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938 Autumn St
B+ Composite 75.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

938 Autumn St · Jackson, MS 39212
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,330 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 185 Days on market
Built 1965 0.27 ac lot $49/sqft · 18% below area Est $79k · 18% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment Opportunity! This property offers strong potential for renovation or rental portfolio expansion. Call your Realtor today! Property is sold as-is with all faults. Seller has never been an owner-occupant; therefore, Seller's information is limited. Seller has never been an owner-occupant; therefore, Seller's information is limited. Seller will not assume responsibility for any required repairs to the home to qualify for financing. Seller Addendum is required and must be delivered along with the Purchase Offer, disclosures, and proof of funds/pre-approval. See MLS docs. Utilities are inactive, and the home is winterized. Property is being sold in Receivership and requires approval from the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York prior to closing. Seller will not make or pay for any repairs required for financing. Utilities are inactive, and the home is winterized. Property is being sold in Receivership and requires approval from the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York prior to closing. Seller will not make or pay for any repairs required for financing. Utilities are inactive, and the home is winterized. Seller Addendum (see documents) must be executed and submitted with all offers, along with all required disclosures and proof of funds.

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1965

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($702/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
15.26%
Cash-on-cash
32.03%
DSCR
2.43
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,104
List price
$64,900
Delta
-17.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
983 Branch St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,252 (-6%) 4mo $60,000 $48 80
1026 Branch St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,236 (-7%) 3mo $55,000 $44 78
1423 Woody Dr 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,404 (+6%) 2mo $24,900 $18 77
1416 Wooddell Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,357 (+2%) 4mo $35,000 $26 74
1907 Bienville Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,308 (-2%) 4mo $69,000 $53 73
3144 Fleetwood Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,204 (-10%) 1mo $59,900 $50 69
3114 Suncrest Dr 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,432 (+8%) 3mo $64,900 $45 68
1340 Woody Dr 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,208 (-9%) 1mo $59,900 $50 68
1928 Teakwood Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,299 (-2%) 3mo $68,000 $52 68
1636 Smallwood St 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,432 (+8%) 1mo $17,000 $12 61
1010 Deryll St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,143 (-14%) 3mo $49,900 $44 57
920 Woody Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,468 (+10%) 2mo $59,000 $40 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-4,908
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$8,396
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39212

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,251 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,630/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,177
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3308 Ramona St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,150 $1.04 21d 1 0.31mi
1219 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,150 $1.09 23d 1 0.32mi
2915 Longwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,400 $0.78 23d 1 0.34mi
3049 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1200 $975 $0.81 43d 1 0.37mi
2808 Ridgeland Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1606 $1,600 $1.00 43d 1 0.38mi
1010 Deryll St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1143 $1,050 $0.92 13d 1 0.38mi
1018 Deryll St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1056 $900 $0.85 23d 1 0.39mi
3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,150 $0.72 23d 1 0.42mi
2904 Marwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1554 $1,250 $0.80 23d 1 0.43mi
1054 Deryll St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1132 $1,050 $0.93 13d 1 0.43mi
3341 Suncrest Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 1.0 1292 $1,225 $0.95 43d 1 0.49mi
3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1421 $1,100 $0.77 43d 1 0.55mi
3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1280 $1,236 $0.97 43d 1 0.55mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 13d 1 0.57mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 0.57mi
3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1474 $1,306 $0.89 13d 1 0.68mi
427 McDowell Park Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1308 $1,200 $0.92 13d 1 0.73mi
1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1300 $950 $0.73 43d 1 0.81mi
2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.84mi
2732 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1566 $1,050 $0.67 23d 1 0.97mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 23d 1 1.03mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 13d 1 1.03mi
2729 Carleton St Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1666 $1,575 $0.95 13d 1 1.03mi
2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1509 $1,075 $0.71 13d 1 1.03mi
2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1509 $1,075 $0.71 23d 1 1.03mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1343 $1,000 $0.74 13d 1 1.06mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1343 $1,000 $0.74 43d 1 1.06mi
3147 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,306 $0.71 43d 1 1.07mi
3152 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 13d 1 1.10mi
3511 Sykes Park Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1225 $1,426 $1.16 13d 1 1.16mi
103 Sykes Park Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 43d 1 1.18mi
2786 Brookwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1003 $1,100 $1.10 43d 1 1.27mi
422 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1049 $1,426 $1.36 23d 1 1.31mi
1533 Raymond Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 1135 $1,010 $0.89 43d 1 1.35mi
360 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1624 $1,575 $0.97 13d 1 1.37mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 13d 1 1.42mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 23d 1 1.42mi
5136 Lurline Dr Unit Ma Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1134 $1,100 $0.97 13d 1 1.43mi
2858 Fairhill Dr Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 900 $825 $0.92 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 185 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 184 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 183 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 182 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,900 Active 180 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 179 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $64,900 Active 177 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 176 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 175 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 174 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $64,900 Active 171 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,900 Active 170 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 169 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 168 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 167 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,900 Active 166 DOM
  17. 2026-03-04
    price $64,900 1333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1333 chars)

