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1416 W Scenic Rivers Blvd
D- Composite 37.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0

$165,000

1416 W Scenic Rivers Blvd · Salem, MO 65560
8 bd · None ba · 4,032 sqft · Other public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1970 1.84 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great multi-family building to add to your portfolio! This tri-plex has all 1 bedroom, 1 bath units and a superb rental history! Each unit has a stove, refrigerator, central air and are all electric. It has plenty of parking for the tenants along with a separate garage/storage building and sits on a large 1.84 m/l acre lot. All the utilities are included in the rent price which has led to the popularity of these rentals and they rarely sit vacant between tenants. Additional investment properties available nearby!

Key facts

  • Extra shop building
  • 1.84 acre lot
  • Built 1970

Tags

EXTRA SHOP BUILDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual property tax listed for 2025

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential income property; 2–4 unit building
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Lot about 1.84 acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: No main or upper-level bedrooms listed
  • Bathrooms: No main or upper-level bathrooms listed
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8-bed/?-bath other listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-184 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (19.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (31.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.7% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#157 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
  • Salem R-80 (town): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #253 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Salem Upper Elem. (math 28% / reading 40%, grade F, #739 of 1,115 statewide, top 67%, 336 students, 62% FRL); Salem Sr. High (math 8% / reading 47%, grade F, #417 of 521 statewide, top 80%, 616 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Dent County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
  • Dent County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $112,283 (31.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.95%
Cash-on-cash
-4.79%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$32,521
Equity at exit
$100,159
10-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$105,757
Equity at exit
$178,633

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65560

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,123 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$-184

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,356
Max offer price $132,438
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 304-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $165,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,648 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,648 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,474
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,648
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,078
− Management
−$1,078
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$5,197
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,247
After-tax cash flow
$-965/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem R-80
NCES district ID
2927090
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$32,306
Composite
26.94/100
National rank
#7082
State rank
#253 of 324 in MO

Livability — Salem

Score
69/100
State rank
#157
US rank
#8725

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, MO
Population (ZIP)
13,634

Population outlook (Dent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,149 people
By 2030
14,734 · -2.7%
By 2040
13,862 · -8.5%
By 2050
12,959 · -14.5%
By 2075
11,217 · -26.0%
By 2100
9,399 · -38.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Dent

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.2) · D 14.4% · R 84.7%
2008→2024 swing
-32.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.8pp · 2024: -70.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.2 2020: R+69.0 2016: R+68.2 2012: R+49.6 2008: R+37.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.66%
Current HPI
238.9175
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+26.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $165,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-11 Price Changed $500 RENT.
  • 2021-06-22 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-14 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-18 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-02 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-11-15 Listed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-15.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,648 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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