1946 S 12th St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$75,570
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a tax foreclosed property. For the first 30-days of the listing period, no offers below the listing price will be considered per Wisconsin Foreclosure Law. Owner Occupants ONLY. BIDS DUE May 18th, 2026 AT 10:00am
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1990
- Listed 35 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 57 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($522 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.76%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,987
- List price
- $75,570
- Delta
- -37.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1732 S 7th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,068 (+0%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $117 | 72 |
| 2174 S 14th St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+2%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $87 | 70 |
| 1730 S 6th St | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,133 (+6%) | 4mo | $151,500 | $134 | 61 |
| 2254 S 5th Pl | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,072 (+0%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $135 | 61 |
| 602 W Maple St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+3%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $136 | 61 |
| 1603 S Union St | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,056 (-1%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $189 | 54 |
| 2354 S 16th St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 944 (-12%) | 1mo | $194,000 | $206 | 51 |
| 1650 S 18th St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,174 (+10%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $124 | 50 |
| 2253 S 10th Pl | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 942 (-12%) | 10mo | $169,000 | $179 | 49 |
| 1530 S 10th St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,210 (+13%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $103 | 47 |
| 1640 S 18th St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+12%) | 7mo | $162,500 | $135 | 41 |
| 2114 W Vilter St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 943 (-12%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $159 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $68,819
- Equity at exit
- $68,079
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.39×
- Total profit
- $177,437
- Equity at exit
- $146,816
Cash invested: $21,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53204
- Home prices YoY
- 19.0%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,353 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$396
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,242/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $454
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $497 | -5% $476 | +0% $454 | +5% $433 | +10% $411 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $347 | -5% $401 | +0% $454 | +5% $508 | +10% $561 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $492 | -0.5pp $473 | base $454 | +0.5pp $435 | +1.0pp $415 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,892
- Closing costs
- $2,267
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 W Rogers St Unit 3 Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $850 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 600 W Rogers St Unit 4 Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $995 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2161 S 16th St Unit 2161 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,045 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2327 S 15th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $845 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2252 S 7th St Unit Upper Front Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1926 S 20th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,200 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1578 S Union St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2435 S 9th St Unit 2435 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2435 S 9th St Unit 2435A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,025 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2435 S 9th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 816 W Greenfield Ave Unit 102 Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 17d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1568 W Windlake Ave Unit 4 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $895 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2033 S 1st St Unit 119 Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,775 | $2.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2562 S 9th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2482 S 5th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,095 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2141 S Robinson Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1006 | $2,272 | $2.26 | 2d | 20 | 1.01mi |
| 924 S 5th St Unit 501 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $1,917 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 611 W National Ave Milwaukee, WI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 866 | $1,900 | $2.19 | 4d | 3 | 1.06mi |
| 124 W Washington St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $2,126 | $2.52 | 44d | 11 | 1.10mi |
| 2100 W National Ave Unit 4 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1143 S 25th St #1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2445 S Austin St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,598 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 720 W Virginia St Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 746 | $1,800 | $2.41 | 11d | 5 | 1.31mi |
| 2925 W Greenfield Ave Unit 5929A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 747 W Freshwater Way Unit 112 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 983 | $2,725 | $2.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 747 W Freshwater Way Apt 502 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,650 | $3.04 | 18d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 625 W Freshwater Way Milwaukee, WI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1137 | $3,650 | $3.21 | 3d | 12 | 1.39mi |
| 625 W Freshwater Way Unit 508 Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 746 S Layton Blvd Unit 208 Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 18d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2561 S 29th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 17d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 300 W Florida St Unit 415 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $2,350 | $2.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 324 S 2nd St Unit 1504186P Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $4,713 | $4.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 324 S 2nd St Apt 309 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,525 | $2.33 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 324 S 2nd St Unit 1504185P Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $4,467 | $4.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 205 W Oregon St Unit 322 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $2,360 | $2.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 205 W Oregon St Apt 402 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $2,705 | $2.18 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
This is a tax foreclosed property. For the first 30-days of the listing period, no offers below the listing price will be considered per Wisconsin Foreclosure Law. Owner Occupants ONLY. BIDS DUE May 18th, 2026 AT 10:00am
-
2026-04-13$75,570 Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
This is a tax foreclosed property. For the first 30-days of the listing period, no offers below the listing price will be considered per Wisconsin Foreclosure Law. Owner Occupants ONLY. BIDS DUE May 18th, 2026 AT 10:00am
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,242 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,242 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,236
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,233
- − Property taxes
- −$2,242
- − Insurance
- −$378
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,299
- − Management
- −$1,299
- − Depreciation
- −$2,198
- Taxable income
- $4,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,101
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,350/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,996
- Household income
- $45,934
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2357.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 68% Two or more races 35% White 15% Black 11% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51% Puerto Rican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 35% English-only · Spanish 61% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 64.27%
- Current HPI
- 403.236
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.00%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $75,570 METROMLS
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2024): $2,242 · -85.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…