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319 S Avenue A
D+ Composite 49.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

319 S Avenue A · Canton, IL 61520
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1920 $118/sqft · 135% above area Est $84k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This lovely 2 story home is charming with lots of possibilities. Open front porch. Main level has a front entry with an open staircase leading the upper level. Front living room. Informal dining room that could have multiple uses. Three bedrooms on the upper level with a full bathroom. Main level has a closet with a toilet. Quaint back yard. There is a one car detached garage on the south side of the home, and a two-car detached garage with extra storage that you can enter from Maple Street. Lot size is irregular. Hardwood flooring on main level in the entry way, living room and dining room. Kitchen appliances, washer, dryer can stay but not warranted.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 5 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Westview Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 398 students, 0% FRL); Ingersoll Middle School (math 18% / reading 24%, grade F, #405 of 665 statewide, top 61%, 645 students, 0% FRL); Canton High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 641 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $53k; list at $99k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.62%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$84,318
List price
$99,000
Delta
17.41%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
30 E Maple St 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (-1%) 11mo $30,000 $36 79
605 S Main St 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (-1%) 12mo $69,000 $83 71
148 Robinson Ct 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 880 (+5%) 3mo $42,000 $48 69
234 Fulton Pl 0.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 824 (-2%) 20mo $41,500 $50 66
232 Fulton Pl 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-9%) 15mo $50,000 $65 60
622 W Walnut St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 812 (-3%) 0mo $15,000 $18 59
908 S 2nd Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 790 (-6%) 12mo $31,000 $39 56
62 N 5th Ave 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 798 (-5%) 6mo $67,000 $84 55
920 S 4th Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 872 (+4%) 11mo $45,000 $52 50
320 N 5th Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 809 (-4%) 10mo $52,500 $65 46
225 E Hickory St 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 718 (-14%) 12mo $69,900 $97 44
559 E Pine St 0.57mi 3/1.0 740 (-12%) 15mo $46,500 $63 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-3,302
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$13,690
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61520

Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,262/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$199

Break-even live

Break-even rent $948
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $255 -5% $227 +0% $199 +5% $171 +10% $143
Rent -10% $104 -5% $152 +0% $199 +5% $247 +10% $294
Rate -1.0pp $249 -0.5pp $224 base $199 +0.5pp $173 +1.0pp $147

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
437 N 8th Ave Canton, IL 2.0 1.0 690 $1,200 $1.74 15d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This lovely 2 story home is charming with lots of possibilities. Open front porch. Main level has a front entry with an open staircase leading the upper level. Front living room. Informal dining room that could have multiple uses. Three bedrooms on the upper level with a full bathroom. Main level has a closet with a toilet. Quaint back yard. There is a one car detached garage on the south side of the home, and a two-car detached garage with extra storage that you can enter from Maple Street. Lot size is irregular. Hardwood flooring on main level in the entry way, living room and dining room. Kitchen appliances, washer, dryer can stay but not warranted.

  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $99,000 Active 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This lovely 2 story home is charming with lots of possibilities. Open front porch. Main level has a front entry with an open staircase leading the upper level. Front living room. Informal dining room that could have multiple uses. Three bedrooms on the upper level with a full bathroom. Main level has a closet with a toilet. Quaint back yard. There is a one car detached garage on the south side of the home, and a two-car detached garage with extra storage that you can enter from Maple Street. Lot size is irregular. Hardwood flooring on main level in the entry way, living room and dining room. Kitchen appliances, washer, dryer can stay but not warranted.

  3. 2026-03-21
    historical $99,000 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This lovely 2 story home is charming with lots of possibilities. Open front porch. Main level has a front entry with an open staircase leading the upper level. Front living room. Informal dining room that could have multiple uses. Three bedrooms on the upper level with a full bathroom. Main level has a closet with a toilet. Quaint back yard. There is a one car detached garage on the south side of the home, and a two-car detached garage with extra storage that you can enter from Maple Street. Lot size is irregular. Hardwood flooring on main level in the entry way, living room and dining room. Kitchen appliances, washer, dryer can stay but not warranted.

  4. 2017-09-22
    soldstatus $53,000 596-char remark
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    Charming home with lots of possibilities. Main level has kitchen, dining room, living room, family room. Open staircase leads to three bedrooms and a full bathroom. The family room on the main level has a water closet, could possibly be a fourth bedrooms. Some replacement windows. The lot size is irregular. One car detached garage on Avenue A side of home, and a two car detached garage w/extra storage on the Maple street side of home. Back yard has some fencing and its like your own country flower garden to enjoy. Taxes reflect no exemptions. Accessed value from court house is $85,230.

  5. 2017-07-28
    listed $59,900 596-char remark
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    Charming home with lots of possibilities. Main level has kitchen, dining room, living room, family room. Open staircase leads to three bedrooms and a full bathroom. The family room on the main level has a water closet, could possibly be a fourth bedrooms. Some replacement windows. The lot size is irregular. One car detached garage on Avenue A side of home, and a two car detached garage w/extra storage on the Maple street side of home. Back yard has some fencing and its like your own country flower garden to enjoy. Taxes reflect no exemptions. Accessed value from court house is $85,230.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,262 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,262 · $188/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,400
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$2,262
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$914
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$219
After-tax cash flow
$2,170/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton Union SD 66
NCES district ID
1708280
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,657
Composite
18.03/100
National rank
#8980
State rank
#417 of 620 in IL

Livability — Canton

Score
72/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#6313

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canton, IL
Population (ZIP)
16,098

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,356 people
By 2030
32,144 · -3.6%
By 2040
29,518 · -11.5%
By 2050
26,775 · -19.7%
By 2075
19,972 · -40.1%
By 2100
13,580 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.00%
Current HPI
123.8086
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+65.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $99,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-21 Coming Soon $99,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-09-22 Sold (MLS) $53,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-28 Listed $59,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,262 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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