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1247 Apple Blossom Ln
C+ Composite 64.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$43,900

1247 Apple Blossom Ln · Sidney, OH 45365
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 27 Days on market
Built 1996 Good condition Est $38k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1247 Apple Blossom Lane, Sidney -- a spacious and well-maintained home offering affordable living in a convenient location. This inviting home features a desirable split-bedroom floor plan, providing added privacy with the primary bedroom and full bath located just off the kitchen area. The roomy eat-in kitchen offers plenty of space for dining and entertaining and features new vinyl flooring. Washer and dryer hookups are conveniently located in the laundry closet. Recent updates include newer carpeting in the bedrooms and living room, new ceiling fans throughout, fresh interior paint in most rooms, a new roof in 2025, and a new water heater in 2025 -- giving buyers peace of mind

Key facts

  • New ceiling fans
  • Newer carpeting
  • Fresh interior paint

Tags

SPLIT-BEDROOM FLOOR PLANNEW VINYL FLOORINGNEWER CARPETINGNEW CEILING FANSFRESH INTERIOR PAINTNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Country Meadows Homes subdivision
  • HOA & community: Association maintains snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Manufactured house; Residential (mobile home); Built in 1996
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Leased lot; Supplied water

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $44k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($979 rent vs $44k).
  • Recommended offer: $43k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 4.0% in Sidney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#220 in OH, #3,412 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
  • Sidney City (town): math 46% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #454 of 656 in OH (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 337 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shelby County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $43,241 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.23%
Cap rate
19.13%
Cash-on-cash
45.85%
DSCR
3.04
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$37,696
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1112 Hazel Nut 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-1%) 4mo $44,000 $37 89
1141 Cinnamon Ridge Ln 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 23mo $37,800 $31 76
1090 Apple Blossom 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,280 (+5%) 22mo $40,000 $31 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.1%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$22,813
Equity at exit
$6,546
10-year hold
IRR
49.1%
Equity multiple
5.75×
Total profit
$58,441
Equity at exit
$3,796

Cash invested: $12,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45365

Home prices YoY
-20.1%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$979 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$230
Tax est. 1.5%
$55 /mo · $658/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$470

Break-even live

Break-even rent $384
Max offer price $43,900
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $500 -5% $485 +0% $470 +5% $454 +10% $439
Rent -10% $392 -5% $431 +0% $470 +5% $508 +10% $547
Rate -1.0pp $492 -0.5pp $481 base $470 +0.5pp $458 +1.0pp $447

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,975
Closing costs
$1,317
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
776 Country Side Ln Sidney, OH 3.0 1.0 1001 $994 $0.99 3d 1 0.14mi
612 N Wagner Ave Sidney, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $975 $1.39 20d 1 0.45mi
600 N Wagner Ave Sidney, OH 2.0 1.0 729 $975 $1.34 15d 1 0.46mi
560 N Wagner Ave Sidney, OH 2.0 1.0 729 $975 $1.34 3d 1 0.49mi
552 Stonecastle Ct Sidney, OH 2.0 1.0 836 $900 $1.08 44d 1 0.73mi
552 Stonecastle Ct Unit B1 Sidney, OH 2.0 1.5 836 $900 $1.08 44d 1 0.73mi
522 Stonecastle Ct Sidney, OH 2.0 1.0 836 $900 $1.08 44d 1 0.73mi
121 W Poplar St Sidney, OH 2.0 1.0 612 $1,125 $1.84 3d 3 1.12mi
751 Campbell Rd Sidney, OH 2.0 1.0 980 $1,100 $1.12 3d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $43,900 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $43,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $43,900 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $43,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $43,900 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $43,900 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $43,900 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $43,900 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $43,900 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $43,900 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $43,900 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $43,900 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $43,900 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $43,900 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $43,900 Active 8 DOM
  16. 2026-05-20
    listed $43,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,742
− Mortgage interest
−$2,459
− Property taxes
−$658
− Insurance
−$220
− Repairs & maintenance
−$939
− Management
−$939
− Depreciation
−$1,277
Taxable income
$5,249
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,260
After-tax cash flow
$4,376/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained mobile home is in good condition with recent updates, making it a solid investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and home value
  • Rental Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and home value
  • Rental Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sidney City
NCES district ID
3910003
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,974
Composite
41.55/100
National rank
#3443
State rank
#454 of 656 in OH

Livability — Sidney

Score
76/100
State rank
#220
US rank
#3412

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sidney, OH
County
Shelby · 44,840 people
City population
28,955
Population (ZIP)
28,955
Household income
$66,044
Rent vs Own
31.8% rent · 68.2% own
Severe rent burden
5.7

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,264 people
By 2030
45,935 · -2.8%
By 2040
42,786 · -9.5%
By 2050
38,981 · -17.5%
By 2075
30,225 · -36.1%
By 2100
21,273 · -55.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.8) · D 17.2% · R 82.0%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: -36.4pp · 2024: -64.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.8 2020: R+63.2 2016: R+60.6 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+36.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.62%
Current HPI
264.4532
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $43,900 WRIST

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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