412 St Louis St · Raceland, LA 70394

$80,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Other public records · 89 Days on market

Built 1980 4,356 sqft lot ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a slab with a spacious open floorplan and fireplace. Move-in ready with covered parking--an excellent investment or low-maintenance primary residence with strong rental potential.

Key facts

• 4,356 sq ft lot
• Built 1980
• Listed 89 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $733 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 7.1% in Raceland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#295 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $75,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.97% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.28%
• Cash-on-cash: 39.25%
• DSCR: 2.75
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 35.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.50×
• Total profit: $33,695
• Equity at exit: $11,928

10-year hold

• IRR: 42.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.99×
• Total profit: $89,416
• Equity at exit: $6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 70394

• Active inventory: 128
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,575 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax from tax record: −$59 /mo · $705/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$331
• Net cashflow: $733

Break-even live

Break-even rent $648

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $778	-5% $755	+0% $733	+5% $710	+10% $687
Rent	-10% $608	-5% $670	+0% $733	+5% $795	+10% $857
Rate	-1.0pp $773	-0.5pp $753	base $733	+0.5pp $712	+1.0pp $691

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-05-07
   status Pending 217-char remark

   Show marketing remark (222 chars)

   Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a slab with a spacious open floorplan and fireplace. Move-in ready with covered parking—an excellent investment or low-maintenance primary residence with strong rental potential.

2. 2026-05-07
   status Pending 222-char remark

   Show marketing remark (222 chars)

   Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a slab with a spacious open floorplan and fireplace. Move-in ready with covered parking—an excellent investment or low-maintenance primary residence with strong rental potential.

3. 2026-04-13
   status Active 217-char remark

   Show marketing remark (222 chars)

   Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a slab with a spacious open floorplan and fireplace. Move-in ready with covered parking—an excellent investment or low-maintenance primary residence with strong rental potential.

4. 2026-04-13
   status Active 222-char remark

   Show marketing remark (222 chars)

   Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a slab with a spacious open floorplan and fireplace. Move-in ready with covered parking—an excellent investment or low-maintenance primary residence with strong rental potential.

5. 2026-04-06
   status Pending 217-char remark

   Show marketing remark (222 chars)

   Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a slab with a spacious open floorplan and fireplace. Move-in ready with covered parking—an excellent investment or low-maintenance primary residence with strong rental potential.

6. 2026-04-06
   status Pending 222-char remark

   Show marketing remark (222 chars)

   Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a slab with a spacious open floorplan and fireplace. Move-in ready with covered parking—an excellent investment or low-maintenance primary residence with strong rental potential.

7. 2026-01-31
   listed $80,000 Active 222-char remark

   Show marketing remark (217 chars)

   Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a slab with a spacious open floorplan and fireplace. Move-in ready with covered parking--an excellent investment or low-maintenance primary residence with strong rental potential.

8. 2026-01-31
   listed $80,000 Active 217-char remark

   Show marketing remark (217 chars)

   Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a slab with a spacious open floorplan and fireplace. Move-in ready with covered parking--an excellent investment or low-maintenance primary residence with strong rental potential.

9. 2019-02-05
   soldstatus
10. 2018-08-30
    listed $57,500
11. 2018-08-30
    listed $57,500
12. 2011-11-21
    listed $84,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $705 · $59/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $705 · $59/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 47% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,899
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$705
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,512
• − Management: −$1,512
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $7,962
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,911
• After-tax cash flow: $6,880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lafourche Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200900
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -43.00%
• Reading proficiency: 49% ▼ -32.00%
• Median HH income: $49,703
• Composite: 34.4/100
• National rank: #5205
• State rank: #22 of 98 in LA

Livability — Raceland

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #295
• US rank: #20904

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Raceland, LA
• Population (ZIP): 13,683

Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 102,122 people
• By 2030: 103,361 · +1.2%
• By 2040: 104,401 · +2.2%
• By 2050: 102,795 · +0.7%
• By 2075: 95,599 · -6.4%
• By 2100: 82,303 · -19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 73% Black 21% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 23% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -81.48%
• Current HPI: 136.5498
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

-4.8% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-07 Pending — AcadianaMLS
• 2026-05-07 Pending — GBRMLS
• 2026-04-13 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
• 2026-04-13 Relisted — GBRMLS
• 2026-04-06 Pending — AcadianaMLS
• 2026-04-06 Pending — GBRMLS
• 2026-01-31 Listed $80,000 GBRMLS
• 2026-01-31 Listed $80,000 AcadianaMLS
• 2019-02-05 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
• 2018-08-30 Listed $57,500 AcadianaMLS
• 2018-08-30 Listed $57,500 GBRMLS
• 2011-11-21 Listed $84,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $705 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.