1618 9th St · Levelland, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in Levelland featuring a detached 1-car garage and a functional floor plan. This cozy home offers comfortable living spaces, plenty of natural light, and the charm of small-town living. Perfect for individuals, couples, or small families seeking a place to call home.
Key facts
- 6,882 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1975
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water and sewer (implied by public maintained road and city street frontage)
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single story; Updated / Remodeled
- Construction: Built with other/unknown materials; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Synthetic roof
- Exterior features: Private yard; Porch; Fenced backyard; Paved road frontage; Publicly maintained road; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Free-standing range
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling; Ceiling fan(s); Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: Range / Free-standing range; Ceiling fan(s); Other heating and cooling features; Wood flooring; Updated / Remodeled condition
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area located in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($100/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $70k (14.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $70k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#274 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Levelland ISD (town): math 33% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #566 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Levelland Middle (math 32% / reading 31%, grade F, #997 of 1,662 statewide, top 61%, 622 students, 79% FRL); Levelland H S (math 67% / reading 55%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 745 students, 67% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Levelland ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7 units permitted in Hockley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hockley County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.43%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-12,761
- Equity at exit
- $12,226
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-10,438
- Equity at exit
- $7,090
Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79336
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $702 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$430
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $989/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$148
- Net cashflow
- $8
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $55 | -5% $32 | +0% $8 | +5% $-15 | +10% $-38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-47 | -5% $-19 | +0% $8 | +5% $36 | +10% $64 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $50 | -0.5pp $29 | base $8 | +0.5pp $-13 | +1.0pp $-35 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,500
- Closing costs
- $2,460
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 Avenue H Apt 308 Levelland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $650 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 710 9th St Levelland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $695 | $0.69 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1819 Avenue I Pl Unit 5 Levelland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $650 | $0.81 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 226 Hickory St Unit B Levelland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $945 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $82,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $82,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $82,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $82,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $82,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 299-char remark
-
2026-06-07$82,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $989 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,501 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$512/yr (+$43/mo · 51.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,429
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,593
- − Property taxes
- −$989
- − Insurance
- −$410
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$674
- − Management
- −$674
- − Depreciation
- −$2,385
- Taxable loss
- −$1,298
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$311
- After-tax cash flow
- $411/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Levelland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4827240
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,924
- Composite
- 28.09/100
- National rank
- #6833
- State rank
- #566 of 826 in TX
Livability — Levelland
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #6392
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Levelland, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,265
Population outlook (Hockley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,295 people
- By 2030
- 26,230 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 28,268 · +11.8%
- By 2050
- 30,536 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 36,867 · +45.7%
- By 2100
- 40,662 · +60.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (53%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% White 42% Two or more races 24% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 27%
Political lean MEDSL · Hockley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.3) · D 16.6% · R 82.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -52.3pp · 2024: -66.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.3 2020: R+62.4 2016: R+62.3 2012: R+57.0 2008: R+52.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -169.34%
- Current HPI
- 154.0713
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $82,000 LARMLS
- 2026-02-21 Rental Removed $700 APPFOLIO
- 2026-02-19 Listed for Rent $700 APPFOLIO
- 2026-02-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-02-02 Rental Removed $800 BUILDIUM
- 2025-01-16 Price Changed $800 BUILDIUM
- 2025-01-02 Listed for Rent $850 BUILDIUM
- 2024-12-25 Rental Removed $850 BUILDIUM
- 2024-12-05 Listed for Rent $850 BUILDIUM
- 2024-08-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-11-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-06-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $989 · +16.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…