1202 E 35th St · Odessa, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 1953 single-family home, located at 1202 E 35th St, features several valuable updates. Inside, you will find hardwood flooring and a converted garage that provides a large, flexible bonus room, ideal for a second living area or home office. The 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home sits on a spacious 7,200 sq. ft. lot, offering a generous backyard.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Converted garage
- Flexible bonus room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D, schools F.
- Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.74%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $107,980
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- 25.02%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $8,875
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $39,739
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79762
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,718 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $786/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $527
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1202 E 42nd St Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1409 E 23rd St Odessa, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $2,400 | $2.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4312 N Dixie Blvd Unit 72C Odessa, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,450 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3727 Andrews Hwy Odessa, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 13d | 18 | 0.99mi |
| 1909 N Hancock Ave Odessa, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,600 | $2.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3800 N Golder Ave Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1219 Milburn Ave Unit K2YBUILDING K Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,500 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1804 Cord St Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,700 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1220 Adams Ave Unit 3 Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,450 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1220 Adams Ave Unit 4 Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1063 | $1,750 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1215 Milburn Ave Unit J2VBUILDING J Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,450 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1215 Milburn Ave Unit J1TBUILDING J Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,500 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1613 E 52nd St Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $2,200 | $1.96 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1115 Milburn Ave Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,800 | $2.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1115 Milburn Ave Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,800 | $2.01 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1501 N Texas Ave Unit A Odessa, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1015 Milburn Ave Unit A1DBuilding A Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,500 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1015 Milburn Ave Unit A2CBUILDING A Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,450 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1012 Adams Ave Unit C1BBUILDING C Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,800 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1012 Adams Ave Unit C2BBUILDING C Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,750 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3843 Penbrook St Odessa, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,584 | $1.79 | 21d | 17 | 1.49mi |
| 3843 Penbrook St Odessa, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,584 | $1.79 | 13d | 24 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 207 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 206 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $135,000 Active 205 DOM
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2025-11-06$135,000 Active 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
This 1953 single-family home, located at 1202 E 35th St, features several valuable updates. Inside, you will find hardwood flooring and a converted garage that provides a large, flexible bonus room, ideal for a second living area or home office. The 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home sits on a spacious 7,200 sq. ft. lot, offering a generous backyard.
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2025-02-11soldstatus
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2018-04-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $786 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,470 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,684/yr (+$140/mo · 214.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,612
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$786
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,649
- − Management
- −$1,649
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $4,363
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,047
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,279/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ector County ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818000
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,740
- Composite
- 21.89/100
- National rank
- #8233
- State rank
- #707 of 826 in TX
Livability — Odessa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #132
- US rank
- #3928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Odessa, TX
- County
- Ector County · 131,169 people
- City population
- 131,169
- Metro
- Odessa, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,927
- Household income
- $75,272
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1477.0
Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,765 people
- By 2030
- 241,962 · +13.7%
- By 2040
- 306,582 · +44.1%
- By 2050
- 379,755 · +78.5%
- By 2075
- 568,991 · +167.4%
- By 2100
- 709,829 · +233.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 38% Two or more races 22% Black 6% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 30%
Political lean MEDSL · Ector
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.97%
- Current HPI
- 229.6022
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.36%
- Metro
- Odessa, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-06 Listed $135,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2025-02-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-04-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $786 · +15.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…