2705 Lake Henrietta St · Tallahassee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Home and stop paying rent!! This home is a great home 2 bedroom 1 bath NEW WINDOWS! This could also be a great rental in the Hud Program! Definately a money maker for investor or homeowner investing in themselves. NO HOA! Easy access to FSU FAMU, Airport and I 10
Key facts
- Easy access to i 10
- No hoa
- New windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property is for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen — 9 x 4
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 — 10 x 8; Additional bedroom — 11 x 10
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Living room; Family room; Dining room; Kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
- Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pineview Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 362 students, 83% FRL); R. Frank Nims Middle School (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #549 of 571 statewide, top 97%, 609 students, 82% FRL); James Rickards High School (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 1,581 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 45% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Leon average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,443/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1272% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $188 of equity ($864 loan paydown + $-676 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 20 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.23%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,878
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3182 Notre Dame St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,081 (-1%) | 23mo | $117,000 | $108 | 58 |
| 804 Medical Commons Ct | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,119 (+2%) | 11mo | $231,631 | $207 | 51 |
| 2624 Saxon St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,186 (+8%) | 5mo | $163,000 | $137 | 44 |
| 2046 Holmes St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (+6%) | 14mo | $105,000 | $91 | 42 |
| 2228 Keith St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (+8%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $157 | 38 |
| 2065 Holmes St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 975 (-11%) | 23mo | $142,500 | $146 | 33 |
| 3407 Springhill Rd | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+13%) | 14mo | $122,850 | $100 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $10,362
- Equity at exit
- $32,950
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $44,129
- Equity at exit
- $37,027
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32310
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,443 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,964/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $269
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $340 | -5% $304 | +0% $269 | +5% $234 | +10% $198 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $155 | -5% $212 | +0% $269 | +5% $326 | +10% $383 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $332 | -0.5pp $301 | base $269 | +0.5pp $237 | +1.0pp $204 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3178 N Ridge Rd Apt A Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,350 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1240 Levy Ave Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,350 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1616 McCaskill Ave Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $969 | $1.29 | 22d | 43 | 0.96mi |
| 509 Famcee Ave Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,700 | $1.58 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 635 Palm Beach St Apt 125 Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 643 Kissimmee St Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,595 | $1.99 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1426 Pepper Dr Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,250 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1615 Sharkey St Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1643 Sharkey St Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,350 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 930 S Lipona Rd Unit D Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,295 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3000 S Adams St Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 884 | $1,850 | $2.09 | 22d | 8 | 1.42mi |
| 1606 Airport Dr Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1303 Airport Dr Unit A08 Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1083 | $1,475 | $1.36 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 275-char remark
-
2026-05-31$125,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,964 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,964 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,322
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,964
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,386
- − Management
- −$1,386
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,323
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$317
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,911/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leon
- NCES district ID
- 1201110
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,339
- Composite
- 42.84/100
- National rank
- #3131
- State rank
- #33 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tallahassee
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tallahassee, FL
- County
- Leon County · 294,472 people
- City population
- 294,472
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,888
- Household income
- $38,288
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1272.0
Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,507 people
- By 2030
- 330,677 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 358,465 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 386,804 · +22.6%
- By 2075
- 465,480 · +47.5%
- By 2100
- 519,959 · +64.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Leon
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.54%
- Current HPI
- 270.5721
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+14.7% since first listed47 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $125,000 CATRS
- 2026-03-01 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2025-11-07 Relisted — CATRS
- 2025-10-17 Contingent — CATRS
- 2025-08-13 Listed $118,900 CATRS
- 2025-06-13 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2025-05-08 Price Changed $118,400 CATRS
- 2025-04-24 Price Changed $119,900 CATRS
- 2025-04-10 Listed $124,000 CATRS
- 2025-04-07 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2025-03-11 Relisted — CATRS
- 2025-02-19 Contingent — CATRS
- 2024-12-10 Price Changed $125,900 CATRS
- 2024-11-24 Price Changed $127,000 CATRS
- 2024-11-14 Price Changed $128,000 CATRS
- 2024-10-08 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2024-10-08 Listed $129,000 CATRS
- 2024-08-29 Listed $129,000 CATRS
- 2024-08-26 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2024-07-19 Relisted — CATRS
- 2024-07-02 Contingent — CATRS
- 2024-06-10 Relisted — CATRS
- 2024-06-05 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2024-06-02 Listed $129,900 CATRS
- 2024-06-02 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2024-05-08 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2024-05-08 Listed $134,900 CATRS
- 2024-03-27 Listed $139,900 CATRS
- 2024-03-23 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2024-03-09 Relisted — CATRS
- 2024-03-08 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2024-02-03 Listed $129,900 CATRS
- 2024-01-30 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2024-01-29 Listed $139,900 CATRS
- 2024-01-26 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2023-12-18 Listed $139,900 CATRS
- 2023-12-08 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2023-12-06 Listed $129,900 CATRS
- 2023-08-15 Rental Removed — APPFOLIO
- 2022-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-17 Sold (MLS) $111,000 CATRS
- 2022-06-16 Sold (MLS) $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-01 Listed $110,000 CATRS
- 2022-05-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-24 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-15 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-12 Listed $109,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+16.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,964 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…