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945 East Ave NE
B Composite 74.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

945 East Ave NE · Bemidji, MN 56601
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,134 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1925 0.86 ac lot $132/sqft · 38% below area Est $237k · 37% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Are you ready to find your new home? Look no further! This charming and cozy house offers everything you need for comfortable living. Spacious Yard: Enjoy a large yard perfect for outdoor activities, gardening, or simply relaxing in the sun. This expansive space is ideal for families, pets, or anyone who loves the outdoors. 3+ Bedrooms: With three or more bedrooms, there's plenty of room for family, guests, or even a home office. 2 Bathrooms: The house features two well-appointed bathrooms, providing convenience for busy mornings or relaxing evenings. Main Floor Laundry: Experience the convenience of a main floor laundry room, making chores a breeze. No more carrying laundry up and down sta

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Main floor laundry
  • New roof

Tags

SPACIOUS YARDMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRYNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached/attached 2-car garage (24x24, 8' wide by 7' high doors); Guest parking available
  • Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Electric fuel; Ottertail Power service
  • Home design: Residential property with two levels; Main entry level is the main floor
  • Construction: Asphalt roof (age 8 years or less); Construction: Other; Foundation: Other (foundation dimensions approx. 43x26); Basement: Unfinished crawl space with sump pump
  • Exterior features: Deck (14x14); Cleared lot; No pool; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (two on main level, two on upper level); Bedroom sizes include 12x16, 12x12, 10x10, 10x10
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (includes full primary; main floor full bath)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Main floor primary bedroom; Main floor bedroom; Main floor laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Main level laundry (6x7)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $491 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.3% in Bemidji — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#252 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
  • Bemidji Public School District (rural): math 42% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #173 of 301 in MN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 165 units permitted in Beltrami County in 2024 (81 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.22%
Cash-on-cash
14.02%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$237,097
List price
$150,000
Delta
-36.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.02% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$8,918
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$56,267
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56601

Home prices YoY
-26.4%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
346
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,893 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,867/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$398
Net cashflow
$491

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,272
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $576 -5% $533 +0% $491 +5% $448 +10% $406
Rent -10% $341 -5% $416 +0% $491 +5% $565 +10% $640
Rate -1.0pp $566 -0.5pp $529 base $491 +0.5pp $452 +1.0pp $412

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $150,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $160,000 Active 957-char remark
  18. 2025-03-21
    price $159,000
  19. 2024-12-11
    listed $162,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,867 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,867 · $156/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,715
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,867
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,817
− Management
−$1,817
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$3,698
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$887
After-tax cash flow
$5,001/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bemidji Public School District
NCES district ID
2704440
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$47,735
Composite
39.22/100
National rank
#4013
State rank
#173 of 301 in MN

Livability — Bemidji

Score
73/100
State rank
#252
US rank
#5416

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bemidji, MN
County
Beltrami County · 34,784 people
City population
34,784
Metro
Bemidji, MN
Population (ZIP)
34,784
Household income
$72,262
Rent vs Own
32.8% rent · 67.2% own
Severe rent burden
940.0

Population outlook (Beltrami County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,437 people
By 2030
46,736 · +0.6%
By 2040
46,804 · +0.8%
By 2050
46,299 · -0.3%
By 2075
44,037 · -5.2%
By 2100
38,567 · -16.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Native American 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 19% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Beltrami

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.3% · R 52.0% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.8pp toward R · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: -5.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.7 2020: R+3.1 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+9.9 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.95%
Current HPI
261.5734
Rent YoY
▲ 4.02%
Metro
Bemidji, MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $150,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $160,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-21 Price Changed $159,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-11 Listed $162,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,867 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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