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25101 Masch Ave
D+ Composite 45.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,999

25101 Masch Ave · Warren, MI 48091
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 992 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1995 10,454 sqft lot Est $167k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom brick ranch needs alittle work bur priced accordingly. Appears to have good bones. Located at end of cul-de-sac & close to elementary school. Nice sized yard! Ask your agent about Homesteps buyers incentives!!!

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1995

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot acreage about 0.24 acre; Frontage approx. 81 feet; Subdivision: Sharon Sub; Located in Warren (city)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer at street; Natural gas; Electric service (standard)
  • Home design: Residential property; One-story structure; Built in 1995; Entry-level living areas
  • Construction: Brick construction; Basement foundation; 1995 construction
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Paved street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on entry level (15 x 13)
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 on entry level (13 x 12); Bedroom 2 on entry level (12 x 11); Bedroom 3 on entry level (approx. 11 wide)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on entry level (approx. 8 x 7)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Natural gas heat/fuel
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Partially finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($181/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (6.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.2% in Warren — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
  • Center Line Public Schools (suburban): math 14% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #459 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 201% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $150k implies a 216% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $140,169 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.41%
Cash-on-cash
0.43%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,656
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
24849 Curie St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,018 (+3%) 11mo $195,000 $192 71
4251 Dolores Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 960 (-3%) 3mo $161,000 $168 65
26379 Audrey Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,000 (+1%) 3mo $215,000 $215 65
24596 Eureka Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,005 (+1%) 13mo $139,000 $138 65
24746 Cunningham Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,105 (+11%) 4mo $138,200 $125 63
25838 Masch Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,115 (+12%) 7mo $216,000 $194 58
24044 Cunningham Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+6%) 9mo $145,000 $138 54
5234 Andriths Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,037 (+4%) 13mo $230,000 $222 52
23930 Eureka Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,037 (+4%) 10mo $200,000 $193 50
4259 Stephens Rd 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 950 (-4%) 14mo $128,800 $136 45
4144 Norbert Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+9%) 13mo $152,000 $141 43
24248 Cunningham Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 845 (-15%) 7mo $99,000 $117 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.3%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-24,204
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-23,306
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48091

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,402 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$243 /mo · $2,918/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$15

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,383
Max offer price $149,999
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $100 -5% $58 +0% $15 +5% $-27 +10% $-70
Rent -10% $-96 -5% $-40 +0% $15 +5% $70 +10% $126
Rate -1.0pp $91 -0.5pp $53 base $15 +0.5pp $-24 +1.0pp $-63

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4652 E 10 Mile Rd Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 45d 1 0.20mi
4385 Frazho Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,305 $1.58 4d 6 0.45mi
3840 Bart Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,350 $1.27 25d 1 1.08mi
22580 Masch Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 988 $1,450 $1.47 25d 1 1.24mi
25005 Lawrence Ave Center Line, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1000 $955 $0.95 45d 1 1.25mi
22622 Panama Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.5 920 $1,395 $1.52 12d 1 1.33mi
2709 Capitol Ave Warren, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,649 $1.56 45d 1 1.39mi
25151 Dequindre Rd Madison Heights, MI 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,279 $1.18 25d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $149,999 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on marketlisting id $149,999 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,999 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-08
    listed $149,999 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,918 · $243/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,918 · $243/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 16% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,820
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,918
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,346
− Management
−$1,346
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$2,305
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$553
After-tax cash flow
$734/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Center Line Public Schools
NCES district ID
2608580
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$38,011
Composite
17.95/100
National rank
#8992
State rank
#459 of 540 in MI

Livability — Warren

Score
74/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#4491

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Warren, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
114,937
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
30,696
Household income
$54,230
Rent vs Own
35.1% rent · 64.9% own
Severe rent burden
1296.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 25% Asian 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -199.66%
Current HPI
177.9273
Rent YoY
▲ 2.35%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+900.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Coming Soon $149,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-04-30 Sold (MLS) $47,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-04-30 Sold (MLS) $47,500 REALCOMP
  • 2010-04-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-02-26 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-02-26 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
  • 2005-02-04 Sold (MLS) $142,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-02-04 Sold (MLS) $142,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-01-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-01-03 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-01-03 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-12-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-12-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-11-08 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-11-02 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
  • 2004-02-10 Sold (MLS) $144,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-01-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-12-30 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1995-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
  • 1994-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,918 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…