1945 Coco Plum St NE · Palm Bay, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.2/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Entered for Comp Purposes only. Fixer upper.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Updated kitchen
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (cats and dogs allowed with number limit); Located in a senior community
- HOA & community: Palm Bay Colony association (voluntary $45 fee); Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, tennis courts, pickleball, and shuffleboard; Association fee includes grounds maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport (1 space); Other parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Faces west
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Metal roof; Built as manufactured home
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Glass-enclosed porch; Side porch; Back yard fencing; Chain link fence; Fenced yard; No private pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Primary bathroom with shower (no tub)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Palm Bay Elementary School (math 35% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,697 of 2,144 statewide, top 80%, 586 students, 74% FRL); Stone Magnet Middle School (math 33% / reading 35%, grade F, #426 of 571 statewide, top 75%, 670 students, 69% FRL); Palm Bay Magnet Senior High School (math 25% / reading 37%, grade F, #429 of 667 statewide, top 65%, 1,486 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 43% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $129k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.94%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $6,764
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $29,105
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32905
- Home prices YoY
- -1.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 321
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,626 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $533/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $510
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $583 | -5% $546 | +0% $510 | +5% $473 | +10% $437 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $382 | -5% $446 | +0% $510 | +5% $574 | +10% $638 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $575 | -0.5pp $543 | base $510 | +0.5pp $477 | +1.0pp $443 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2399 Coconut Palm Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,795 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2361 Commerce Park Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1106 | $1,902 | $1.72 | 15d | 47 | 0.21mi |
| 2331 Commerce Park Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1094 | $1,736 | $1.59 | 15d | 33 | 0.30mi |
| 2522 Amberly Rd NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,300 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2155 Robert J Conlan Blvd NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1093 | $1,740 | $1.59 | 15d | 20 | 0.44mi |
| 1700 Woodlake Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,500 | $1.71 | 24d | 12 | 0.78mi |
| 2643B Kingswood Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 20d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1630 Bottlebrush Dr Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,495 | $2.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4001 Pinewood Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1036 | $1,269 | $1.22 | 24d | 5 | 1.02mi |
| 1880 Mogra Cir NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,382 | $1.27 | 15d | 6 | 1.07mi |
| 3016 Pinewood Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,103 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4315 S Babcock St Melbourne, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $1,738 | $1.74 | 14d | 15 | 1.22mi |
| 1635 Monterey Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 581 | $1,276 | $2.20 | 15d | 22 | 1.32mi |
| 3008 Hanson Ave Melbourne, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,125 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3595 Misty Oak Dr Melbourne, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 747 | $1,550 | $2.07 | 14d | 6 | 1.41mi |
| 248 E University Blvd Melbourne, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,449 | $2.01 | 15d | 5 | 1.47mi |
| 2700 Carlson Cir Melbourne, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 879 | $1,242 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3151 S Babcock St Melbourne, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $1,595 | $1.98 | 15d | 10 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 38 events
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2026-05-31statusdays on market $129,000 Pending 92 DOM
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2026-05-22price $129,000
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2026-04-29status Active
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2026-04-19status Pending
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2026-04-17price $139,000
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2026-02-17$149,000 Active
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2025-12-09soldstatus $55,000
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2025-12-08soldstatus $55,000 44-char remark
Show marketing remark (44 chars)
Entered for Comp Purposes only. Fixer upper.
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2025-12-08$55,000 44-char remark
Show marketing remark (44 chars)
Entered for Comp Purposes only. Fixer upper.
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2023-04-24soldstatus $160,000 Closed 1-char remark
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2023-04-24soldstatus $160,000
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2023-02-13historical Backups 1-char remark
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2023-02-04status Active 1-char remark
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2023-02-02historical Backups 1-char remark
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2023-01-14status Pending 1-char remark
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2023-01-07price $163,000 1-char remark
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2022-12-18price $167,900 1-char remark
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2022-11-29price $170,000 1-char remark
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2022-11-20$173,000 Active 1-char remark
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2021-07-27soldstatus $112,500 Closed
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2021-06-11historical Contingent
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2021-06-10status Active
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2021-05-16historical Contingent
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2021-05-07$115,000 Active
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2016-08-16historical
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2016-08-16historical
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2016-08-16historical
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2016-08-16historical
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2009-08-26soldstatus $18,500
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2009-06-15$28,500
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2007-10-08$59,000
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2007-02-27soldstatus $54,000
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2007-01-02$58,800
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2006-09-01$63,800
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2006-03-09$68,800
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1994-01-03soldstatus $41,000
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1992-04-01soldstatus $38,000
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1983-12-01soldstatus $45,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $533 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,071 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$538/yr (+$45/mo · 100.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,514
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$533
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,561
- − Management
- −$1,561
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $4,235
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,016
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,103/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Bay
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #366
- US rank
- #6458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Bay, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- City population
- 132,211
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,792
- Household income
- $56,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1962.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.59%
- Current HPI
- 309.8748
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.52%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+182.9% since first listed37 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $129,000 SCMLS
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — SCMLS
- 2026-04-19 Pending — SCMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $139,000 SCMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $149,000 SCMLS
- 2025-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2025-12-08 Listed $55,000 SCMLS
- 2025-12-08 Sold (MLS) $55,000 SCMLS
- 2023-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-24 Sold (MLS) $160,000 SCMLS
- 2023-02-13 Contingent — SCMLS
- 2023-02-04 Relisted — SCMLS
- 2023-02-02 Contingent — SCMLS
- 2023-01-14 Pending — SCMLS
- 2023-01-07 Price Changed $163,000 SCMLS
- 2022-12-18 Price Changed $167,900 SCMLS
- 2022-11-29 Price Changed $170,000 SCMLS
- 2022-11-20 Listed $173,000 SCMLS
- 2021-07-27 Sold (MLS) $112,500 SCMLS
- 2021-06-11 Contingent — SCMLS
- 2021-06-10 Relisted — SCMLS
- 2021-05-16 Contingent — SCMLS
- 2021-05-07 Listed $115,000 SCMLS
- 2016-08-16 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2016-08-16 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2016-08-16 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2016-08-16 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2009-08-26 Sold (MLS) $18,500 SCMLS
- 2009-06-15 Listed $28,500 SCMLS
- 2007-10-08 Listed $59,000 SCMLS
- 2007-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 2007-01-02 Listed $58,800 SCMLS
- 2006-09-01 Listed $63,800 SCMLS
- 2006-03-09 Listed $68,800 SCMLS
- 1994-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 1992-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1983-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,600 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $533 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…