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160 Weyand Ave
C Composite 57.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0

$189,000

160 Weyand Ave · Buffalo, NY 14210
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,014 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1963 5,361 sqft lot $186/sqft · 14% below area Est $221k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Rare Find South Buffalo Ranch Discover this spacious 3-bedroom ranch located in South Buffalo closer to Mineral Springs Rd. Freshly painted and brand-new carpeting throughout, new recessed lighting in the living room, all the other rooms have new lighting with built in fans creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere. The eat-in kitchen has been well maintained with original wood cabinetry, a functional layout, and is equipped with a dishwasher and pantry. The partially finished basement offers additional space ideal for entertaining, hobbies, working-out or just about anything else you need extra space for. Additional, and separate storage and laundry rooms. Outside, there is concrete d

Key facts

  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Fully fenced yard
  • Concrete driveway

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENORIGINAL WOOD CABINETRYPARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTCONCRETE DRIVEWAYFULLY FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Nearby trails/paths

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction; Vinyl siding; Poured foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Poured foundation; Built (existing)
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 51 x 105

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Full basement, partially finished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-779/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (6.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (26.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $189k implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,947 (26.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.21%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$220,967
List price
$189,000
Delta
-14.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
124 Zittel St 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,028 (+1%) 4mo $206,000 $200 84
131 Geary St 0.19mi 3/2.0 945 (-7%) 4mo $110,000 $116 72
95 Armin Pl 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,014 (0%) 13mo $215,000 $212 69
98 Polish Pl 0.42mi 3/1.0 960 (-5%) 11mo $243,000 $253 63
30 Portland St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,006 (-1%) 5mo $160,000 $159 62
45 Unger Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,072 (+6%) 3mo $223,600 $209 54
19 Spann St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,026 (+1%) 8mo $170,000 $166 52
325 Cumberland Ave Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,060 (+4%) 8mo $270,000 $255 51
77 Tamarack St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,086 (+7%) 11mo $225,000 $207 51
323 Kirkwood Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,125 (+11%) 5mo $210,000 $187 46
121 Stevenson St 0.59mi 3/2.0 888 (-12%) 13mo $197,760 $223 37
36 Milford St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,158 (+14%) 9mo $212,000 $183 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$106,077
Equity at exit
$170,266
10-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
7.31×
Total profit
$333,687
Equity at exit
$367,185

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14210

Home prices YoY
13.8%
Rents YoY
12.7%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,389 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $446/yr
Insurance
$79
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$-65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,472
Max offer price $177,536
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
34 Hayden St Unit Back Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 44d 1 0.32mi
23 Indian Orchard Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 44d 1 0.34mi
2111 Seneca St #3 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 937 $1,150 $1.23 44d 1 0.37mi
1927 Seneca St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,250 $1.05 24d 1 0.44mi
61 Princeton Pl Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 820 $1,300 $1.59 3d 1 0.45mi
1899 Seneca St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1134 $1,075 $0.95 14d 1 0.48mi
76 Hammerschmidt Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,275 $1.06 2d 1 0.60mi
298 Cumberland Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1208 $2,200 $1.82 2d 1 0.66mi
102 Wildwood Pl Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 16d 1 0.81mi
214 Abbott Rd Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 945 $1,200 $1.27 14d 1 0.88mi
46 Kirkwood Dr Unit Lower West Seneca, NY 2.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 16d 1 0.97mi
89 Macamley St #2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,100 $0.86 10d 1 1.15mi
47 Lester St Unit Main Floor Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 44d 1 1.39mi
700 Hopkins St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,225 $1.11 14d 1 1.41mi
74 Woodside Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,510 $1.21 2d 1 1.41mi
696 Hopkins St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 44d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 1267-char remark
  2. 2026-05-11
    price $189,000 1267-char remark
  3. 2026-05-04
    listed $199,900 Active 1267-char remark
  4. 2002-12-19
    soldstatus $56,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$446 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,820 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$1,374/yr (+$115/mo · 308.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,674
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$446
− Insurance
−$1,612
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,334
− Management
−$1,334
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$4,137
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$993
After-tax cash flow
$214/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,563
Household income
$54,197
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.34%
Current HPI
431.7951
Rent YoY
▲ 12.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+236.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $189,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $199,900 WNYREIS
  • 2002-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $56,250 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $446 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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