4011 Grayton Dr · Beacon Square, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lovely home in the desirable location of Beacon Square in New Port Richey and close to just about everything! This home has been tastefully remodeled with newer wood laminate flooring throughout and new carpet in the bedrooms. Newly updated kitchen with granite, high end cabinetry with plenty of cabinet space, subway tile backsplash, and recessed lighting. Open floor plan layout with plenty of room to entertain. Massive fireplace extends the entire back wall of the home for a cozy night in on those cooler nights. Sliding glass doors lead to a covered/enclosed porch for more space and another area to enjoy your fenced in backyard. Master bedroom has its own master bathroom and walk in closet. Additional 2nd bathroom has updated tile in shower with glass tile accents, new vanity and tile flooring. One car garage is spacious and parking pads in front for plenty of room for 2 cars. Newer paint both inside and out and home has great curb appeal with landscape and fresh mulch. Optional membership at Beacon Square Civic Association with amenities including Junior Olympic swimming pool, picnic area, exercise room, playground and more.
Key facts
- Major roadways
- Local shopping
- Enclosed back patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exempt; No lease restrictions; Unfurnished
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Water available and connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Lighting; Private mailbox; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.7% in Beacon Square — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#600 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 635 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $113k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.84%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $225,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4011 Grayton Dr | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $117 | 100 |
| 3625 Windham Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (0%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $188 | 76 |
| 4214 Ridgefield Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,196 (-0%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $201 | 74 |
| 3608 Edenwood Dr | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $142 | 73 |
| 3524 Cheswick Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,258 (+5%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $187 | 67 |
| 4434 Tucker Sq | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,166 (-3%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $94 | 65 |
| 4245 Crestfield Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,291 (+8%) | 2mo | $228,000 | $177 | 63 |
| 4711 Beacon Hill Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+2%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $221 | 58 |
| 4234 Ridgefield Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-12%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $199 | 52 |
| 3520 Overland Dr | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,068 (-11%) | 1mo | $257,000 | $241 | 49 |
| 3342 Winder Dr | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,042 (-13%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $211 | 48 |
| 3431 Springfield Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,334 (+11%) | 3mo | $219,900 | $165 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-6,266
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $8,760
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34652
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 635
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,688 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,204/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $356
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4133 Grayton Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1068 | $1,727 | $1.62 | 5d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4301 Straits Ln New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1284 | $1,790 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3847 Lighthouse Way New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4221 Touchton Pl New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,300 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4031 Davit Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3516 Sheryl Hill Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 848 | $1,595 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4211 Hampton Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,795 | $1.71 | 5d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3439 Clydesdale Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,395 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4022 Davit Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3612 Springfield Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,450 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4411 Rustic Dr Unit 1 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4408 Rustic Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1101 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3445 Wiltshire Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3301 Rosefield Dr Holiday, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $2,100 | $1.57 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3431 Overland Dr Holiday, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,850 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3528 Rock Royal Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $1,900 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4282 Rudder Way New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4282 Rudder Way New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,000 | $1.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4124 Flamingo Dr New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,500 | $2.02 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4124 Flamingo Dr New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,500 | $2.02 | 4d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3433 Monticello St Holiday, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,650 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3511 Cambridge St New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,100 | $2.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4540 Irene Loop New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,550 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4721 Naftis Ln New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5020 Vickers Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 863 | $1,550 | $1.80 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4616 Irene Loop New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 898 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4852 Pompano Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $2,900 | $2.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4348 Plaza Dr Holiday, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $1,499 | $1.74 | 3d | 9 | 1.14mi |
| 4205 Jordana Way Holiday, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1027 | $1,404 | $1.37 | 3d | 13 | 1.18mi |
| 4117 Highland Loop New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $1,599 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4554 Nimmer Dr New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3252 Peterborough St Holiday, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,631 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4548 Belfast Dr New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,575 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4436 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 890 | $2,295 | $2.58 | 5d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4430 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1094 | $2,500 | $2.29 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5319 Drift Tide Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1142 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 10d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4335 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4939 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,648 | $1.57 | 17d | 3 | 1.37mi |
| 4939 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,675 | $1.60 | 24d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 4939 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 2d | 2 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-07remarks 476-char remark
-
2026-06-07status $155,000 Pending 42 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $155,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $169,900
-
2026-05-12price $177,800
-
2026-05-05price $177,900
-
2026-04-23$179,900 Active
-
2017-12-20soldstatus $113,000
-
2017-12-15soldstatus $113,000 Sold 1144-char remark
Show marketing remark (1144 chars)
Lovely home in the desirable location of Beacon Square in New Port Richey and close to just about everything! This home has been tastefully remodeled with newer wood laminate flooring throughout and new carpet in the bedrooms. Newly updated kitchen with granite, high end cabinetry with plenty of cabinet space, subway tile backsplash, and recessed lighting. Open floor plan layout with plenty of room to entertain. Massive fireplace extends the entire back wall of the home for a cozy night in on those cooler nights. Sliding glass doors lead to a covered/enclosed porch for more space and another area to enjoy your fenced in backyard. Master bedroom has its own master bathroom and walk in closet. Additional 2nd bathroom has updated tile in shower with glass tile accents, new vanity and tile flooring. One car garage is spacious and parking pads in front for plenty of room for 2 cars. Newer paint both inside and out and home has great curb appeal with landscape and fresh mulch. Optional membership at Beacon Square Civic Association with amenities including Junior Olympic swimming pool, picnic area, exercise room, playground and more.
