🏷️ Likely Rental
22 Davidson St · Grahamtown, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity in Frostburg! 3-bedroom, 1-bath semi-detached townhome conveniently located near Frostburg State University, offering strong rental and student housing potential. Features include a covered front porch, unfinished basement, 1-car garage, public water and sewer, and functional layout ready for your vision. Potential rental income of approximately $1,000-$1,100/month as a traditional rental or $350-$400/month per bedroom for student housing. Property is being sold strictly as-is. Cash or hard money financing only. Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a rental, student housing, or value-add project. Seller prefers a quick close.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Unfinished basement
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached front-entry garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric utilities
- Home design: Semi-detached property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Year built information sourced from assessor
- Exterior features: No tidal water on the property; Above- and below-grade structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating (electric); Window air conditioning units (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Multiple exterior access exits (2+ access exits)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#186 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, housing D, crime F.
- Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Beall Elementary (math 19% / reading 30%, grade F, #260 of 860 statewide, top 33%, 451 students, 63% FRL); Mount Savage Middle (math 15% / reading 38%, grade F, #86 of 225 statewide, top 40%, 425 students, 54% FRL); Mountain Ridge High School (math 32% / reading 72%, grade D+, #100 of 222 statewide, top 47%, 736 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.66%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $227,322
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Washington St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,410 (+7%) | 10mo | $95,000 | $67 | 54 |
| 114 Candlewick Ct | 0.67mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,390 (+6%) | 14mo | $240,000 | $173 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,013
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $20,980
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21532
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,075 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,137/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $296 | -5% $270 | +0% $245 | +5% $219 | +10% $194 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $160 | -5% $202 | +0% $245 | +5% $287 | +10% $330 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $290 | -0.5pp $268 | base $245 | +0.5pp $221 | +1.0pp $198 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main St Frostburg, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 55 S Broadway Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2 Bob Cat Ct Frostburg, MD | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 44d | 6 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $90,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 661-char remark
-
2026-06-12$90,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,137 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,137 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,896
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,137
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,032
- − Management
- −$1,032
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $1,586
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$381
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,557/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allegany County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400030
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,760
- Composite
- 18.95/100
- National rank
- #8854
- State rank
- #18 of 24 in MD
Livability — Grahamtown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #8295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grahamtown, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,123
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,778 people
- By 2030
- 66,766 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 62,784 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 59,179 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 50,732 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 40,837 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.31%
- Current HPI
- 244.5937
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+900.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2012-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 1982-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,137 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…