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833 Margo Ave
C Composite 59.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

833 Margo Ave · Ferguson, MO 63135
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 914 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1941 6,952 sqft lot Est $76k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 833 Margo Ave. ! This well-maintained brick Ferguson home offers more space than meets the eye. Features include hardwood floors, a spacious living and dining area with a wood burning fireplace, a bright breakfast room overlooking the fenced backyard, and two generously sized bedrooms. The attached garage provides ample storage, while the basement includes a sump pit and additional storage or future living space potential. Conveniently located near Hwy 170 and within walking distance of local schools, this property is a great opportunity for homeowners and investors alike.

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Sump pit
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEFENCED BACKYARDATTACHED GARAGESUMP PITADDITIONAL STORAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Includes a garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity and natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Multi/split levels; Entry/main living areas on the main level
  • Construction: Brick veneer, concrete, and frame construction
  • Exterior features: Back yard and front yard; Landscaped lot with some trees; Wire fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level; Breakfast room on the main level; Dining room on the main level
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main/upper level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Basement with 8+ ft poured concrete

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 9.2% in Ferguson — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#586 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Central Elementary (180 students, 98% FRL); Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $95k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
11.17%
Cash-on-cash
17.41%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$75,862
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
826 Walters Dr 0.19mi 2/1.0 925 (+1%) 2mo $60,000 $65 88
308 Henquin Dr 0.23mi 2/1.0 861 (-6%) 1mo $80,000 $93 79
619 Carson Rd 0.26mi 1/1.0 (-1) 901 (-1%) 5mo $75,000 $83 76
222 Henquin Dr 0.16mi 2/1.0 816 (-11%) 1mo $115,000 $141 74
115 Lawrence Ave 0.52mi 2/1.5 936 (+2%) 0mo $64,500 $69 69
8139 Blanchard Dr 0.37mi 2/1.0 984 (+8%) 4mo $69,900 $71 67
406 Tiffin Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 944 (+3%) 5mo $105,000 $111 67
221 S Harvey Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 864 (-6%) 3mo $135,000 $156 66
6006 Cascade Dr 0.38mi 2/1.0 1,044 (+14%) 1mo $75,000 $72 57
53 N Dade Ave 0.09mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,036 (+13%) 5mo $40,000 $39 56
8234 Airport Rd 0.53mi 2/1.0 792 (-13%) 4mo $75,000 $95 50
8235 Davenport Dr 0.58mi 1/1.0 (-1) 792 (-13%) 5mo $63,000 $80 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$15,729
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
3.83×
Total profit
$75,150
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63135

Rents YoY
9.0%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,242 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $695/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$386

Break-even live

Break-even rent $754
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $440 -5% $413 +0% $386 +5% $359 +10% $332
Rent -10% $288 -5% $337 +0% $386 +5% $435 +10% $484
Rate -1.0pp $434 -0.5pp $410 base $386 +0.5pp $361 +1.0pp $336

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
60 Mayme Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,285 $1.34 45d 1 0.05mi
910 Disco Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 924 $1,260 $1.36 17d 1 0.11mi
6156 Wulff Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 960 $1,425 $1.48 11d 1 0.15mi
222 Henquin Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,050 $1.29 19d 1 0.16mi
6132 Eaton Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,125 $1.42 25d 1 0.28mi
601 Carson Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 743 $950 $1.28 25d 1 0.29mi
6044 Cascade Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 984 $1,150 $1.17 8d 1 0.42mi
6333 Peurifoy Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 840 $1,295 $1.54 25d 1 0.47mi
8306 Whitewater Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 792 $1,195 $1.51 8d 1 0.53mi
334 Mueller Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 713 $825 $1.16 25d 1 0.66mi
6214 Jefferson Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,195 $1.46 25d 1 0.68mi
360 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 936 $925 $0.99 45d 1 0.73mi
246 Louisa Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,600 $1.54 45d 1 0.74mi
519 Graf Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 887 $1,297 $1.46 21d 1 0.75mi
6625 Thurston Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 939 $1,300 $1.38 45d 1 0.76mi
6625 Thurston Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 939 $1,400 $1.49 25d 1 0.76mi
422 Plaza Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 8d 1 0.79mi
6315 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 739 $1,175 $1.59 17d 1 0.81mi
6334 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 5d 1 0.81mi
6336 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 720 $1,175 $1.63 45d 1 0.82mi
222 Randolph Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 964 $1,400 $1.45 8d 1 0.82mi
6042 Hancock Ave Berkeley, MO 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,495 $1.44 25d 1 0.84mi
450 S Dade Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 25d 1 0.87mi
709 Suburban Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 975 $1,400 $1.44 45d 1 0.87mi
6234 Hancock Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 846 $1,050 $1.24 45d 1 0.89mi
5500 Mable Ave Unit 5518 B4 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $835 $1.11 45d 1 0.94mi
5500 Mable Ave Unit 5530 B1 St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 850 $915 $1.08 45d 1 0.94mi
419 S Florissant Rd Ferguson, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 45d 1 0.95mi
223 Wiegel Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,560 $1.81 13d 1 0.99mi
806 Marvin Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 726 $1,100 $1.52 45d 1 1.03mi
401 Millman Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,450 $1.44 17d 1 1.05mi
801 Thomas Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,350 $1.56 45d 1 1.05mi
617 Tesmore Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 877 $1,200 $1.37 45d 1 1.06mi
110 Paul Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 875 $1,050 $1.20 8d 1 1.07mi
5300 Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 840 $1,295 $1.54 25d 1 1.08mi
12 Lee Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 832 $1,080 $1.30 8d 1 1.09mi
24 Vierling Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,290 $1.52 8d 1 1.10mi
26 Arbor Village Ct Ferguson, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 714 $950 $1.33 25d 1 1.18mi
8330 Woodhurst Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,000 $0.89 8d 1 1.20mi
415 Ames Pl Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 816 $1,400 $1.72 45d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $95,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    remarks 590-char remark
  7. 2026-06-10
    listed $95,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$695 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$922 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$227/yr (+$19/mo · 32.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,909
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$695
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,193
− Management
−$1,193
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$3,269
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$785
After-tax cash flow
$3,846/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Ferguson

Score
58/100
State rank
#586
US rank
#20809

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ferguson, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
18,381
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
18,381
Household income
$52,328
Rent vs Own
45.8% rent · 54.2% own
Severe rent burden
957.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 28% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.56%
Current HPI
138.6781
Rent YoY
▲ 9.03%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Coming Soon $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 2009-12-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2022): $695 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…