1247 Apple Blossom Ln · Sidney, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.1/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$43,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 1247 Apple Blossom Lane, Sidney -- a spacious and well-maintained home offering affordable living in a convenient location. This inviting home features a desirable split-bedroom floor plan, providing added privacy with the primary bedroom and full bath located just off the kitchen area. The roomy eat-in kitchen offers plenty of space for dining and entertaining and features new vinyl flooring. Washer and dryer hookups are conveniently located in the laundry closet. Recent updates include newer carpeting in the bedrooms and living room, new ceiling fans throughout, fresh interior paint in most rooms, a new roof in 2025, and a new water heater in 2025 -- giving buyers peace of mind
Key facts
- New ceiling fans
- Newer carpeting
- Fresh interior paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Country Meadows Homes subdivision
- HOA & community: Association maintains snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Manufactured house; Residential (mobile home); Built in 1996
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Leased lot; Supplied water
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $44k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($979 rent vs $44k).
- Recommended offer: $43k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 4.0% in Sidney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#220 in OH, #3,412 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
- Sidney City (town): math 46% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #454 of 656 in OH (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 337 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shelby County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.85%
- DSCR
- 3.04
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $37,696
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1112 Hazel Nut | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-1%) | 4mo | $44,000 | $37 | 89 |
| 1141 Cinnamon Ridge Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 23mo | $37,800 | $31 | 76 |
| 1090 Apple Blossom | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+5%) | 22mo | $40,000 | $31 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.86×
- Total profit
- $22,813
- Equity at exit
- $6,546
- IRR
- 49.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.75×
- Total profit
- $58,441
- Equity at exit
- $3,796
Cash invested: $12,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45365
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $979 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$230
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$55 /mo · $658/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $470
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $500 | -5% $485 | +0% $470 | +5% $454 | +10% $439 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $392 | -5% $431 | +0% $470 | +5% $508 | +10% $547 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $492 | -0.5pp $481 | base $470 | +0.5pp $458 | +1.0pp $447 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,975
- Closing costs
- $1,317
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 776 Country Side Ln Sidney, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1001 | $994 | $0.99 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 612 N Wagner Ave Sidney, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 20d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 600 N Wagner Ave Sidney, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $975 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 560 N Wagner Ave Sidney, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $975 | $1.34 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 552 Stonecastle Ct Sidney, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $900 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 552 Stonecastle Ct Unit B1 Sidney, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 836 | $900 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 522 Stonecastle Ct Sidney, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $900 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 121 W Poplar St Sidney, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,125 | $1.84 | 3d | 3 | 1.12mi |
| 751 Campbell Rd Sidney, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,100 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $43,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $43,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $43,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $43,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $43,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $43,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $43,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $43,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $43,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $43,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $43,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $43,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $43,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $43,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $43,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-20$43,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,742
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,459
- − Property taxes
- −$658
- − Insurance
- −$220
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$939
- − Management
- −$939
- − Depreciation
- −$1,277
- Taxable income
- $5,249
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,260
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,376/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This well-maintained mobile home is in good condition with recent updates, making it a solid investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and home value
- Rental Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and home value ↑
- Rental Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sidney City
- NCES district ID
- 3910003
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,974
- Composite
- 41.55/100
- National rank
- #3443
- State rank
- #454 of 656 in OH
Livability — Sidney
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #3412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sidney, OH
- County
- Shelby · 44,840 people
- City population
- 28,955
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,955
- Household income
- $66,044
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5.7
Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,264 people
- By 2030
- 45,935 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 42,786 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 38,981 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 30,225 · -36.1%
- By 2100
- 21,273 · -55.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shelby
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.8) · D 17.2% · R 82.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -36.4pp · 2024: -64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.8 2020: R+63.2 2016: R+60.6 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+36.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.62%
- Current HPI
- 264.4532
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $43,900 WRIST
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…