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408 Amerine Rd
C+ Composite 62.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

408 Amerine Rd · Maryville, TN 37804
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1920 0.34 ac lot Est $252k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 Bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, traditional ranch on gret level corner lot. Rear of home features covered deck with fenced in backyard. Property also has large storage shed.

Key facts

  • Corner lot
  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Built 1920

Tags

CORNER LOT7 ACRES OF CITY GREEN SPACEFULLY FENCED BACKYARDONSITE STORAGE BUILDINGWALKABLE OUTDOOR AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached property; Approximately 1,050 building area (per tax records)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Vinyl windows; Storage structure on the property; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (included as a room)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (2 total bathrooms)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling
  • Interior features: Masonry fireplace; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (1.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.7% in Maryville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#38 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Maryville (suburban): math 58% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 139 in TN (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 937 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Blount County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $185k implies a 311% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,015 (1.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.15%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$252,000
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
408 Amerine Rd 0.00mi 2/1.5 1,050 (0%) 0mo $178,500 $170 98
513 Amerine Rd 0.14mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,098 (+5%) 2mo $245,000 $223 77
125 Andrea Dr 0.31mi 2/1.0 1,040 (-1%) 6mo $250,000 $240 75
1101 Fielding Dr 0.32mi 2/1.0 980 (-7%) 9mo $269,000 $274 63
124 Well St 0.19mi 2/2.0 1,200 (+14%) 12mo $241,000 $201 57
1115 Fielding Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,196 (+14%) 3mo $310,000 $259 56
409 Merritt Rd 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,112 (+6%) 20mo $332,000 $299 52
902 Grandview Dr 0.59mi 2/1.5 1,196 (+14%) 2mo $255,000 $213 46
2407 Tuckaleechee Pike 0.64mi 2/1.0 1,191 (+13%) 14mo $315,000 $264 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-8,816
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$32,392
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37804

Home prices YoY
-15.4%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,820 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,484
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $370 -5% $318 +0% $266 +5% $213 +10% $161
Rent -10% $122 -5% $194 +0% $266 +5% $337 +10% $409
Rate -1.0pp $359 -0.5pp $313 base $266 +0.5pp $218 +1.0pp $169

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
913 Naomi Dr Unit Naomi- 918 Maryville, TN 2.0 1.5 1075 $1,398 $1.30 24d 1 0.48mi
131 Eleanor Davis Dr Maryville, TN 2.0 1.0 1004 $1,650 $1.64 3d 1 0.92mi
1613 Sevierville Rd Maryville, TN 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,300 $1.53 24d 1 1.26mi
2612 Old Whites Mill Rd Maryville, TN 3.0 1.5 1220 $2,850 $2.34 3d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $185,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-05-28
    listed $185,000 Active
  5. 2015-02-06
    historical 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    2 Bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, traditional ranch on gret level corner lot. Rear of home features covered deck with fenced in backyard. Property also has large storage shed.

  6. 2015-02-02
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    2 Bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, traditional ranch on gret level corner lot. Rear of home features covered deck with fenced in backyard. Property also has large storage shed.

  7. 2014-10-29
    listed $49,900 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    2 Bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, traditional ranch on gret level corner lot. Rear of home features covered deck with fenced in backyard. Property also has large storage shed.

  8. 2014-07-31
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,502 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,502 · $125/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,842
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$1,502
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,747
− Management
−$1,747
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$175
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$42
After-tax cash flow
$3,144/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Maryville
NCES district ID
4702700
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$52,318
Composite
48.42/100
National rank
#2134
State rank
#5 of 139 in TN

Livability — Maryville

Score
71/100
State rank
#38
US rank
#6533

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Maryville, TN
County
Blount County · 112,418 people
City population
89,294
Metro
Knoxville, TN
Population (ZIP)
27,382
Household income
$79,025
Rent vs Own
24.1% rent · 75.9% own
Severe rent burden
466.0

Population outlook (Blount County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,873 people
By 2030
139,460 · +2.6%
By 2040
144,767 · +6.5%
By 2050
147,393 · +8.5%
By 2075
151,597 · +11.6%
By 2100
147,393 · +8.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blount

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.7) · D 25.5% · R 73.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -47.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.7 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+45.7 2008: R+39.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.46%
Current HPI
343.4773
Rent YoY
▲ 5.29%
Metro
Knoxville, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+208.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $185,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2015-02-06 Listing Removed Knoxville MLS
  • 2015-02-02 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2014-10-29 Listed $49,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2014-07-31 Listed $59,900 Knoxville MLS

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,502 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…