2022 Morgan Way · North Mankato, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss your opportunity to own this 3 bedroom 2 bath home with over 1500 sq ft. The primary bedroom features an ensuite with lots of storage and walk in closet. One level living at its finest with an eat in Kitchen/Dining combo with center island and lots of natural light. Schools and parks within walking distance and Hwy 14 is close enough to make any commute an ease. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Built 2019
- Listed 111 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.3% in North Mankato — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#71 in MN, #1,734 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Mankato Public School District (urban): math 48% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #98 of 301 in MN (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 109 units permitted in Nicollet County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.56%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $263,812
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- -37.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $6,504
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $48,398
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56003
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,005 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,546/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $522
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2306 Pleasant View Dr Unit 2306 North Mankato, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2140 Rolling Green Trl Unit 2140 North Mankato, MN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2079 | $2,150 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2140 Rolling Green Trl Unit 2134 North Mankato, MN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1652 | $1,950 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2140 Rolling Green Trl Unit 2141 North Mankato, MN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,850 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2106 Linden Trl North Mankato, MN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1826 | $1,970 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $164,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $164,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $164,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $164,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $164,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-05-02price $164,900 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this 3 bedroom 2 bath home with over 1500 sq ft. The primary bedroom features an ensuite with lots of storage and walk in closet. One level living at its finest with an eat in Kitchen/Dining combo with center island and lots of natural light. Schools and parks within walking distance and Hwy 14 is close enough to make any commute an ease. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-21price $173,000 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this 3 bedroom 2 bath home with over 1500 sq ft. The primary bedroom features an ensuite with lots of storage and walk in closet. One level living at its finest with an eat in Kitchen/Dining combo with center island and lots of natural light. Schools and parks within walking distance and Hwy 14 is close enough to make any commute an ease. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-28$180,500 Active 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this 3 bedroom 2 bath home with over 1500 sq ft. The primary bedroom features an ensuite with lots of storage and walk in closet. One level living at its finest with an eat in Kitchen/Dining combo with center island and lots of natural light. Schools and parks within walking distance and Hwy 14 is close enough to make any commute an ease. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-26historical $180,500 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this 3 bedroom 2 bath home with over 1500 sq ft. The primary bedroom features an ensuite with lots of storage and walk in closet. One level living at its finest with an eat in Kitchen/Dining combo with center island and lots of natural light. Schools and parks within walking distance and Hwy 14 is close enough to make any commute an ease. Schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,546 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,696 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$150/yr (+$13/mo · 9.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$1,546
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,925
- − Management
- −$1,925
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $3,809
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$914
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,349/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is in good condition with modern updates and a well-maintained exterior. It's ready for immediate move-in and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint on the exterior trim.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mankato Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2718780
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,469
- Composite
- 44.36/100
- National rank
- #2819
- State rank
- #98 of 301 in MN
Livability — North Mankato
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #1734
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Mankato, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,319
Population outlook (Nicollet County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,373 people
- By 2030
- 34,666 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 34,616 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 34,340 · -0.1%
- By 2075
- 33,171 · -3.5%
- By 2100
- 31,949 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Italian 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nicollet
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.8% · R 49.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.0pp toward R · 2008: 10.5pp · 2024: -0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.5 2020: D+3.2 2016: R+3.1 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+10.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.37%
- Current HPI
- 165.5673
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
-8.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $164,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $173,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-28 Listed $180,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Coming Soon $180,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,546 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…