    Investment Opportunity! This property offers strong potential for renovation or rental portfolio expansion. Call your Realtor today! Property is sold as-is with all faults. Seller has never been an owner-occupant; therefore, Seller's information is limited. Seller has never been an owner-occupant; therefore, Seller's information is limited. Seller will not assume responsibility for any required repairs to the home to qualify for financing. Seller Addendum is required and must be delivered along with the Purchase Offer, disclosures, and proof of funds/pre-approval. See MLS docs. Utilities are inactive, and the home is winterized. Property is being sold in Receivership and requires approval from the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York prior to closing. Seller will not make or pay for any repairs required for financing. Utilities are inactive, and the home is winterized. Property is being sold in Receivership and requires approval from the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York prior to closing. Seller will not make or pay for any repairs required for financing. Utilities are inactive, and the home is winterized. Seller Addendum (see documents) must be executed and submitted with all offers, along with all required disclosures and proof of funds.

  18. 2026-02-02
    price $66,900 1333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1333 chars)

    Investment Opportunity! This property offers strong potential for renovation or rental portfolio expansion. Call your Realtor today! Property is sold as-is with all faults. Seller has never been an owner-occupant; therefore, Seller's information is limited. Seller has never been an owner-occupant; therefore, Seller's information is limited. Seller will not assume responsibility for any required repairs to the home to qualify for financing. Seller Addendum is required and must be delivered along with the Purchase Offer, disclosures, and proof of funds/pre-approval. See MLS docs. Utilities are inactive, and the home is winterized. Property is being sold in Receivership and requires approval from the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York prior to closing. Seller will not make or pay for any repairs required for financing. Utilities are inactive, and the home is winterized. Property is being sold in Receivership and requires approval from the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York prior to closing. Seller will not make or pay for any repairs required for financing. Utilities are inactive, and the home is winterized. Seller Addendum (see documents) must be executed and submitted with all offers, along with all required disclosures and proof of funds.

  19. 2025-12-15
    listed $69,900 Active 1333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1333 chars)

    Investment Opportunity! This property offers strong potential for renovation or rental portfolio expansion. Call your Realtor today! Property is sold as-is with all faults. Seller has never been an owner-occupant; therefore, Seller's information is limited. Seller has never been an owner-occupant; therefore, Seller's information is limited. Seller will not assume responsibility for any required repairs to the home to qualify for financing. Seller Addendum is required and must be delivered along with the Purchase Offer, disclosures, and proof of funds/pre-approval. See MLS docs. Utilities are inactive, and the home is winterized. Property is being sold in Receivership and requires approval from the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York prior to closing. Seller will not make or pay for any repairs required for financing. Utilities are inactive, and the home is winterized. Property is being sold in Receivership and requires approval from the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York prior to closing. Seller will not make or pay for any repairs required for financing. Utilities are inactive, and the home is winterized. Seller Addendum (see documents) must be executed and submitted with all offers, along with all required disclosures and proof of funds.

  20. 1994-07-20
    soldstatus
  21. 1981-10-14
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,630 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,630 · $136/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,011
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$1,630
− Insurance
−$5,443
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,201
− Management
−$1,201
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$13
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3
After-tax cash flow
$699/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,659
Household income
$50,722
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1314.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.01%
Current HPI
174.4025
Rent YoY
▲ 4.23%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-7.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $64,900 MLSU
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $66,900 MLSU
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $69,900 MLSU
  • 1994-07-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1981-10-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,630 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…