18254 State Route 3023 · Dimock, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 1.62-acre property is a great opportunity for those looking for land with potential. The lot includes two older trailers, both in need of repair. The larger trailer has 2 units and is undergoing construction. The smaller trailer is currently occupied with tenants paying $800/ month, no lease. Located in a quiet, rural area, this lot is perfect for someone looking for a project or to start fresh on a large piece of land with plenty of possibilities. Ideal for investors or those seeking affordable land for future development.
Key facts
- Large piece of land
- 1.62 acre property
- Quiet rural area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 7-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (0.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Elk Lake SD (rural): math 30% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #345 of 539 in PA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
- Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.06%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $34,851
- Equity at exit
- $71,790
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $100,616
- Equity at exit
- $120,167
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18446
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,343 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-03-14$135,000 Active 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
This 1.62-acre property is a great opportunity for those looking for land with potential. The lot includes two older trailers, both in need of repair. The larger trailer has 2 units and is undergoing construction. The smaller trailer is currently occupied with tenants paying $800/ month, no lease. Located in a quiet, rural area, this lot is perfect for someone looking for a project or to start fresh on a large piece of land with plenty of possibilities. Ideal for investors or those seeking affordable land for future development.
-
2026-03-14$135,000 Active 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
This 1.62-acre property is a great opportunity for those looking for land with potential. The lot includes two older trailers, both in need of repair. The larger trailer has 2 units and is undergoing construction. The smaller trailer is currently occupied with tenants paying $800/ month, no lease. Located in a quiet, rural area, this lot is perfect for someone looking for a project or to start fresh on a large piece of land with plenty of possibilities. Ideal for investors or those seeking affordable land for future development.
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2025-09-05status Active
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2025-04-11status Active
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2024-10-09$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,114
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,289
- − Management
- −$1,289
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$654
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$157
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,691/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This property requires extensive renovation and repairs, including a new exterior siding, kitchen and bathroom renovations, and interior wall painting. The current condition is poor, and the property is in need of significant work to become move-in ready.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — severely dated and worn
- Major kitchen countertops — severely worn and outdated
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Major exterior siding — rusty and deteriorating
- Major interior walls — bare and in need of paint
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior siding replacement — enhances curb appeal and value
- Both kitchen renovation — modernizes space and increases value
- Both bathroom renovation — modernizes space and increases value
- Both interior wall painting — enhances interior and increases value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · severely dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen countertops · severely worn and outdated | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · rusty and deteriorating | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · bare and in need of paint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both exterior siding replacement — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both kitchen renovation — modernizes space and increases value ↑
- Both bathroom renovation — modernizes space and increases value ↑
- Both interior wall painting — enhances interior and increases value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elk Lake SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209150
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,260
- Composite
- 34.85/100
- National rank
- #5093
- State rank
- #345 of 539 in PA
Livability — Dimock
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,208
Population outlook (Susquehanna County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,552 people
- By 2030
- 35,270 · -6.1%
- By 2040
- 30,663 · -18.3%
- By 2050
- 26,492 · -29.5%
- By 2075
- 19,658 · -47.7%
- By 2100
- 15,179 · -59.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Susquehanna
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.7) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -44.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.7 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Current HPI
- 153.1295
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+8.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Listed $135,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-03-14 Listed $135,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-09-05 Relisted — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-04-11 Relisted — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-10-09 Listed $125,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…