3074 Gledhill St · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Prime opportunity for investors or rehabbers. Great potential as a flip, rental, or portfolio addition. Priced to move - this deal won't last long! Schedule your showing today before it's gone!
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 120 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $33k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($969 rent vs $33k).
- Recommended offer: $30k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.5% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $227 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $987 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 72.30%
- DSCR
- 4.22
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $43,769
- List price
- $32,900
- Delta
- -24.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1513 Dexter Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+2%) | 14mo | $73,120 | $81 | 64 |
| 330 Hortman Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 919 (+4%) | 14mo | $65,982 | $72 | 63 |
| 1545 Wellworth Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 806 (-9%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $74 | 62 |
| 1426 Bailey Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 988 (+12%) | 11mo | $85,000 | $86 | 61 |
| 730 Grayson Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 852 (-4%) | 3mo | $44,000 | $52 | 56 |
| 742 Grayson Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-5%) | 3mo | $22,500 | $27 | 53 |
| 344 Blossom Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+6%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $144 | 53 |
| 703 Edwards Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 932 (+5%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $113 | 51 |
| 1211 Radio Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+13%) | 12mo | $88,000 | $88 | 50 |
| 1179 Burton Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 999 (+13%) | 12mo | $65,100 | $65 | 48 |
| 853 Grayson Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 984 (+11%) | 4mo | $38,000 | $39 | 39 |
| 1731 Eveline Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+15%) | 13mo | $62,000 | $61 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 73.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.43×
- Total profit
- $31,617
- Equity at exit
- $4,905
- IRR
- 78.0%
- Equity multiple
- 9.67×
- Total profit
- $79,830
- Equity at exit
- $2,845
Cash invested: $9,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31204
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $969 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$173
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $292/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $555
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,225
- Closing costs
- $987
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3034 Churchill St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $900 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1020 Radio Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $889 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1596 Burton Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $895 | $0.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 424 Pansy Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $850 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 668 Grosso Ave Unit A Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1076 Carlisle Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,065 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1206 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,060 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1208 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1782 Eveline Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2585 Napier Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 644 | $850 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3307 Guthrie Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $900 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3346 Shaw Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $895 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1835 Bethlea Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2445 Lowe St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $890 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2763 Vineville Ave Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2349 Mason St Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $625 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2755 Vineville Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,375 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3645 Mercer University Dr Macon, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $850 | $0.97 | 43d | 4 | 1.28mi |
| 3016 Ridge Ave Unit A Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 185 Oak Haven Ave Apt A4 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3495 Charleston Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $875 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3495 Charleston Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $799 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2350 English Ave Apt 3D Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,095 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1249 Duncan Ave Unit C Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1249 Duncan Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1208 Fourth Ave W Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $825 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 260 Ryals Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $875 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 132 Oak Haven Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $975 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1655 N Atwood Dr Unit 5 Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-05-30days on market $32,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-03-16price $32,900 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Prime opportunity for investors or rehabbers. Great potential as a flip, rental, or portfolio addition. Priced to move — this deal won’t last long! Schedule your showing today before it’s gone!
-
2026-03-16price $32,900 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Prime opportunity for investors or rehabbers. Great potential as a flip, rental, or portfolio addition. Priced to move — this deal won’t last long! Schedule your showing today before it’s gone!
-
2026-02-18price $34,900 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Prime opportunity for investors or rehabbers. Great potential as a flip, rental, or portfolio addition. Priced to move — this deal won’t last long! Schedule your showing today before it’s gone!
-
2026-02-18price $34,900 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Prime opportunity for investors or rehabbers. Great potential as a flip, rental, or portfolio addition. Priced to move — this deal won’t last long! Schedule your showing today before it’s gone!
-
2026-01-30$37,900 Active 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Prime opportunity for investors or rehabbers. Great potential as a flip, rental, or portfolio addition. Priced to move — this deal won’t last long! Schedule your showing today before it’s gone!
-
2026-01-29$37,900 New 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Prime opportunity for investors or rehabbers. Great potential as a flip, rental, or portfolio addition. Priced to move - this deal won't last long! Schedule your showing today before it's gone!
-
2026-01-29historical $1,000
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Prime opportunity for investors or rehabbers. Great potential as a flip, rental, or portfolio addition. Priced to move - this deal won't last long! Schedule your showing today before it's gone!
-
2026-01-19historical
-
2026-01-19historical
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2026-01-10$1,000
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2026-01-10historical $1,000
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2025-12-18price $43,000
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2025-12-18price $43,000
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2025-12-08price $46,000
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2025-12-08price $46,000
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2025-11-21price $50,000
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2025-11-21price $50,000
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2025-11-01$1,000
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2025-11-01historical $1,000
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2025-10-31price $53,000
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2025-10-31price $53,000
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2025-10-15price $59,000
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2025-09-19$62,000 Active
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2025-09-18$62,000 New
-
2025-05-01historical $1,000
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2025-05-01$1,000
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2023-11-17$1,000
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2022-03-10soldstatus $2,529,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $292 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $303 · $25/mo
- Expected delta
- +$11/yr (+$1/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,629
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,843
- − Property taxes
- −$292
- − Insurance
- −$164
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$930
- − Management
- −$930
- − Depreciation
- −$957
- Taxable income
- $6,512
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,563
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,097/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,421
- Household income
- $38,784
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2674.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.44%
- Current HPI
- 194.5459
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-98.7% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $32,900 GAMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $32,900 FMLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $34,900 GAMLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $34,900 FMLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $37,900 FMLS
- 2026-01-29 Listed $37,900 GAMLS
- 2026-01-29 Rental Removed $1,000 RentEngineListings
- 2026-01-19 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-01-10 Listed for Rent $1,000 RentEngineListings
- 2026-01-10 Rental Removed $1,000 BUILDIUM
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $43,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $43,000 FMLS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $46,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $46,000 FMLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $50,000 FMLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $50,000 GAMLS
- 2025-11-01 Listed for Rent $1,000 BUILDIUM
- 2025-11-01 Rental Removed $1,000 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $53,000 FMLS
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $53,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-15 Price Changed $59,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-19 Listed $62,000 FMLS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $62,000 GAMLS
- 2025-05-01 Rental Removed $1,000 BUILDIUM
- 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $1,000 TENANTTURNER2
- 2023-11-17 Listed for Rent $1,000 BUILDIUM
- 2022-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $2,529,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $292 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…