102 Cherry · Minneapolis, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Small workshop
- Covered patio
- 9,583 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public utilities; Sewer available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family onsite-built home
- Construction: Gravel roof; No foundation details listed
- Exterior features: One-level layout; Covered patio/porch; On-site storage structure
Interior
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Main-floor laundry in a separate room with a utility sink; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry room with sink
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-105 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $116k (13.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (15.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#40 in KS, #3,169 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- North Ottawa County (rural): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #62 of 169 in KS (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Minneapolis Elementary (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #358 of 684 statewide, top 56%, 327 students, 51% FRL); Minneapolis Jr-Sr High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #60 of 327 statewide, top 24%, 302 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 29% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Ottawa County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $96k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.33%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $8,208
- Equity at exit
- $59,169
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $40,481
- Equity at exit
- $90,013
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67467
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,135 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,851/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $-105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-28 | -5% $-67 | +0% $-105 | +5% $-143 | +10% $-181 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-194 | -5% $-150 | +0% $-105 | +5% $-60 | +10% $-15 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-37 | -0.5pp $-70 | base $-105 | +0.5pp $-140 | +1.0pp $-175 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending
-
2026-04-03price $135,000
-
2026-03-02$140,000 Active
-
2000-08-01soldstatus $96,000
-
1992-05-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,851 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,851 · $238/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,625
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,851
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,090
- − Management
- −$1,090
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$3,570
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$857
- After-tax cash flow
- $-401/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Ottawa County
- NCES district ID
- 2009570
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,499
- Composite
- 29.58/100
- National rank
- #6483
- State rank
- #62 of 169 in KS
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #3169
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,701
Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,796 people
- By 2030
- 5,660 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 5,366 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 5,017 · -13.4%
- By 2075
- 4,494 · -22.5%
- By 2100
- 3,766 · -35.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.6) · D 15.8% · R 82.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -52.5pp · 2024: -66.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.6 2020: R+65.8 2016: R+64.1 2012: R+59.3 2008: R+52.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.80%
- Current HPI
- 200.3448
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+40.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $135,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-02 Listed $140,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 1992-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,851 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…