Fourplex
1012 W 12th St · Vancouver, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 19 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$550,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special. Hard to find 4 plex in downtown Vancouver.
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Built 1911
- Listed 63 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $550k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($52k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $550k).
- Recommended offer: $517k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 2.7% in Vancouver — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#62 in WA, #1,133 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living D-.
- Vancouver School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #156 of 291 in WA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 98 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,876/mo this rent would consume 176% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 1125% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($517k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $375k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.84%
- DSCR
- 2.51
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $739,604
- List price
- $550,000
- Delta
- -25.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $160,324
- Equity at exit
- $82,007
- IRR
- 32.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.54×
- Total profit
- $390,480
- Equity at exit
- $47,554
Cash invested: $154,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98660
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 18.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,876 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,884
- Tax from tax record
- −$346 /mo · $4,154/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,074
- Net cashflow
- $4,342
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,654 | -5% $4,498 | +0% $4,342 | +5% $4,187 | +10% $4,031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,562 | -5% $3,952 | +0% $4,342 | +5% $4,733 | +10% $5,123 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,619 | -0.5pp $4,482 | base $4,342 | +0.5pp $4,200 | +1.0pp $4,055 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 4 | 4 | $9,876 |
| #1 | 4 | 4 | $2,469 |
| #2 | 4 | 4 | $2,469 |
| #3 | 4 | 4 | $2,469 |
| #4 | 4 | 4 | $2,469 |
| Total (4 units) | $9,876 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,500
- Closing costs
- $16,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1747 N Jantzen Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2000 | $3,100 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1102 NW 41st St Vancouver, WA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1938 | $2,695 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $550,000 Pending 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $550,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $550,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $550,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $550,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-02$550,000 Active 60-char remark
Show marketing remark (60 chars)
Investor special. Hard to find 4 plex in downtown Vancouver.
-
2025-07-14soldstatus $375,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,154 · $346/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,390 · $449/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,236/yr (+$103/mo · 29.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $118,512
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,809
- − Property taxes
- −$4,154
- − Insurance
- −$2,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,481
- − Management
- −$9,481
- − Depreciation
- −$16,000
- Taxable income
- $45,838
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$11,001
- After-tax cash flow
- $41,109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vancouver School District
- NCES district ID
- 5309270
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,562
- Composite
- 43.45/100
- National rank
- #6479
- State rank
- #156 of 291 in WA
Livability — Vancouver
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #1133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vancouver, WA
- County
- Clark County · 513,189 people
- City population
- 360,195
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,212
- Household income
- $67,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1125.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 529,610 people
- By 2030
- 563,242 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 625,905 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 681,558 · +28.7%
- By 2075
- 805,967 · +52.2%
- By 2100
- 877,450 · +65.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Portuguese 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -332.28%
- Current HPI
- 355.0231
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.20%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
+46.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Listed $550,000 RMLS
- 2025-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $375,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2026): $4,154 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…