160 Weyand Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rare Find South Buffalo Ranch Discover this spacious 3-bedroom ranch located in South Buffalo closer to Mineral Springs Rd. Freshly painted and brand-new carpeting throughout, new recessed lighting in the living room, all the other rooms have new lighting with built in fans creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere. The eat-in kitchen has been well maintained with original wood cabinetry, a functional layout, and is equipped with a dishwasher and pantry. The partially finished basement offers additional space ideal for entertaining, hobbies, working-out or just about anything else you need extra space for. Additional, and separate storage and laundry rooms. Outside, there is concrete d
Key facts
- Eat-in kitchen
- Fully fenced yard
- Concrete driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Nearby trails/paths
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction; Vinyl siding; Poured foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Poured foundation; Built (existing)
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 51 x 105
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Full basement, partially finished
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-779/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (6.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (26.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $139k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $189k implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.21%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $220,967
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- -14.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124 Zittel St | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,028 (+1%) | 4mo | $206,000 | $200 | 84 |
| 131 Geary St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 945 (-7%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $116 | 72 |
| 95 Armin Pl | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,014 (0%) | 13mo | $215,000 | $212 | 69 |
| 98 Polish Pl | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-5%) | 11mo | $243,000 | $253 | 63 |
| 30 Portland St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,006 (-1%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $159 | 62 |
| 45 Unger Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,072 (+6%) | 3mo | $223,600 | $209 | 54 |
| 19 Spann St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,026 (+1%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $166 | 52 |
| 325 Cumberland Ave Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,060 (+4%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $255 | 51 |
| 77 Tamarack St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,086 (+7%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $207 | 51 |
| 323 Kirkwood Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (+11%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $187 | 46 |
| 121 Stevenson St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 888 (-12%) | 13mo | $197,760 | $223 | 37 |
| 36 Milford St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,158 (+14%) | 9mo | $212,000 | $183 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $106,077
- Equity at exit
- $170,266
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.31×
- Total profit
- $333,687
- Equity at exit
- $367,185
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14210
- Home prices YoY
- 13.8%
- Rents YoY
- 12.7%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,389 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $446/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $-65
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Hayden St Unit Back Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 23 Indian Orchard Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2111 Seneca St #3 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,150 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1927 Seneca St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 61 Princeton Pl Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1899 Seneca St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,075 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 76 Hammerschmidt Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,275 | $1.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 298 Cumberland Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1208 | $2,200 | $1.82 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 102 Wildwood Pl Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 214 Abbott Rd Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 46 Kirkwood Dr Unit Lower West Seneca, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 89 Macamley St #2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,100 | $0.86 | 10d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 47 Lester St Unit Main Floor Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 700 Hopkins St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,225 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 74 Woodside Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,510 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 696 Hopkins St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 1267-char remark
-
2026-05-11price $189,000 1267-char remark
-
2026-05-04$199,900 Active 1267-char remark
-
2002-12-19soldstatus $56,250
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $446 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,820 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,374/yr (+$115/mo · 308.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,674
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$446
- − Insurance
- −$1,612
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,334
- − Management
- −$1,334
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$4,137
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$993
- After-tax cash flow
- $214/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,563
- Household income
- $54,197
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 959.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.34%
- Current HPI
- 431.7951
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+236.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $189,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $199,900 WNYREIS
- 2002-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $56,250 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $446 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…