408 Amerine Rd · Maryville, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, traditional ranch on gret level corner lot. Rear of home features covered deck with fenced in backyard. Property also has large storage shed.
Key facts
- Corner lot
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 1920
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property; Approximately 1,050 building area (per tax records)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction
- Exterior features: Vinyl windows; Storage structure on the property; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (included as a room)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (2 total bathrooms)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling
- Interior features: Masonry fireplace; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (1.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.7% in Maryville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#38 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, health & safety F.
- Maryville (suburban): math 58% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 139 in TN (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 937 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blount County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $185k implies a 311% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.15%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $252,000
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 Amerine Rd | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,050 (0%) | 0mo | $178,500 | $170 | 98 |
| 513 Amerine Rd | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,098 (+5%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $223 | 77 |
| 125 Andrea Dr | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (-1%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $240 | 75 |
| 1101 Fielding Dr | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (-7%) | 9mo | $269,000 | $274 | 63 |
| 124 Well St | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+14%) | 12mo | $241,000 | $201 | 57 |
| 1115 Fielding Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,196 (+14%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $259 | 56 |
| 409 Merritt Rd | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,112 (+6%) | 20mo | $332,000 | $299 | 52 |
| 902 Grandview Dr | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 | 1,196 (+14%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $213 | 46 |
| 2407 Tuckaleechee Pike | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,191 (+13%) | 14mo | $315,000 | $264 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-8,816
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $32,392
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37804
- Home prices YoY
- -15.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,820 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $266
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $370 | -5% $318 | +0% $266 | +5% $213 | +10% $161 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $122 | -5% $194 | +0% $266 | +5% $337 | +10% $409 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $359 | -0.5pp $313 | base $266 | +0.5pp $218 | +1.0pp $169 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913 Naomi Dr Unit Naomi- 918 Maryville, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1075 | $1,398 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 131 Eleanor Davis Dr Maryville, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $1,650 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1613 Sevierville Rd Maryville, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2612 Old Whites Mill Rd Maryville, TN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1220 | $2,850 | $2.34 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-01status $185,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$185,000 Active
-
2015-02-06historical 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
2 Bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, traditional ranch on gret level corner lot. Rear of home features covered deck with fenced in backyard. Property also has large storage shed.
-
2015-02-02soldstatus $45,000 Closed 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
2 Bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, traditional ranch on gret level corner lot. Rear of home features covered deck with fenced in backyard. Property also has large storage shed.
-
2014-10-29$49,900 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
2 Bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, traditional ranch on gret level corner lot. Rear of home features covered deck with fenced in backyard. Property also has large storage shed.
-
2014-07-31$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,502 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,502 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,842
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,502
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,747
- − Management
- −$1,747
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $175
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$42
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,144/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maryville
- NCES district ID
- 4702700
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,318
- Composite
- 48.42/100
- National rank
- #2134
- State rank
- #5 of 139 in TN
Livability — Maryville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #6533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maryville, TN
- County
- Blount County · 112,418 people
- City population
- 89,294
- Metro
- Knoxville, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,382
- Household income
- $79,025
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 466.0
Population outlook (Blount County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,873 people
- By 2030
- 139,460 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 144,767 · +6.5%
- By 2050
- 147,393 · +8.5%
- By 2075
- 151,597 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 147,393 · +8.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blount
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.7) · D 25.5% · R 73.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.4pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -47.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.7 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+45.7 2008: R+39.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.46%
- Current HPI
- 343.4773
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.29%
- Metro
- Knoxville, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+208.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $185,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2015-02-06 Listing Removed — Knoxville MLS
- 2015-02-02 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2014-10-29 Listed $49,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2014-07-31 Listed $59,900 Knoxville MLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,502 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…