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18254 State Route 3023
C- Composite 53.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$135,000

18254 State Route 3023 · Dimock, PA 18446
7 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,680 sqft · Manufactured · 85 Days on market
Built 2000 Poor condition 1.62 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 1.62-acre property is a great opportunity for those looking for land with potential. The lot includes two older trailers, both in need of repair. The larger trailer has 2 units and is undergoing construction. The smaller trailer is currently occupied with tenants paying $800/ month, no lease. Located in a quiet, rural area, this lot is perfect for someone looking for a project or to start fresh on a large piece of land with plenty of possibilities. Ideal for investors or those seeking affordable land for future development.

Key facts

  • Large piece of land
  • 1.62 acre property
  • Quiet rural area

Tags

1.62 ACRE PROPERTYQUIET RURAL AREALARGE PIECE OF LAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 7-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (0.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Elk Lake SD (rural): math 30% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #345 of 539 in PA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
  • Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $126,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.06%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$34,851
Equity at exit
$71,790
10-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
3.66×
Total profit
$100,616
Equity at exit
$120,167

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18446

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,343 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$128

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 76 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-03-14
    listed $135,000 Active 534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    This 1.62-acre property is a great opportunity for those looking for land with potential. The lot includes two older trailers, both in need of repair. The larger trailer has 2 units and is undergoing construction. The smaller trailer is currently occupied with tenants paying $800/ month, no lease. Located in a quiet, rural area, this lot is perfect for someone looking for a project or to start fresh on a large piece of land with plenty of possibilities. Ideal for investors or those seeking affordable land for future development.

  16. 2026-03-14
    listed $135,000 Active 534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    This 1.62-acre property is a great opportunity for those looking for land with potential. The lot includes two older trailers, both in need of repair. The larger trailer has 2 units and is undergoing construction. The smaller trailer is currently occupied with tenants paying $800/ month, no lease. Located in a quiet, rural area, this lot is perfect for someone looking for a project or to start fresh on a large piece of land with plenty of possibilities. Ideal for investors or those seeking affordable land for future development.

  17. 2025-09-05
    status Active
  18. 2025-04-11
    status Active
  19. 2024-10-09
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,114
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,289
− Management
−$1,289
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$654
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$157
After-tax cash flow
$1,691/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive renovation and repairs, including a new exterior siding, kitchen and bathroom renovations, and interior wall painting. The current condition is poor, and the property is in need of significant work to become move-in ready.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — severely dated and worn
  • Major kitchen countertops — severely worn and outdated
  • Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
  • Major exterior siding — rusty and deteriorating
  • Major interior walls — bare and in need of paint

Value-add opportunities

  • Both exterior siding replacement — enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both kitchen renovation — modernizes space and increases value
  • Both bathroom renovation — modernizes space and increases value
  • Both interior wall painting — enhances interior and increases value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · severely dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen countertops · severely worn and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · rusty and deteriorating Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · bare and in need of paint Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both exterior siding replacement — enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both kitchen renovation — modernizes space and increases value
  • Both bathroom renovation — modernizes space and increases value
  • Both interior wall painting — enhances interior and increases value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elk Lake SD
NCES district ID
4209150
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$50,260
Composite
34.85/100
National rank
#5093
State rank
#345 of 539 in PA

Livability — Dimock

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,208

Population outlook (Susquehanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,552 people
By 2030
35,270 · -6.1%
By 2040
30,663 · -18.3%
By 2050
26,492 · -29.5%
By 2075
19,658 · -47.7%
By 2100
15,179 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 15% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Susquehanna

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.7) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -44.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.7 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.42%
Current HPI
153.1295
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $135,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $135,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-09-05 Relisted GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-04-11 Relisted GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-10-09 Listed $125,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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