206 M.l.k. Jr · Booneville, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable 3-bedroom home in the A-plus Booneville School District. Open living area, solid interior ready for light updates and personalization, and a fenced backyard — perfect for pets and entertaining. Short walk to the public park and close to schools and local amenities—an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or downsizers. With a little TLC and minor updates, this would make a wonderful home. Priced to sell — schedule your private tour today!
Key facts
- Local amenities
- Fenced backyard
- Public park
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#117 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Booneville School District (town): math 49% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #24 of 130 in MS (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 11 units permitted in Prentiss County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prentiss County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.00%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $111
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $18,762
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38829
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $693/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $228
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $279 | -5% $254 | +0% $228 | +5% $203 | +10% $178 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $149 | -5% $189 | +0% $228 | +5% $268 | +10% $307 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $273 | -0.5pp $251 | base $228 | +0.5pp $205 | +1.0pp $182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Elm St Unit 1 Booneville, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-01remarks 471-char remark
-
2026-06-01$89,000 Pending 117 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $693 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $703 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$10/yr (+$1/mo · 1.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$693
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $1,368
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$328
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,413/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Booneville School District
- NCES district ID
- 2800820
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,722
- Composite
- 38.79/100
- National rank
- #4120
- State rank
- #24 of 130 in MS
Livability — Booneville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #13203
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Booneville, MS
- City population
- 18,036
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,036
Population outlook (Prentiss County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,348 people
- By 2030
- 25,247 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 24,786 · -2.2%
- By 2050
- 23,851 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 20,434 · -19.4%
- By 2100
- 15,359 · -39.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 10% Two or more races 3% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Vietnamese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Prentiss
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.0) · D 16.6% · R 82.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: -42.8pp · 2024: -66.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.0 2020: R+58.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+42.4 2008: R+42.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.50%
- Current HPI
- 108.2429
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-7.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — NEMSBD
- 2025-11-22 Price Changed $89,000 NEMSBD
- 2025-10-09 Listed $96,000 NEMSBD
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $693 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…