112 Masten Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent opportunity for a first home or investment property in Masten Park District, just a stone's throw away from the medical corridor. Cozy and private side porch great for entertaining. You must see this completely renovated space. Rear addition, bonus room and second floor 1/2 bath not included on tax record. Very spacious. New metal roof, new windows throughout, new flooring, new furnace, and new hot water tank all installed in 2020. This is one of Buffalo's hottest and up and coming neighborhoods. You will be glad that you got your hands on this home. You can't go wrong!
Key facts
- 3,125 sq ft lot
- Built 1890
- Listed 28 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot roughly 25 x 125 feet; Rectangular lot near public transit
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No driveway
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; PEX plumbing; Existing (previously built)
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Covered porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Appliances negotiable
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms; Additional bedrooms located on first and second floors (total 5 labeled bedrooms)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; At least one main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air
- Interior features: Den; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Pantry; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,983/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $102k; list at $160k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.90%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,807
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -14.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 198 Mulberry St | 0.46mi | 4/1.0 | 1,222 (-2%) | 6mo | $79,500 | $65 | 71 |
| 200 Locust St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,217 (-2%) | 12mo | $95,000 | $78 | 61 |
| 162 Rose St | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 | 1,336 (+7%) | 11mo | $201,000 | $150 | 58 |
| 513 High St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,270 (+2%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $75 | 56 |
| 71 Chester St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,300 (+4%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $192 | 54 |
| 1319 Michigan Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,301 (+4%) | 22mo | $155,000 | $119 | 54 |
| 119 Purdy St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,269 (+2%) | 18mo | $150,000 | $118 | 51 |
| 86 Verplanck St | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 | 1,258 (+1%) | 22mo | $115,000 | $91 | 50 |
| 218 Locust St St | 0.38mi | 4/1.0 | 1,100 (-12%) | 18mo | $53,000 | $48 | 47 |
| 164 Locust St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,320 (+6%) | 21mo | $238,000 | $180 | 43 |
| 46 Mulberry St | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,100 (-12%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $70 | 40 |
| 59 Landon St | 0.53mi | 4/1.0 | 1,424 (+14%) | 15mo | $76,500 | $54 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.86% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $60,422
- Equity at exit
- $61,883
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.26×
- Total profit
- $190,525
- Equity at exit
- $88,211
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14209
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Rents YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,983 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $373/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $631
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $721 | -5% $676 | +0% $631 | +5% $585 | +10% $540 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $474 | -5% $552 | +0% $631 | +5% $709 | +10% $787 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $711 | -0.5pp $671 | base $631 | +0.5pp $589 | +1.0pp $547 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1152 Main St Apt 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 88 W Utica St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $2,150 | $2.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 88 W Utica St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $2,150 | $2.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 76 Chester St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 44 N Pearl St #5 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 17 N Pearl St Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $3,100 | $2.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 104 Butler Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 118 Ashland Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1326 | $1,850 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 31 Norwood Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 12d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 21 College St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1496 | $3,226 | $2.16 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 102 Florida St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 238 Oxford Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 217 W Tupper St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 685 Auburn Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 408 Winslow Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 161 16th St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 190 Whitney Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,550 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 478 Breckenridge St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,575 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $159,900 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$159,900 Active 1179-char remark
-
2026-05-04historical
-
2026-03-18price $179,900
-
2026-02-16price $184,900
-
2026-01-13price $189,900
-
2025-12-04$200,000 Active
-
2021-05-27soldstatus $102,000 Closed Sale or Rented
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Excellent opportunity for a first home or investment property in Masten Park District, just a stone's throw away from the medical corridor. Cozy and private side porch great for entertaining. You must see this completely renovated space. Rear addition, bonus room and second floor 1/2 bath not included on tax record. Very spacious. New metal roof, new windows throughout, new flooring, new furnace, and new hot water tank all installed in 2020. This is one of Buffalo's hottest and up and coming neighborhoods. You will be glad that you got your hands on this home. You can't go wrong!
-
2021-05-27soldstatus $102,000
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Excellent opportunity for a first home or investment property in Masten Park District, just a stone's throw away from the medical corridor. Cozy and private side porch great for entertaining. You must see this completely renovated space. Rear addition, bonus room and second floor 1/2 bath not included on tax record. Very spacious. New metal roof, new windows throughout, new flooring, new furnace, and new hot water tank all installed in 2020. This is one of Buffalo's hottest and up and coming neighborhoods. You will be glad that you got your hands on this home. You can't go wrong!
-
2021-03-05status Under Contract- Do Not Show
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Excellent opportunity for a first home or investment property in Masten Park District, just a stone's throw away from the medical corridor. Cozy and private side porch great for entertaining. You must see this completely renovated space. Rear addition, bonus room and second floor 1/2 bath not included on tax record. Very spacious. New metal roof, new windows throughout, new flooring, new furnace, and new hot water tank all installed in 2020. This is one of Buffalo's hottest and up and coming neighborhoods. You will be glad that you got your hands on this home. You can't go wrong!
-
2020-12-08status Active
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Excellent opportunity for a first home or investment property in Masten Park District, just a stone's throw away from the medical corridor. Cozy and private side porch great for entertaining. You must see this completely renovated space. Rear addition, bonus room and second floor 1/2 bath not included on tax record. Very spacious. New metal roof, new windows throughout, new flooring, new furnace, and new hot water tank all installed in 2020. This is one of Buffalo's hottest and up and coming neighborhoods. You will be glad that you got your hands on this home. You can't go wrong!
-
2020-11-17historical
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Excellent opportunity for a first home or investment property in Masten Park District, just a stone's throw away from the medical corridor. Cozy and private side porch great for entertaining. You must see this completely renovated space. Rear addition, bonus room and second floor 1/2 bath not included on tax record. Very spacious. New metal roof, new windows throughout, new flooring, new furnace, and new hot water tank all installed in 2020. This is one of Buffalo's hottest and up and coming neighborhoods. You will be glad that you got your hands on this home. You can't go wrong!
-
2020-11-02$109,900 Active
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Excellent opportunity for a first home or investment property in Masten Park District, just a stone's throw away from the medical corridor. Cozy and private side porch great for entertaining. You must see this completely renovated space. Rear addition, bonus room and second floor 1/2 bath not included on tax record. Very spacious. New metal roof, new windows throughout, new flooring, new furnace, and new hot water tank all installed in 2020. This is one of Buffalo's hottest and up and coming neighborhoods. You will be glad that you got your hands on this home. You can't go wrong!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $373 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,538 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,165/yr (+$97/mo · 312.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,801
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$373
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,904
- − Management
- −$1,904
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $5,211
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,251
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,317/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,313
- Household income
- $50,046
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 959.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.86%
- Current HPI
- 443.9414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.53%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+45.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $159,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $179,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $184,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $189,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-12-04 Listed $200,000 WNYREIS
- 2021-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-27 Sold (MLS) $102,000 WNYREIS
- 2021-03-05 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2020-12-08 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2020-11-17 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2020-11-02 Listed $109,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+15.4%/yrLatest (2025): $373 · +108.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…