-
2017-11-06status Pending 1144-char remark
Show marketing remark (1144 chars)
Lovely home in the desirable location of Beacon Square in New Port Richey and close to just about everything! This home has been tastefully remodeled with newer wood laminate flooring throughout and new carpet in the bedrooms. Newly updated kitchen with granite, high end cabinetry with plenty of cabinet space, subway tile backsplash, and recessed lighting. Open floor plan layout with plenty of room to entertain. Massive fireplace extends the entire back wall of the home for a cozy night in on those cooler nights. Sliding glass doors lead to a covered/enclosed porch for more space and another area to enjoy your fenced in backyard. Master bedroom has its own master bathroom and walk in closet. Additional 2nd bathroom has updated tile in shower with glass tile accents, new vanity and tile flooring. One car garage is spacious and parking pads in front for plenty of room for 2 cars. Newer paint both inside and out and home has great curb appeal with landscape and fresh mulch. Optional membership at Beacon Square Civic Association with amenities including Junior Olympic swimming pool, picnic area, exercise room, playground and more.
-
2017-10-17price $114,900 1144-char remark
Show marketing remark (1144 chars)
Lovely home in the desirable location of Beacon Square in New Port Richey and close to just about everything! This home has been tastefully remodeled with newer wood laminate flooring throughout and new carpet in the bedrooms. Newly updated kitchen with granite, high end cabinetry with plenty of cabinet space, subway tile backsplash, and recessed lighting. Open floor plan layout with plenty of room to entertain. Massive fireplace extends the entire back wall of the home for a cozy night in on those cooler nights. Sliding glass doors lead to a covered/enclosed porch for more space and another area to enjoy your fenced in backyard. Master bedroom has its own master bathroom and walk in closet. Additional 2nd bathroom has updated tile in shower with glass tile accents, new vanity and tile flooring. One car garage is spacious and parking pads in front for plenty of room for 2 cars. Newer paint both inside and out and home has great curb appeal with landscape and fresh mulch. Optional membership at Beacon Square Civic Association with amenities including Junior Olympic swimming pool, picnic area, exercise room, playground and more.
-
2017-09-06$119,000 Active 1144-char remark
Show marketing remark (1144 chars)
Lovely home in the desirable location of Beacon Square in New Port Richey and close to just about everything! This home has been tastefully remodeled with newer wood laminate flooring throughout and new carpet in the bedrooms. Newly updated kitchen with granite, high end cabinetry with plenty of cabinet space, subway tile backsplash, and recessed lighting. Open floor plan layout with plenty of room to entertain. Massive fireplace extends the entire back wall of the home for a cozy night in on those cooler nights. Sliding glass doors lead to a covered/enclosed porch for more space and another area to enjoy your fenced in backyard. Master bedroom has its own master bathroom and walk in closet. Additional 2nd bathroom has updated tile in shower with glass tile accents, new vanity and tile flooring. One car garage is spacious and parking pads in front for plenty of room for 2 cars. Newer paint both inside and out and home has great curb appeal with landscape and fresh mulch. Optional membership at Beacon Square Civic Association with amenities including Junior Olympic swimming pool, picnic area, exercise room, playground and more.
-
2010-06-16soldstatus $68,000
-
2010-06-11soldstatus $68,000 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
This home is in mint condition, priced like a Short Sale, but it is NOT! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home has a newer upgraded roof and loads of extras inside and out. Wood burning fireplace in the spacious family room plus enclosed lanai with acrylic sliding windows. Other extras include water softener, reverse osmosis, sprinkler system, transferable pest warranty and more. This home is neutral throughout and has great curb appeal. Most appliances are newer. Hurry because this rare find won't last long!
-
2010-03-16$69,900 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
This home is in mint condition, priced like a Short Sale, but it is NOT! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home has a newer upgraded roof and loads of extras inside and out. Wood burning fireplace in the spacious family room plus enclosed lanai with acrylic sliding windows. Other extras include water softener, reverse osmosis, sprinkler system, transferable pest warranty and more. This home is neutral throughout and has great curb appeal. Most appliances are newer. Hurry because this rare find won't last long!
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2008-07-21$115,900
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2008-01-05$115,900
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2007-04-02$115,900
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2006-02-22$139,900
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1992-07-01soldstatus $54,000
-
1971-01-01soldstatus $18,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,204 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,286 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$82/yr (+$7/mo · 6.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,259
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,204
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,621
- − Management
- −$1,621
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $1,847
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$443
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,828/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Beacon Square
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #600
- US rank
- #11494
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beacon Square, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,444
- Household income
- $56,931
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1190.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.49%
- Current HPI
- 310.8347
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.72%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+808.6% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $177,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $177,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Listed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
- 2017-12-15 Sold (MLS) $113,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-17 Price Changed $114,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-06 Listed $119,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2010-06-11 Sold (MLS) $68,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-16 Listed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-21 Listed $115,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-01-05 Listed $115,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-02 Listed $115,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-22 Listed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 1971-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,204 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…