305 SW J Ave · Lawton, OK 73501

$70,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,725 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 257 Days on market

Built 1942 1.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +4.6/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom home is a great investor special! Sold "as is". Cash only. Property was built prior to 1978 and lead-based paint potentially exists.

Key facts

• Recently remodeled
• Granite counter tops
• Open kitchen

Tags

• INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
• OPEN KITCHEN
• GRANITE COUNTER TOPS
• RECENTLY REMODELED

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single family residence; One and one half stories; Residential property
• Construction: Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
• Exterior features: Covered porch; Wood fencing; Shed(s)

Interior

• Kitchen: Granite counters
• Flooring: Laminate
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric cooling; Has heating and cooling
• Interior features: Granite counters; Double pane windows; Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
• Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 6.0% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
• Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Lincoln Es (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #741 of 845 statewide, top 89%, 401 students, 0% FRL); Central Ms (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #153 of 345 statewide, top 45%, 994 students, 0% FRL); Lawton Hs (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #302 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 1,417 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $496 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $4k; list at $70k implies a 1547% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.13% ✓
• Cap rate: 19.40%
• Cash-on-cash: 46.82%
• DSCR: 3.08
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $163,875
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
709 SW Jefferson Ave	0.53mi	4/2.0	1,540 (-11%)	4mo	$146,000	$95	54
5501 NW Alan A Dale Ln	0.44mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,600 (-7%)	15mo	$190,000	$119	49
1507 SW 7th	0.60mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,600 (-7%)	17mo	$118,000	$74	41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.71% appreciation · 1.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 17.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.79×
• Total profit: $15,509
• Equity at exit: $17,879

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.10×
• Total profit: $41,193
• Equity at exit: $19,625

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Oklahoma: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 73501

• Home prices YoY: -0.4%
• Rents YoY: 1.7%
• Active inventory: 120
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,491 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax from tax record: −$17 /mo · $203/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$313
• Net cashflow: $338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,063

Max offer price $70,000

Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $378	-5% $358	+0% $338	+5% $318	+10% $299
Rent	-10% $220	-5% $279	+0% $338	+5% $397	+10% $456
Rate	-1.0pp $373	-0.5pp $356	base $338	+0.5pp $320	+1.0pp $302

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,500
• Closing costs: $2,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 29 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $70,000 Active 257 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $70,000 Active 255 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $70,000 Active 254 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $70,000 Active 253 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $70,000 Active 252 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $70,000 Active 251 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $70,000 Active 249 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $70,000 Active 248 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $70,000 Active 246 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 245 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 244 DOM
12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 243 DOM
13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $70,000 Active 240 DOM
14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 239 DOM
15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 238 DOM
16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 237 DOM
17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 236 DOM
18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $70,000 Active 235 DOM
19. 2026-04-13
    status Active
20. 2026-04-13
    price $70,000
21. 2025-12-19
    price $95,000
22. 2025-11-07
    price $100,000
23. 2025-09-22
    listed $110,000 Active
24. 2016-05-28
    historical
25. 2015-11-09
    soldstatus $4,250 154-char remark

    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    3 bedroom home is a great investor special! Sold "as is". Cash only. Property was built prior to 1978 and lead-based paint potentially exists.

26. 2015-08-28
    listed $5,000 154-char remark

    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    3 bedroom home is a great investor special! Sold "as is". Cash only. Property was built prior to 1978 and lead-based paint potentially exists.

27. 2014-08-24
    listed $50,000
28. 2007-05-24
    soldstatus $62,000
29. 1998-07-02
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $203 · $17/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $630 · $52/mo
• Expected delta: +$427/yr (+$36/mo · 210.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 76% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,893
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,921
• − Property taxes: −$203
• − Insurance: −$5,468
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,431
• − Management: −$1,431
• − Depreciation: −$2,036
• Taxable income: $3,401
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$816
• After-tax cash flow: $3,242/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lawton
• NCES district ID: 4017250
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $42,618
• Composite: 19.68/100
• National rank: #8732
• State rank: #137 of 270 in OK

Livability — Lawton

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #206
• US rank: #15131

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lawton, OK
• County: Comanche County · 96,361 people
• City population: 89,233
• Metro: Lawton, OK
• Population (ZIP): 20,397
• Household income: $49,741
• Rent vs Own: 54.8% rent · 45.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 742.0

Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 124,518 people
• By 2030: 124,231 · -0.2%
• By 2040: 122,193 · -1.9%
• By 2050: 120,368 · -3.3%
• By 2075: 120,492 · -3.2%
• By 2100: 123,113 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
• Race & ethnicity: White 45% Black 20% Two or more races 18% Hispanic / Latino 14% Native American 7% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Comanche

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.71%
• Current HPI: 172.4877
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.70%
• Metro: Lawton, OK
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.55%
• F500 in state: 6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	3	$48B

Price history

+27.3% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-13 Relisted — LBRMLS
• 2026-04-13 Price Changed $70,000 LBRMLS
• 2025-12-19 Price Changed $95,000 LBRMLS
• 2025-11-07 Price Changed $100,000 LBRMLS
• 2025-09-22 Listed $110,000 LBRMLS
• 2016-05-28 Listing Removed — MLSOK
• 2015-11-09 Sold (MLS) $4,250 LBRMLS
• 2015-08-28 Listed $5,000 LBRMLS
• 2014-08-24 Listed $50,000 MLSOK
• 2007-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
• 1998-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-10.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $203 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.