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1618 9th St
D Composite 40.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$82,000

1618 9th St · Levelland, TX 79336
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 808 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1975 6,882 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in Levelland featuring a detached 1-car garage and a functional floor plan. This cozy home offers comfortable living spaces, plenty of natural light, and the charm of small-town living. Perfect for individuals, couples, or small families seeking a place to call home.

Key facts

  • 6,882 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1975

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water and sewer (implied by public maintained road and city street frontage)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Single story; Updated / Remodeled
  • Construction: Built with other/unknown materials; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Synthetic roof
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Porch; Fenced backyard; Paved road frontage; Publicly maintained road; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Free-standing range
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling; Ceiling fan(s); Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: Range / Free-standing range; Ceiling fan(s); Other heating and cooling features; Wood flooring; Updated / Remodeled condition
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area located in the kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($100/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $70k (14.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#274 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Levelland ISD (town): math 33% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #566 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Levelland Middle (math 32% / reading 31%, grade F, #997 of 1,662 statewide, top 61%, 622 students, 79% FRL); Levelland H S (math 67% / reading 55%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 745 students, 67% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Levelland ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7 units permitted in Hockley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hockley County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,239 (14.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.41%
Cash-on-cash
0.43%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-12,761
Equity at exit
$12,226
10-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-10,438
Equity at exit
$7,090

Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79336

Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$702 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$430
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $989/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$148
Net cashflow
$8

Break-even live

Break-even rent $692
Max offer price $82,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $55 -5% $32 +0% $8 +5% $-15 +10% $-38
Rent -10% $-47 -5% $-19 +0% $8 +5% $36 +10% $64
Rate -1.0pp $50 -0.5pp $29 base $8 +0.5pp $-13 +1.0pp $-35

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,500
Closing costs
$2,460
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
808 Avenue H Apt 308 Levelland, TX 1.0 1.0 570 $650 $1.14 44d 1 0.62mi
710 9th St Levelland, TX 2.0 1.0 1005 $695 $0.69 22d 1 0.73mi
1819 Avenue I Pl Unit 5 Levelland, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $650 $0.81 22d 1 0.81mi
226 Hickory St Unit B Levelland, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $945 $0.94 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $82,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $82,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $82,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $82,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $82,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $82,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $82,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $82,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $82,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $82,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 299-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $82,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$989 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,501 · $125/mo
Expected delta
+$512/yr (+$43/mo · 51.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,429
− Mortgage interest
−$4,593
− Property taxes
−$989
− Insurance
−$410
− Repairs & maintenance
−$674
− Management
−$674
− Depreciation
−$2,385
Taxable loss
−$1,298
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$311
After-tax cash flow
$411/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Levelland ISD
NCES district ID
4827240
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$47,924
Composite
28.09/100
National rank
#6833
State rank
#566 of 826 in TX

Livability — Levelland

Score
72/100
State rank
#274
US rank
#6392

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Levelland, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,265

Population outlook (Hockley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,295 people
By 2030
26,230 · +3.7%
By 2040
28,268 · +11.8%
By 2050
30,536 · +20.7%
By 2075
36,867 · +45.7%
By 2100
40,662 · +60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (53%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% White 42% Two or more races 24% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 27%

Political lean MEDSL · Hockley

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.3) · D 16.6% · R 82.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.0pp toward R · 2008: -52.3pp · 2024: -66.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.3 2020: R+62.4 2016: R+62.3 2012: R+57.0 2008: R+52.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -169.34%
Current HPI
154.0713
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $82,000 LARMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Rental Removed $700 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-02-19 Listed for Rent $700 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-02-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-02-02 Rental Removed $800 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-01-16 Price Changed $800 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-01-02 Listed for Rent $850 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-12-25 Rental Removed $850 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-12-05 Listed for Rent $850 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-08-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-11-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-06-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $989 · +16.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…