1.24 21d 1 0.22mi
21 Olive Cir Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1459 $1,800 $1.23 14d 1 0.34mi
226 Oak Cir Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1406 $1,675 $1.19 14d 1 0.57mi
2 Ash Dr Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1083 $1,750 $1.62 14d 1 0.81mi
8 Ash Pass Run Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1128 $1,650 $1.46 21d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,900 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,900 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $289,900 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,900 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $289,900 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,900 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,900 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,900 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,900 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,900 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,900 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,900 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $289,900 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-07
    listed $289,900 Active 1237-char remark
  17. 2024-10-18
    soldstatus $27,500 Closed 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    VACANT LAND - Silver Springs Shores Unit 13, Ocala, Florida, Lot 01, for residential homes. Get in on this upcoming area.

  18. 2024-08-20
    listed $28,000 Active 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    VACANT LAND - Silver Springs Shores Unit 13, Ocala, Florida, Lot 01, for residential homes. Get in on this upcoming area.

  19. 2023-07-14
    soldstatus $25,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (266 chars)

    Corner lot . 24 of an acre in the Oaks of Silver Springs Shores South, very near to 110th in Belleview. This is NOT in a flood zone and is a treed lot. This area is convenient to Belleview, Summerfield, Ocala and The Villages. Lots of new construction in this area.

  20. 2023-06-23
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (266 chars)

    Corner lot . 24 of an acre in the Oaks of Silver Springs Shores South, very near to 110th in Belleview. This is NOT in a flood zone and is a treed lot. This area is convenient to Belleview, Summerfield, Ocala and The Villages. Lots of new construction in this area.

  21. 2023-06-18
    listed $26,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (266 chars)

    Corner lot . 24 of an acre in the Oaks of Silver Springs Shores South, very near to 110th in Belleview. This is NOT in a flood zone and is a treed lot. This area is convenient to Belleview, Summerfield, Ocala and The Villages. Lots of new construction in this area.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,558
− Mortgage interest
−$16,239
− Property taxes
−$4,348
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,805
− Management
−$1,805
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable loss
−$11,522
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,765
After-tax cash flow
$-3,455/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs Shores

Score
68/100
State rank
#527
US rank
#9854

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Silver Springs Shores, FL
County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
34,665
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,851
Household income
$64,208
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.93%
Current HPI
255.0714
Rent YoY
▲ 0.17%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+977.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $289,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-18 Sold (MLS) $27,500 MARMLS
  • 2024-08-20 Listed $28,000 MARMLS
  • 2023-07-14 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-23 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-18 Listed $26,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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