945 East Ave NE · Bemidji, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Are you ready to find your new home? Look no further! This charming and cozy house offers everything you need for comfortable living. Spacious Yard: Enjoy a large yard perfect for outdoor activities, gardening, or simply relaxing in the sun. This expansive space is ideal for families, pets, or anyone who loves the outdoors. 3+ Bedrooms: With three or more bedrooms, there's plenty of room for family, guests, or even a home office. 2 Bathrooms: The house features two well-appointed bathrooms, providing convenience for busy mornings or relaxing evenings. Main Floor Laundry: Experience the convenience of a main floor laundry room, making chores a breeze. No more carrying laundry up and down sta
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Main floor laundry
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached/attached 2-car garage (24x24, 8' wide by 7' high doors); Guest parking available
- Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Electric fuel; Ottertail Power service
- Home design: Residential property with two levels; Main entry level is the main floor
- Construction: Asphalt roof (age 8 years or less); Construction: Other; Foundation: Other (foundation dimensions approx. 43x26); Basement: Unfinished crawl space with sump pump
- Exterior features: Deck (14x14); Cleared lot; No pool; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (two on main level, two on upper level); Bedroom sizes include 12x16, 12x12, 10x10, 10x10
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (includes full primary; main floor full bath)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Main floor primary bedroom; Main floor bedroom; Main floor laundry
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Main level laundry (6x7)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $491 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.3% in Bemidji — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#252 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Bemidji Public School District (rural): math 42% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #173 of 301 in MN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 165 units permitted in Beltrami County in 2024 (81 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.02%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,097
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -36.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $8,918
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $56,267
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56601
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,893 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$156 /mo · $1,867/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $491
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $576 | -5% $533 | +0% $491 | +5% $448 | +10% $406 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $341 | -5% $416 | +0% $491 | +5% $565 | +10% $640 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $566 | -0.5pp $529 | base $491 | +0.5pp $452 | +1.0pp $412 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $150,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-01$160,000 Active 957-char remark
-
2025-03-21price $159,000
-
2024-12-11$162,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,867 · $156/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,867 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,715
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,867
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,817
- − Management
- −$1,817
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $3,698
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$887
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,001/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bemidji Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2704440
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,735
- Composite
- 39.22/100
- National rank
- #4013
- State rank
- #173 of 301 in MN
Livability — Bemidji
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #5416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bemidji, MN
- County
- Beltrami County · 34,784 people
- City population
- 34,784
- Metro
- Bemidji, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,784
- Household income
- $72,262
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 940.0
Population outlook (Beltrami County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,437 people
- By 2030
- 46,736 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 46,804 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 46,299 · -0.3%
- By 2075
- 44,037 · -5.2%
- By 2100
- 38,567 · -16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Native American 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 19% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beltrami
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.3% · R 52.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.8pp toward R · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+3.1 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+9.9 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.95%
- Current HPI
- 261.5734
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.02%
- Metro
- Bemidji, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
-7.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $150,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $160,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $159,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-11 Listed $162,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,867 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…