CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
406 S 2nd St
B Composite 73.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$59,000

406 S 2nd St · Coolidge, TX 76635
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,282 sqft · SingleFamily · 153 Days on market
Built 1985 Poor condition 0.70 ac lot $26/sqft · 94% below area ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming property located in the heart of Coolidge with convenient access to TX-7, I-35, and nearby towns including Marlin, Mexia, and Waco. Situated on a quiet street, this home offers small-town living with proximity to local schools, dining, and community amenities. Ideal for buyers seeking an affordable residence or investment opportunity in Central Texas, with easy commuting routes and minimal traffic.

Key facts

  • 0.7 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1985

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#904 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Coolidge ISD (rural): math 55% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #407 of 1,141 in TX (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Limestone County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
14.43%
Cash-on-cash
29.08%
DSCR
2.29
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$954,279
List price
$59,000
Delta
-93.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
403 Jester 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,152 (-6%) 10mo $45,000 $21 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.0%
Equity multiple
2.97×
Total profit
$32,619
Equity at exit
$26,529
10-year hold
IRR
35.1%
Equity multiple
5.87×
Total profit
$80,419
Equity at exit
$40,884

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76635

Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,023 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax est. 1.5%
$74 /mo · $885/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$400

Break-even live

Break-even rent $516
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 153 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 152 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 151 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 150 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 148 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,000 Active 147 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 144 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 143 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 142 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,000 Active 140 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 138 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 137 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 136 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 135 DOM
  15. 2026-02-06
    price $59,000 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Charming property located in the heart of Coolidge with convenient access to TX-7, I-35, and nearby towns including Marlin, Mexia, and Waco. Situated on a quiet street, this home offers small-town living with proximity to local schools, dining, and community amenities. Ideal for buyers seeking an affordable residence or investment opportunity in Central Texas, with easy commuting routes and minimal traffic.

  16. 2026-01-16
    price $69,400 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Charming property located in the heart of Coolidge with convenient access to TX-7, I-35, and nearby towns including Marlin, Mexia, and Waco. Situated on a quiet street, this home offers small-town living with proximity to local schools, dining, and community amenities. Ideal for buyers seeking an affordable residence or investment opportunity in Central Texas, with easy commuting routes and minimal traffic.

  17. 2026-01-16
    listed $65,000 Active 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Charming property located in the heart of Coolidge with convenient access to TX-7, I-35, and nearby towns including Marlin, Mexia, and Waco. Situated on a quiet street, this home offers small-town living with proximity to local schools, dining, and community amenities. Ideal for buyers seeking an affordable residence or investment opportunity in Central Texas, with easy commuting routes and minimal traffic.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,274
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$885
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$982
− Management
−$982
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$4,109
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$986
After-tax cash flow
$3,818/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, siding, and landscaping. Immediate action is needed to stabilize the property and improve its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Exposed rafters and missing shingles
  • Major exterior siding — Severe peeling and damage
  • Major exterior paint — Peeling and poor condition
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown and debris scattered
  • Major fencing — In disrepair

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New roof — Critical to safety and appearance
  • Both New siding and paint — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping and debris removal — Enhances curb appeal and safety
  • Both Repair fencing — Improves safety and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Exposed rafters and missing shingles Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Severe peeling and damage Major $15,000–50,000
exterior paint · Peeling and poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · Overgrown and debris scattered Major $15,000–50,000
fencing · In disrepair Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New roof — Critical to safety and appearance
  • Both New siding and paint — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping and debris removal — Enhances curb appeal and safety
  • Both Repair fencing — Improves safety and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coolidge ISD
NCES district ID
4815120
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,923
Composite
43.48/100
National rank
#6464
State rank
#407 of 1141 in TX

Livability — Coolidge

Score
62/100
State rank
#904
US rank
#16198

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coolidge, TX
Population (ZIP)
1,382

Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,396 people
By 2030
23,214 · -0.8%
By 2040
22,829 · -2.4%
By 2050
22,516 · -3.8%
By 2075
22,088 · -5.6%
By 2100
20,354 · -13.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 21% Black 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 30%

Political lean MEDSL · Limestone

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.9) · D 21.2% · R 78.1%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -56.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.9 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+52.3 2012: R+40.7 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $59,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $69,400 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $65,000 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…